(anonymous) 0xe8bd6d…296504
6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$31
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
79.9%
Resolved
248
Trades
576
lifetime
Volume
$12.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$416
4 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 10-12 09:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
74% 63% +$80
Crypto
11% 89% +$0
Politics
10% 66% -$114
Sports
5% 60% +$64
Tech
2% 69% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -200 -$187 98¢ $-196 -$9 06-02 04:19
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +240 $171 72¢ $174 +$3 10-04 13:50
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +65 $37 56¢ $36 -$1 10-12 09:57
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 06-02 05:06