Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
3
Trades
199
lifetime
Volume
$32.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$161
Open exposure
$4.41K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 07-21 03:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
57%
Other
26% 50% +$1
Politics
9%
Sports
8% 0% $-11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -608 $-573 96¢ $-585 $-12 06-08 07:44
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -613 $-579 94¢ $-579 $-0 07-21 03:03
Trump out as President before 2027? No -626 $-582 92¢ $-579 +$3 07-03 02:43
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +609 $565 93¢ $567 +$2 07-03 02:30
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -306 $-300 98¢ $-300 $-0 07-21 02:57
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +303 $287 96¢ $292 +$5 07-07 05:12
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +304 $285 96¢ $291 +$5 07-15 03:40
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -301 $-289 96¢ $-289 +$0 07-04 07:51
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -304 $-284 95¢ $-289 $-5 06-24 03:02
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +305 $241 84¢ $255 +$14 06-29 02:54
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +301 $183 58¢ $176 $-8 07-07 05:09
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? No -103 $-98 94¢ $-97 +$1 07-17 02:45
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +649 $51 $45 $-6 07-03 02:35
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +316 $37 11¢ $33 $-4 06-24 03:07
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +321 $7 $18 +$11 06-29 02:46
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +650 $11 $9 $-2 07-14 05:32
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +3 $-6 94¢ $3 +$9 07-03 02:28