Close-Dictator — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$139

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

148

16,721 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$6.02K

$426.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$3.30K

27 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-11 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Other

64% 65% -$3,713

Sports

20% 68% +$1,186

Politics

15% 61% -$607

Crypto

1% 100% +$104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (27) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,194	$1,109	97¢	$1.2K	+$46	11-03 23:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+977	$391	46¢	$454	+$63	11-11 14:34
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	+318	$303	98¢	$313	+$10	11-05 14:57
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30, 2027?	No	+297	$251	84¢	$251	+$0	11-05 14:56
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$164	84¢	$169	+$5	11-11 02:16
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?	No	+200	$154	66¢	$133	-$21	11-10 19:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	+145	$123	90¢	$131	+$8	10-21 18:30
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	+125	$87	94¢	$118	+$31	10-31 09:49
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+5,176	$119	2¢	$116	-$3	11-11 13:23
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	Yes	+100	$70	90¢	$90	+$20	09-19 07:01
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+550	$105	16¢	$85	-$20	11-10 20:15
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	+42	$41	99¢	$41	+$0	11-03 01:51
Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?	No	+140	$70	26¢	$36	-$33	11-10 15:27
Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+41	$18	84¢	$34	+$16	11-10 15:49
Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	+55	$20	52¢	$29	+$9	11-09 07:03
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+126	$8	22¢	$28	+$21	11-11 05:59
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	+27	$16	68¢	$18	+$2	11-09 15:08
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?	Yes	+20	$15	78¢	$15	+$0	11-08 10:22
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-427	-$47	3¢	$-15	+$32	04-28 14:56
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	+145	$147	10¢	$14	-$133	10-11 14:17
Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	Yes	+14	-$52	99¢	$14	+$65	11-08 16:58
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	-28	-$11	35¢	$-10	+$1	04-28 19:03
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?	No	+8	$7	99¢	$8	+$1	11-03 14:38
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2027?	No	+8	-$11	84¢	$7	+$18	11-02 05:06
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027?	No	+6	$5	72¢	$5	+$0	11-11 16:38
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?	No	+20	$4	22¢	$4	+$0	11-07 18:05
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$3	3¢	$3	+$0	08-27 09:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	967	$82.1K	68,574	67,782	+792	Yes	+$904	04-11 23:20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	973	$60.2K	99,555	95,182	+4,373	No	-$227	04-12 20:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	363	$24.9K	35,148	37,138	-1,989	Yes	-$1,000	05-04 21:37
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	56	$23.8K	13,924	12,486	+1,438	Usyk	+$403	05-23 23:07
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	574	$18.9K	22,993	24,876	-1,882	No	+$1,126	05-28 11:54
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	242	$16.2K	13,826	11,850	+1,976	No	-$774	05-27 02:01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	626	$8.8K	9,575	8,015	+1,560	No	-$618	05-17 10:39
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	208	$7.3K	12,716	13,080	-364	No	+$226	09-08 07:01
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	181	$6.8K	5,560	6,301	-741	Yes	-$224	07-07 23:25
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	245	$6.1K	5,431	6,410	-979	No	+$458	08-19 08:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	57	$5.5K	4,331	3,931	+400	Yes	+$72	06-11 17:06
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	1,208	$4.0K	6,234	6,017	+217	No	+$1	03-19 14:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	108	$3.9K	8,536	8,246	+290	open	—	10-21 18:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	65	$3.7K	4,081	3,481	+600	Yes	+$433	04-30 10:14
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	454	$3.7K	14,483	12,384	+2,099	No	-$37	04-26 01:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	35	$3.5K	5,300	5,300	+0	open	—	09-28 09:37
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	84	$3.3K	2,296	2,139	+158	No	-$106	01-29 20:25
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	349	$3.3K	8,720	8,155	+565	No	+$20	04-16 00:21
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	110	$3.2K	3,190	2,230	+960	Yes	+$142	03-19 20:04
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	181	$3.2K	6,825	6,750	+75	No	+$13	07-05 17:28
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	390	$3.1K	9,001	9,598	-597	Yes	-$273	05-16 06:07
will aryna sabalenka win the 2026 womens australian open	200	$3.1K	3,068	3,456	-388	No	+$277	01-30 15:59
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	119	$2.9K	11,357	17,820	-6,463	Yes	-$5,339	06-02 05:16
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	125	$2.9K	4,019	4,514	-495	Yes	-$261	01-28 22:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	41	$2.7K	3,470	2,494	+977	open	—	11-11 14:34
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	90	$2.6K	2,599	2,479	+120	No	-$27	01-30 13:22
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	72	$2.3K	2,421	2,170	+251	Yes	+$121	02-18 07:19
will jannik sinner win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	61	$2.1K	1,275	1,295	-20	Yes	+$131	03-29 13:24
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	210	$2.0K	6,449	5,972	+477	Yes	+$472	04-27 19:32
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	76	$2.0K	5,709	5,780	-71	No	-$494	04-25 04:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 16:38:15	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$5	0xe4e34b…
11-11 14:34:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x825a2f…
11-11 13:57:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	426	44¢	$187	0x802e1e…
11-11 13:57:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	210	21¢	$44	0xac32c4…
11-11 13:55:31	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x9088f0…
11-11 13:23:51	Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$46	0x626f7d…
11-11 13:06:45	Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3,083	2¢	$71	0x76aed4…
11-11 11:32:13	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xc4d784…
11-11 11:21:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	173	65¢	$112	0x1033a9…
11-11 10:34:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	210	20¢	$42	0xd8742e…
11-11 05:59:09	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	126	21¢	$27	0x0e04e5…
11-11 02:16:13	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x2d41ec…
11-10 23:51:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x859e34…
11-10 22:54:27	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	159	84¢	$134	0x3c3ab6…
11-10 22:52:01	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x7b8401…
11-10 22:51:48	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	233	84¢	$195	0x872849…
11-10 22:22:07	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xb66078…
11-10 22:10:54	Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	79¢	$47	0xc98227…
11-10 20:15:52	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	400	16¢	$64	0xe5697a…
11-10 19:39:45	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xe2768d…
11-10 19:13:54	Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0x8dd05c…
11-10 18:43:19	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x1f0590…
11-10 17:17:15	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xcebcd8…
11-10 16:00:58	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x59aaaa…
11-10 15:49:58	Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x2c57f5…
11-10 15:35:49	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	Yes	SELL	60	65¢	$39	0xe9bd4b…
11-10 15:27:43	Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8c482e…
11-10 15:27:43	Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x625bd7…
11-10 15:27:43	Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4048ed…
11-10 15:22:30	Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xc4ebbf…
11-10 15:22:03	Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x090fc1…
11-10 15:14:55	Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x8e8dc7…
11-10 15:08:22	Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x2068c7…
11-10 14:59:13	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	125	16¢	$20	0x4a6718…
11-10 13:36:09	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x8eb2c9…
11-10 12:40:42	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xfc70d7…
11-10 12:28:22	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0xd82d74…
11-10 10:55:30	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xe72066…
11-10 06:54:24	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x8d001e…
11-10 04:06:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x2318aa…
11-10 03:10:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	Yes	SELL	58	65¢	$38	0x8e118f…
11-10 03:10:07	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x45f159…
11-10 01:28:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xd5ea92…
11-10 01:25:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x181584…
11-10 00:20:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x821a38…
11-09 23:17:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xc30d5a…
11-09 22:30:33	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	Yes	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0xd06d01…
11-09 22:24:21	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Yes	SELL	34	59¢	$20	0xf1b133…
11-09 22:01:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	65¢	$42	0xffff8d…
11-09 22:01:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x5d3433…
11-09 22:01:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x881952…
11-09 21:40:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	Yes	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0xae1b85…
11-09 20:39:34	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x59daf4…
11-09 20:25:09	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	SELL	60	58¢	$35	0xd467a0…
11-09 19:21:25	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x1e91b6…
11-09 19:05:22	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x6b7b25…
11-09 18:31:18	WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova	Karolina Muchova	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x26965a…
11-09 15:58:55	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x0337e0…
11-09 15:08:52	Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	56¢	$9	0x4df333…
11-09 14:29:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x0a744b…
11-09 14:24:31	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x325a7f…
11-09 14:04:06	Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x06f00e…
11-09 12:30:21	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x9839c6…
11-09 10:43:51	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x69e9f9…
11-09 10:16:45	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xb5efd3…
11-09 09:27:04	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xc2663b…
11-09 09:27:04	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x826669…
11-09 09:27:04	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x66f7ed…
11-09 07:33:28	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x9b6f31…
11-09 07:03:57	Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xc406a9…
11-09 05:46:49	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x39acc1…
11-09 05:09:04	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x53dc4b…
11-09 05:08:01	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0x1418ae…
11-09 04:36:58	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xccf720…
11-09 00:14:57	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xf9f304…
11-08 22:05:46	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	Yes	BUY	95	56¢	$53	0xc279d4…
11-08 21:30:22	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xb36b14…
11-08 20:52:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd6fa21…
11-08 20:44:00	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	SELL	60	47¢	$28	0x8fb061…
11-08 20:40:43	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x6d59bf…
11-08 20:34:39	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x66fc29…
11-08 19:11:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x5c9ed2…
11-08 16:58:28	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa60498…
11-08 16:43:00	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0x8d60e1…
11-08 15:42:13	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x40dcb7…
11-08 15:40:07	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x100a6b…
11-08 14:04:04	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x27df14…
11-08 10:22:31	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0xc3f3ae…
11-08 09:00:33	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xe4c1b1…
11-08 08:58:45	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x31340f…
11-08 06:46:45	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0x753de0…
11-08 06:36:45	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	26	76¢	$20	0x5a2be8…
11-08 05:08:48	Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xc9e4bf…
11-08 03:29:09	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xe775ad…
11-08 00:13:28	Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0x579fe0…
11-08 00:13:28	Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	23	65¢	$15	0x517f5c…
11-07 23:54:57	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	48	76¢	$37	0x90fd9f…
11-07 23:14:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x7be3eb…
11-07 22:58:27	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xdeb287…
11-07 18:41:18	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x6ef27d…