Willing-Paramecium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$686

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

4.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-27

last 09-19 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

54% 18% +$686

Politics

46% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No		+3	$3	98¢	$3	+$0	09-19 04:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	2	$940	500	500	+0	No	+$0	06-04 06:37
will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	3	$910	490	490	+0	No	+$0	08-01 02:55
total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	3	$905	497	497	+0	No	+$0	08-07 05:49
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	2	$901	495	495	+0	open	—	08-07 03:22
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	3	$875	500	500	+0	No	-$54	05-30 01:18
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	2	$846	460	460	+0	open	—	08-01 04:28
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	4	$131	1,010	1,010	+0	No	-$10	05-27 05:12
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	4	$130	810	810	+0	open	—	06-30 03:26
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	3	$129	920	920	+0	No	+$0	07-28 02:35
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	4	$111	945	945	+0	open	—	07-13 07:03
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	4	$109	910	910	+0	open	—	07-28 03:20
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	4	$103	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	05-28 04:39
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	2	$102	1,019	0	+1,019	Yes	+$917	05-28 04:52
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	4	$96	965	965	+0	No	+$0	06-12 04:57
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	8	$86	775	775	+0	No	-$4	06-30 06:02
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	4	$83	930	930	+0	open	—	07-13 08:06
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	2	$71	1,010	0	+1,010	BESTIA	-$71	05-27 07:30
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	2	$59	980	0	+980	Under	-$59	06-12 06:39
Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5)	3	$37	915	0	+915	Trabzonspor	-$37	04-27 08:45
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-19 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 04:49:03	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x65a02c…
08-07 05:49:57	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	SELL	489	91¢	$445	0x16455b…
08-07 05:49:52	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xf4149a…
08-07 04:44:57	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	497	91¢	$452	0x5a52a5…
08-07 03:22:43	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	SELL	495	91¢	$450	0xde94e8…
08-07 02:31:15	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	BUY	495	91¢	$450	0xab1ab2…
08-01 04:28:12	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	SELL	460	92¢	$423	0xb6d9ef…
08-01 03:07:29	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	BUY	460	92¢	$423	0x853c27…
08-01 02:55:11	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	No	SELL	440	93¢	$409	0x1a8db2…
08-01 02:54:32	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x0f88af…
08-01 02:04:47	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	No	BUY	490	93¢	$455	0xfc3df3…
07-28 03:20:34	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	SELL	470	6¢	$28	0xa81998…
07-28 03:20:25	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	SELL	440	6¢	$26	0x0f0626…
07-28 02:42:06	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	BUY	460	6¢	$28	0xbd1e09…
07-28 02:41:52	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	BUY	450	6¢	$27	0xd0b945…
07-28 02:35:00	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	920	7¢	$64	0xafcad7…
07-28 01:51:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	475	7¢	$33	0xc15cd1…
07-28 01:51:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	445	7¢	$31	0x4b4a59…
07-13 08:06:52	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	450	4¢	$20	0x48ada8…
07-13 08:06:31	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	4¢	$22	0x317ee0…
07-13 07:23:53	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	4¢	$22	0xb58cf3…
07-13 07:23:40	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	4¢	$20	0xc80b2a…
07-13 07:03:19	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	488	6¢	$28	0xcb8803…
07-13 07:03:05	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	457	6¢	$27	0x8dc9af…
07-13 06:35:01	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	478	6¢	$28	0x167600…
07-13 06:34:47	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	467	6¢	$28	0xe6172f…
06-30 06:02:34	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x5d4a4e…
06-30 06:02:07	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x077894…
06-30 05:54:40	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	374	5¢	$20	0x5fb876…
06-30 05:54:25	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x4bf815…
06-30 05:53:02	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	377	5¢	$20	0x4bd998…
06-30 05:52:35	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x03c148…
06-30 05:07:32	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	383	6¢	$22	0x54b104…
06-30 05:07:02	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	387	6¢	$22	0x188183…
06-30 03:26:05	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	SELL	410	8¢	$33	0x27398e…
06-30 03:25:52	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	8¢	$32	0x389173…
06-30 02:39:11	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	BUY	420	8¢	$34	0x2fda18…
06-30 02:38:47	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	BUY	390	8¢	$31	0x2c937a…
06-12 06:39:03	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	498	6¢	$30	0xdb31a1…
06-12 06:38:34	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	482	6¢	$29	0xe60d64…
06-12 04:57:22	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	490	5¢	$24	0x080e75…
06-12 04:57:04	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	475	5¢	$24	0x457315…
06-12 04:28:45	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	490	5¢	$24	0x7f0fa8…
06-12 04:28:25	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	475	5¢	$24	0x2e1b85…
06-04 06:37:13	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	SELL	500	94¢	$470	0xda20f9…
06-04 05:59:39	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x7ada5a…
05-30 01:18:45	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0xadf96e…
05-29 06:35:45	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	470	82¢	$385	0x0ef2b0…
05-29 05:09:58	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x32179e…
05-28 04:52:22	Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Yes	BUY	489	10¢	$49	0x320834…
05-28 04:50:30	Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Yes	BUY	530	10¢	$53	0x8ba5b9…
05-28 04:39:29	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	465	5¢	$25	0xf61503…
05-28 04:39:08	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	535	5¢	$28	0xe6c364…
05-28 02:33:04	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	BUY	510	5¢	$26	0x1b511f…
05-28 02:32:45	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	BUY	490	5¢	$24	0x5d18f9…
05-27 07:30:59	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	25 cents	BUY	515	7¢	$36	0x76a7b2…
05-27 07:30:33	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	25 cents	BUY	495	7¢	$35	0x4796f0…
05-27 05:12:15	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	Yes	SELL	508	6¢	$30	0xc4235e…
05-27 05:12:02	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	Yes	SELL	502	6¢	$30	0x8620ee…
05-27 03:12:03	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	Yes	BUY	508	7¢	$36	0xdb11fa…
05-27 03:11:35	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	Yes	BUY	502	7¢	$35	0xc5a7f1…
04-27 08:45:18	Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5)	Konyaspor	BUY	460	4¢	$18	0x0ba043…
04-27 08:44:32	Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5)	Konyaspor	BUY	355	4¢	$14	0xaff6d7…
04-27 08:44:10	Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5)	Konyaspor	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x3f17e9…