Compassionate-Bassinet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

472

lifetime

Volume

$67.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$144

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-08 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Politics

43% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$3.9K	3,675	686	+2,989	open	—	03-04 16:48
honus wagner card sale 4 million	1	$3.0K	3,006	0	+3,006	open	—	02-22 17:05
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	16	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	02-21 21:35
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$3.0K	2,979	0	+2,979	open	—	02-24 21:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$2.8K	2,863	0	+2,863	open	—	02-28 23:26
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	1	$2.5K	2,553	0	+2,553	open	—	02-27 23:37
will steve toth be the republican nominee for tx 02	4	$2.2K	2,277	0	+2,277	open	—	03-04 02:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-08 21:38
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	2	$1.8K	1,791	0	+1,791	open	—	02-07 21:44
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	5	$1.8K	1,767	0	+1,767	open	—	06-18 04:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$1.7K	1,730	0	+1,730	open	—	04-09 04:46
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$1.6K	1,684	100	+1,584	open	—	02-15 05:02
will kirsten gillibrand be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	1	$1.5K	1,496	0	+1,496	open	—	01-31 23:48
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	5	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	01-03 15:59
will jimmy kimmel be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	2	$1.4K	1,373	0	+1,373	open	—	01-31 22:18
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	3	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-07 20:28
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$1.3K	1,700	437	+1,263	open	—	03-13 15:51
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$1.0K	1,798	35	+1,763	open	—	06-15 18:50
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	4	$1.0K	1,049	49	+1,000	open	—	03-04 02:35
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-01 21:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$951	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-28 20:06
starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871	2	$930	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-20 05:50
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	1	$912	913	0	+913	open	—	06-25 02:19
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	3	$863	562	311	+251	open	—	07-27 17:39
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	3	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	07-13 15:28
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	13	$798	963	298	+665	open	—	02-27 21:02
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$772	2,032	0	+2,032	open	—	08-04 19:19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$742	400	400	+0	open	—	04-16 13:30
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	3	$697	600	300	+300	open	—	07-27 17:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	3	$656	984	0	+984	open	—	08-04 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 17:39:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xb5b60c…
08-07 22:40:43	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	247	26¢	$64	0x4f9f34…
08-07 15:56:51	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by september 30 20260806194218452	Yes	BUY	135	60¢	$81	0xe955c6…
08-07 15:56:43	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	78	55¢	$43	0x92052a…
08-06 03:51:24	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	Yes	SELL	495	32¢	$156	0x8697fa…
08-06 01:07:56	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	Yes	BUY	990	24¢	$237	0x80b378…
08-05 17:52:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	237	45¢	$106	0xafdf66…
08-05 12:55:47	Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027?	No	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x0e3efb…
08-05 05:32:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	116	49¢	$57	0x4f8b36…
08-05 02:22:42	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	SELL	169	45¢	$76	0xad4112…
08-04 19:19:24	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	38¢	$380	0x0732f9…
08-04 13:26:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	449	73¢	$330	0x23b99f…
08-02 21:47:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	254	61¢	$155	0x8b1d10…
08-02 13:34:35	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	199	57¢	$114	0x9c2337…
08-02 13:34:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb5cdd9…
08-02 13:34:29	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x552880…
08-01 16:13:06	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	255	31¢	$79	0xfa68e5…
08-01 14:09:44	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	83	42¢	$35	0x6f6dfa…
08-01 13:51:41	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xc4ce1e…
08-01 13:47:59	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	84	20¢	$17	0x7abd71…
08-01 04:39:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0x98c4b4…
07-31 23:44:35	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	Yes	BUY	500	46¢	$230	0x292156…
07-31 21:37:27	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0x40d602…
07-31 17:53:39	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x600bdb…
07-31 15:28:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	106	48¢	$50	0x9382ca…
07-31 03:55:20	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	400	32¢	$128	0xc8cddb…
07-30 22:05:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	400	24¢	$94	0xbf9b58…
07-30 22:03:08	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x273417…
07-30 21:44:45	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x2691c8…
07-29 22:41:23	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,032	38¢	$392	0x1d4dd0…
07-28 22:05:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xc834b1…
07-28 21:55:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	64¢	$127	0xf743d3…
07-28 21:53:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	64	61¢	$39	0x6b886b…
07-28 21:53:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x760636…
07-28 16:54:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x78de05…
07-28 16:54:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	281	61¢	$171	0x2ae24b…
07-27 17:52:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0x506957…
07-27 17:39:37	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	SELL	201	99¢	$199	0x844d99…
07-27 17:39:37	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x78a4e2…
07-27 16:36:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	562	99¢	$555	0xfdefef…
07-27 15:28:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x515349…
07-27 15:27:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	400	70¢	$282	0xb35189…
07-20 16:08:57	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	261	7¢	$18	0x40ec43…
07-20 14:08:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x2d1d28…
07-20 13:54:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	67¢	$74	0x3b1e6c…
07-15 07:38:20	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb54e60…
07-15 05:38:34	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	163	21¢	$34	0x1da822…
07-15 05:37:43	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	253	25¢	$63	0xd6b2cf…
07-14 00:08:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x1e2593…
07-14 00:07:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x234812…
07-14 00:03:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x020542…
07-13 23:21:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	158	30¢	$47	0x7bf159…
07-13 15:40:22	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xd60b0c…
07-13 15:28:29	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x21958f…
07-13 15:26:11	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43dd49…
07-13 15:25:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	754	100¢	$753	0xfff7d1…
07-13 15:08:17	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x85c936…
07-13 15:01:40	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	85	95¢	$81	0xae3482…
07-13 14:55:16	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x78a364…
07-08 21:19:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	868	29¢	$251	0xf6e0e8…
07-08 21:12:43	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	130	84¢	$109	0xbcfffa…
07-07 20:28:44	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1,000	98¢	$980	0xa0426a…
07-07 00:41:22	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	BUY	133	4¢	$5	0x0cbf9a…
07-06 17:52:10	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$174	0xe31faa…
07-06 17:49:25	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0x920459…
07-01 20:20:50	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	247	71¢	$175	0x0788fe…
07-01 14:03:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	185	91¢	$168	0x97272e…
06-30 21:27:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	85	84¢	$72	0x0a057b…
06-30 13:35:32	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	46	90¢	$41	0xafcc86…
06-25 13:14:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0x76ad6b…
06-25 13:13:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	600	37¢	$222	0xe5a451…
06-25 02:19:58	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	913	100¢	$912	0x35b9ff…
06-23 16:49:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0x27cfa1…
06-23 16:49:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	600	55¢	$330	0x33fc73…
06-22 16:49:56	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x733282…
06-22 14:41:34	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	BUY	240	99¢	$238	0xeae9f7…
06-21 21:54:22	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0xee5fa1…
06-21 17:43:35	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x428c6e…
06-21 17:41:29	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	60	69¢	$42	0x3b1618…
06-21 15:26:02	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x277a5e…
06-21 13:53:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0xf1d249…
06-21 13:53:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0xc8b7a8…
06-21 13:46:25	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb27998…
06-21 13:36:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xd2bdf4…
06-21 13:35:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	22	74¢	$17	0xc7aded…
06-21 13:35:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xb276dd…
06-21 13:35:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf83d2a…
06-21 13:34:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x86e923…
06-21 13:21:41	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xf210cd…
06-21 13:19:40	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8df4b3…
06-21 13:19:38	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xfee556…
06-21 13:19:37	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	46	69¢	$32	0xa45e01…
06-21 13:08:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xa09c68…
06-21 12:59:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0x3b3254…
06-20 22:28:40	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	78	85¢	$66	0x9b6461…
06-20 21:11:59	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	235	85¢	$200	0x92e3d9…
06-20 20:28:02	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x6f84ea…
06-20 20:27:59	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf10669…
06-20 20:27:58	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	308	57¢	$175	0x5dd9a2…
06-20 20:24:23	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	531	91¢	$483	0x2fae73…