Realized P&L (30d)
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$104
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
52
148 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$619
$1.99K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$87
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-30 03:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
77% 47% +$330
Sports
12% 0% -$243
Tech
5% 50% -$2
Politics
4% 50% +$140
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$3
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +234 $33 19¢ $45 +$12 10-17 15:35
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +42 $38 90¢ $38 $0 10-24 00:09
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -15 -$1 20¢ $-3 -$2 05-06 20:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-11 11:31
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -15 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$2 05-06 20:59
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +0 -$108 96¢ $0 +$108 10-11 11:23
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +1 $6 12¢ $0 -$6 10-11 11:29
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $10 10¢ $0 -$10 10-11 11:33
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 10-30 03:38