Realized P&L
-$374
Unrealized P&L
-$77
Hit rate
16.2%
Resolved
230
Trades
1,401
lifetime
Volume
$27.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$2.47K
24 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 10-21 14:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Politics
37% 22% -$142
Sports
29% 20% -$115
Other
23% 43% -$48
Tech
11% 0% -$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -494 -$427 90¢ $-445 -$18 07-09 18:49
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No -506 -$325 80¢ $-408 -$82 07-05 17:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -387 -$308 83¢ $-323 -$15 07-06 23:22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -244 -$204 84¢ $-205 -$1 07-07 22:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -310 -$118 63¢ $-196 -$78 07-06 18:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -310 -$182 37¢ $-113 +$69 07-06 18:45
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -506 -$166 20¢ $-99 +$68 07-05 17:37
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -100 -$86 85¢ $-85 +$1 07-07 19:18
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No -129 -$41 62¢ $-80 -$39 07-06 13:38
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$56 78¢ $-78 -$22 07-06 18:52
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -387 -$77 17¢ $-64 +$13 07-06 23:21
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No -50 -$30 100¢ $-50 -$20 06-25 10:19
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -129 -$54 38¢ $-49 +$5 07-06 13:37
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -494 -$61 10¢ $-49 +$13 07-09 18:49
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -50 -$44 92¢ $-46 -$3 06-19 09:32
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -50 -$18 84¢ $-42 -$25 07-03 12:22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -244 -$38 16¢ $-39 -$1 07-07 22:26
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No -50 -$34 55¢ $-27 +$6 07-28 13:49
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -50 -$16 45¢ $-23 -$7 07-28 13:49
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$40 22¢ $-22 +$18 07-06 18:48
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$13 15¢ $-15 -$1 07-07 22:10
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -50 -$32 16¢ $-8 +$24 07-03 12:41
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -50 -$7 8¢ $-4 +$3 06-19 09:26
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 Yes -50 -$16 0¢ $-0 +$16 06-17 04:58