Realized P&L
+$2.33K
Unrealized P&L
+$633
Hit rate
61.0%
Resolved
16,152
Trades
93,027
lifetime
Volume
$387.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$2.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-24 00:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Other
89% 42% +$1,670
Crypto
8% 58% +$529
Politics
2% 42% +$118
Sports
1% 43% -$28
Tech
0% 29% +$39
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 1959 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +203 $149 100¢ $203 +$53 09-24 15:12
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +182 $114 84¢ $154 +$40 10-08 14:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +139 $80 96¢ $133 +$54 10-20 14:58
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +138 $102 96¢ $132 +$30 09-15 20:56
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +130 $64 98¢ $127 +$63 09-25 07:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +140 $82 86¢ $120 +$38 08-21 00:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +162 $119 72¢ $116 -$4 09-28 14:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +93 $63 100¢ $93 +$30 10-23 21:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +100 $70 90¢ $90 +$20 10-06 03:21
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +90 $80 96¢ $87 +$7 10-20 06:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +106 $57 81¢ $86 +$30 09-21 17:47
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +80 $38 96¢ $76 +$39 10-21 10:23
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +97 $82 77¢ $74 -$7 09-28 11:47
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +85 $53 84¢ $71 +$18 09-21 16:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +71 $55 99¢ $70 +$15 10-11 14:54
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +70 $49 98¢ $69 +$20 09-06 22:59
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +70 $42 98¢ $69 +$27 08-20 21:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +66 $44 96¢ $64 +$20 10-21 20:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +75 $49 84¢ $63 +$14 10-11 15:17
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +52 $41 96¢ $50 +$9 09-29 20:42
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +50 $38 99¢ $49 +$11 10-05 19:51
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +50 $37 97¢ $49 +$12 10-22 00:29
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +50 $29 96¢ $48 +$19 10-08 00:33
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +164 $35 29¢ $47 +$12 10-13 10:17
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 94¢ $47 +$9 09-20 22:44
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +48 $39 96¢ $46 +$7 09-05 13:54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +51 $33 87¢ $44 +$11 10-21 08:47
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +40 $34 99¢ $40 +$6 10-20 06:00
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +40 $15 96¢ $38 +$23 09-28 16:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +40 $30 94¢ $37 +$8 10-21 21:46