Close-Dictator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.02K

Unrealized P&L

-$100

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

883

Trades

16,446

lifetime

Volume

$416.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$830

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 05:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Other

65% 65% -$3,710

Sports

21% 68% +$1,186

Politics

14% 62% -$599

Crypto

1% 100% +$104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	+218	$207	97¢	$211	+$4	10-21 00:50
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+1,200	$217	16¢	$198	-$19	10-27 05:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	+145	$123	86¢	$126	+$2	10-21 18:30
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$71	92¢	$92	+$21	10-26 04:42
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+400	$83	22¢	$86	+$3	10-26 01:19
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+60	$42	70¢	$42	+$0	09-28 04:47
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-427	-$47	8¢	$-32	+$15	04-28 14:56
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	+145	$147	14¢	$20	-$128	10-11 14:17
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+60	$21	30¢	$18	-$3	09-14 18:48
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	-28	-$11	23¢	$-6	+$4	04-28 19:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	967	$82.1K	68,574	67,782	+792	Yes	+$904	04-11 23:20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	973	$60.2K	99,555	95,182	+4,373	No	-$227	04-12 20:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	363	$24.9K	35,148	37,138	-1,989	Yes	-$1,000	05-04 21:37
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	56	$23.8K	13,924	12,486	+1,438	Usyk	+$403	05-23 23:07
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	574	$18.9K	22,993	24,876	-1,882	No	+$1,126	05-28 11:54
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	242	$16.2K	13,826	11,850	+1,976	No	-$774	05-27 02:01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	626	$8.8K	9,575	8,015	+1,560	No	-$618	05-17 10:39
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	208	$7.3K	12,716	13,080	-364	No	+$226	09-08 07:01
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	181	$6.8K	5,560	6,301	-741	Yes	-$224	07-07 23:25
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	245	$6.1K	5,431	6,410	-979	No	+$458	08-19 08:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	57	$5.5K	4,331	3,931	+400	Yes	+$72	06-11 17:06
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	1,208	$4.0K	6,234	6,017	+217	No	+$1	03-19 14:38
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	108	$3.9K	8,536	8,246	+290	open	—	10-21 18:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	65	$3.7K	4,081	3,481	+600	Yes	+$433	04-30 10:14
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	454	$3.7K	14,483	12,384	+2,099	No	-$37	04-26 01:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	35	$3.5K	5,300	5,300	+0	open	—	09-28 09:37
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	84	$3.3K	2,296	2,139	+158	No	-$106	01-29 20:25
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	349	$3.3K	8,720	8,155	+565	No	+$20	04-16 00:21
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	110	$3.2K	3,190	2,230	+960	Yes	+$142	03-19 20:04
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	181	$3.2K	6,825	6,750	+75	No	+$13	07-05 17:28
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	390	$3.1K	9,001	9,598	-597	Yes	-$273	05-16 06:07
will aryna sabalenka win the 2026 womens australian open	200	$3.1K	3,068	3,456	-388	No	+$277	01-30 15:59
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	119	$2.9K	11,357	17,820	-6,463	Yes	-$5,339	06-02 05:16
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	125	$2.9K	4,019	4,514	-495	Yes	-$261	01-28 22:57
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	90	$2.6K	2,599	2,479	+120	No	-$27	01-30 13:22
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	72	$2.3K	2,421	2,170	+251	Yes	+$121	02-18 07:19
will jannik sinner win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	61	$2.1K	1,275	1,295	-20	Yes	+$131	03-29 13:24
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	210	$2.0K	6,449	5,972	+477	Yes	+$472	04-27 19:32
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	76	$2.0K	5,709	5,780	-71	No	-$494	04-25 04:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	69	$2.0K	5,755	5,755	+0	open	—	10-08 19:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:04:57	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	73	16¢	$12	0x340108…
10-27 05:04:56	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x0b674f…
10-27 04:32:11	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x87656d…
10-27 03:53:00	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe8abeb…
10-27 03:26:36	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x67a936…
10-27 02:08:54	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9e04af…
10-27 02:05:57	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x74c378…
10-27 01:23:44	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	28	16¢	$4	0x4e17d6…
10-27 01:19:59	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x73bfd0…
10-26 21:26:50	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xb04333…
10-26 20:09:38	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xbd7efe…
10-26 13:45:53	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	194	16¢	$31	0xd628b4…
10-26 13:22:45	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	582	92¢	$538	0xa28385…
10-26 13:18:08	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	93¢	$116	0xc08984…
10-26 13:17:36	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0x3d0cf4…
10-26 11:46:45	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x779c1b…
10-26 04:42:56	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0x80a6a1…
10-26 02:36:48	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0xa5e31a…
10-26 02:36:45	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	210	18¢	$38	0x9baebd…
10-26 02:36:45	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x361e86…
10-26 02:16:53	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0xfdeabd…
10-26 02:04:51	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	61	19¢	$12	0xf8a3cb…
10-26 02:02:09	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x18c558…
10-26 02:01:08	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0xc772b1…
10-26 02:01:08	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x0aeb33…
10-26 01:55:51	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe26609…
10-26 01:19:29	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	400	22¢	$88	0x764477…
10-21 23:26:11	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x4d19b4…
10-21 18:30:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	85¢	$47	0xc0cb1c…
10-21 16:44:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0x882cbe…
10-21 16:44:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x759efb…
10-21 13:19:18	Will Flavio Cobolli Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xdbf6b2…
10-21 00:52:18	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0xb93ee6…
10-21 00:50:57	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x5d7500…
10-21 00:50:56	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	118	95¢	$113	0xfd83b4…
10-21 00:50:56	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xea51f4…
10-21 00:50:33	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0xf7b7de…
10-20 18:27:29	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	493	21¢	$104	0x080355…
10-20 13:42:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	234	51¢	$119	0x5a5077…
10-18 05:43:42	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xde6bd4…
10-18 04:05:35	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x305e8e…
10-17 01:24:38	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xb6cee3…
10-16 18:04:06	Counter-Strike: BIG vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs	PRIVATE	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x2c2c02…
10-16 16:46:46	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x44edd7…
10-16 15:01:36	Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Pallacanestro Cantu	Pallacanestro Cantu	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xb32770…
10-16 15:01:36	Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Pallacanestro Cantu	Pallacanestro Cantu	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x9f6e9c…
10-16 13:23:49	Counter-Strike: BIG vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs	PRIVATE	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xddda8d…
10-16 00:07:36	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	774	9¢	$70	0x144daf…
10-15 23:54:00	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x801f31…
10-15 16:27:34	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x2baf69…
10-14 21:12:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xe63144…
10-13 10:17:17	wta sakkari kostyuk 2026 10 13	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xb0ffda…
10-13 10:16:19	wta sakkari kostyuk 2026 10 13	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x87b23c…
10-12 21:13:57	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x91d432…
10-12 11:52:18	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	31	60¢	$19	0x8f47ca…
10-12 11:52:18	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x54757f…
10-12 11:52:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xebe7f8…
10-12 04:06:06	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x753992…
10-12 01:51:21	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xe555bc…
10-11 23:01:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x726b36…
10-11 21:49:08	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	22¢	$66	0xd7129a…
10-11 14:17:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	12¢	$17	0xcda60a…
10-11 13:33:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	290	10¢	$29	0xf9b950…
10-09 16:38:58	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	4¢	$22	0x80956a…
10-09 07:54:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xdd7b46…
10-08 19:31:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	263	9¢	$24	0xa42789…
10-08 15:32:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xfefccc…
10-08 05:40:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0x1ac7e3…
10-07 20:33:15	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	111	9¢	$10	0x7e899f…
10-07 08:57:53	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0xf3e941…
10-05 07:02:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	67¢	$35	0x012aaa…
10-04 11:34:35	atp zverev djokovi 2026 10 04	Novak Djokovic	BUY	49	16¢	$8	0x0f1500…
10-04 11:34:31	atp zverev djokovi 2026 10 04	Novak Djokovic	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x231d49…
10-04 07:32:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	67¢	$34	0xe12b29…
10-03 16:53:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$0	0x48a82d…
10-03 16:53:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	69¢	$33	0xe1c043…
10-03 03:04:59	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0xae63aa…
10-03 01:08:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	67¢	$32	0x7d75d7…
10-02 18:59:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x4fef7a…
10-02 14:02:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$11	0x1997d8…
10-02 11:46:12	Will Arthur Fils Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	77¢	$46	0xff16fa…
10-02 10:31:14	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	6¢	$7	0xcbaf92…
10-02 08:33:41	Will Flavio Cobolli Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x288b8a…
10-01 11:49:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xc59f98…
09-30 20:51:56	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x996a6c…
09-30 19:27:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	75	51¢	$38	0xfec3b4…
09-29 10:22:26	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0x636b52…
09-29 08:50:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0xf695f1…
09-28 13:05:51	Will Arthur Fils Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0x4212f9…
09-28 13:05:51	Will Arthur Fils Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x10eece…
09-28 09:37:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0xf961e0…
09-28 06:55:03	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x97f173…
09-28 04:47:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	93	81¢	$75	0xc089da…
09-28 03:32:35	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	170	11¢	$19	0xc3d2ff…
09-27 14:33:50	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0x1e09f9…
09-26 13:59:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x6130c6…
09-26 12:04:14	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0xfa47b5…
09-26 12:04:14	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x4fdc2d…
09-26 07:33:32	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x139ea4…
09-26 00:48:11	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x6420fc…