Warlike-Wholesaler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

376

lifetime

Volume

$374

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-04 00:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Politics

19% 0% $-0

Crypto

13% 0% $-0

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
QFEX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		-2	$-2	56¢	$-1	+$1	06-24 10:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	07-02 01:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	12	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	01-23 09:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	11	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	07-02 01:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 07:25
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-24 06:15
nothing ever happens microstrategy	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-05 07:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$6	2	4	-2	open	—	06-18 10:20
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-04 00:43
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-19 09:40
us strike on somalia by january 31	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	01-09 07:42
will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:33
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	01-14 08:57
will usdai launch a token by march 31	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-13 06:19
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	03-19 04:17
will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-05 06:26
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 06:11
bitcoin above 68k on april 18	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 07:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-07 01:09
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 10:06
ethereum up or down on february 27	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-27 09:34
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 01:50
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-24 03:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-28 00:43
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 00:45
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 01:25
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:19
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-09 07:45
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 01:05
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase december 30 january 5	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-05 06:30
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be greater than $150M at market close on IPO day?	4	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 02:27
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 00:43:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xca47df…
07-04 00:22:43	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5f7ca4…
07-03 01:37:47	will netanyahu be pardoned by december 31	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x8cad0a…
07-03 01:24:52	will netanyahu be pardoned by december 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x50be52…
07-02 01:13:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbfc3bb…
07-02 00:29:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c5690…
07-01 00:09:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0abf59…
06-30 23:51:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf9b406…
06-30 00:55:13	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe32d89…
06-30 00:54:35	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0601a5…
06-30 00:20:20	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x703274…
06-30 00:13:50	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3662b9…
06-27 01:05:10	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x84acf9…
06-27 00:55:05	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xadcc94…
06-25 00:19:25	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1d911f…
06-25 00:18:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe418bb…
06-25 00:10:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9eff2f…
06-25 00:08:02	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x831fda…
06-24 10:22:05	QFEX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x97a6fa…
06-24 10:21:43	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x048561…
06-24 10:21:07	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc77ef…
06-24 10:10:43	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa0a328…
06-24 10:09:25	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfae5a0…
06-23 10:30:28	will xrp reach 1pt8 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e165b…
06-23 10:30:05	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x555b25…
06-23 10:27:07	will xrp reach 1pt8 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc991c1…
06-23 10:26:07	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x567932…
06-22 08:28:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbcfb96…
06-22 08:28:32	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe12fc0…
06-22 08:01:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1bf84c…
06-22 07:59:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf2f602…
06-18 10:21:01	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xceced3…
06-18 10:20:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdf67e8…
06-18 10:17:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ddb0e…
06-18 10:16:31	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0225e8…
06-17 09:40:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf91a9e…
06-17 09:32:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb5caf8…
06-16 10:06:55	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7fbe30…
06-16 10:06:18	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4754e9…
06-16 09:57:07	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1b286e…
06-16 09:55:09	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd73255…
06-15 09:58:40	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa70096…
06-15 09:57:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x651034…
06-13 09:30:07	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7fbb75…
06-13 09:28:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbb1647…
06-13 09:16:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x27b337…
06-13 09:16:09	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x49b354…
06-12 10:10:16	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf44a88…
06-12 09:55:01	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa793ec…
06-11 10:16:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xad37fe…
06-11 10:05:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa65d1e…
06-10 10:15:10	will solana reach 100 june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x79cb38…
06-10 10:13:13	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1f119c…
06-10 10:07:07	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa96e0f…
06-10 10:05:55	will solana reach 100 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77d399…
06-09 09:15:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcffa9b…
06-09 09:04:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeb8b4f…
06-08 08:46:21	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x2ea56e…
06-08 08:42:24	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x42e924…
06-06 09:11:19	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdbe05f…
06-06 09:11:03	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfa51d2…
06-06 09:01:24	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x536ee4…
06-06 08:59:18	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f97b1…
06-05 09:58:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xabaa3d…
06-05 09:21:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xde5f57…
06-04 10:16:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf09cf1…
06-04 10:12:51	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc631af…
06-03 10:25:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf6b022…
06-03 08:52:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf1259b…
06-02 08:50:27	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x344a9b…
06-02 08:49:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3d3a3d…
06-02 08:39:38	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x68b545…
06-01 10:30:53	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfdfa5c…
06-01 10:05:20	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9b7bb9…
05-30 03:57:18	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdfcae3…
05-30 03:55:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x615683…
05-30 03:48:28	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x82c918…
05-30 03:47:27	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4440f6…
05-29 09:54:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe673b3…
05-29 09:52:50	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd72833…
05-29 09:51:50	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xedefd3…
05-28 09:41:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd0fb31…
05-28 09:40:53	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x282a8e…
05-28 09:29:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x789d7f…
05-28 09:27:05	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe9c3d…
05-26 10:25:45	Will Semtech (SMTC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xd2f77b…
05-26 10:11:47	Will Semtech (SMTC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb389f3…
05-25 09:21:13	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2d4d61…
05-25 09:14:50	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd24b79…
05-22 06:58:33	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x2c295a…
05-22 06:43:35	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe671e7…
05-20 01:38:23	Will Trump or Melania say "Movie Star" during the Congressional Picnic?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x62345c…
05-20 01:23:50	Will Trump or Melania say "Movie Star" during the Congressional Picnic?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7e589d…
05-19 00:46:11	Will Trump say "Super Bowl" this week?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x109176…
05-19 00:09:31	Will Trump say "Super Bowl" this week?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x76e544…
05-18 02:00:26	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa6672c…
05-18 01:35:49	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebdf40…
05-16 00:45:17	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x805974…
05-16 00:23:55	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9e27fc…
05-15 00:32:37	Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf5cb5e…