Compassionate-Bassinet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$50.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$156

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-06 17:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Politics

43% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$3.9K	3,675	686	+2,989	open	—	03-04 16:48
honus wagner card sale 4 million	1	$3.0K	3,006	0	+3,006	open	—	02-22 17:05
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	16	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	02-21 21:35
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$3.0K	2,979	0	+2,979	open	—	02-24 21:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$2.8K	2,863	0	+2,863	open	—	02-28 23:26
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	1	$2.5K	2,553	0	+2,553	open	—	02-27 23:37
will steve toth be the republican nominee for tx 02	4	$2.2K	2,277	0	+2,277	open	—	03-04 02:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-08 21:38
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	2	$1.8K	1,791	0	+1,791	open	—	02-07 21:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$1.7K	1,730	0	+1,730	open	—	04-09 04:46
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$1.6K	1,684	100	+1,584	open	—	02-15 05:02
will kirsten gillibrand be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	1	$1.5K	1,496	0	+1,496	open	—	01-31 23:48
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	5	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	01-03 15:59
will jimmy kimmel be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	2	$1.4K	1,373	0	+1,373	open	—	01-31 22:18
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$1.3K	1,700	437	+1,263	open	—	03-13 15:51
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	4	$1.0K	1,049	49	+1,000	open	—	03-04 02:35
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-01 21:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$951	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-28 20:06
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	13	$798	963	298	+665	open	—	02-27 21:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$742	400	400	+0	open	—	04-16 13:30
will michael jackson be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	5	$647	692	0	+692	open	—	01-30 20:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$636	1,565	0	+1,565	open	—	03-09 20:24
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$585	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	04-11 05:10
maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	3	$558	747	0	+747	open	—	01-03 07:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$486	243	243	+0	open	—	04-23 14:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$420	1,000	500	+500	open	—	04-17 16:17
will alan dershowitz be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	1	$396	400	0	+400	open	—	01-31 17:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$392	395	0	+395	open	—	06-02 12:25
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$347	488	488	+0	open	—	01-31 01:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$335	500	0	+500	open	—	04-20 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 17:28:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	800	7¢	$56	0xbd135d…
06-02 12:25:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	395	99¢	$392	0x45a5b3…
05-25 04:58:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0x4465d5…
05-24 18:35:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	12¢	$150	0x7df1b7…
05-24 12:34:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xe4ee60…
05-22 12:43:23	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x188a0b…
05-20 05:04:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	No	BUY	250	76¢	$190	0x05f842…
05-08 00:49:54	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xc35151…
05-05 09:00:56	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	627	7¢	$44	0x2cc967…
05-05 08:53:18	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x944554…
05-05 08:49:24	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x0f71c4…
05-05 08:38:04	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x112f8a…
05-05 08:11:22	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x990f9d…
05-05 08:11:22	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x88c110…
05-05 08:11:20	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc51416…
05-05 08:11:20	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x65336b…
05-05 08:11:20	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x495074…
05-05 08:11:20	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x287b10…
05-05 08:11:20	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x0fc691…
05-05 08:11:20	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x096d58…
05-05 08:11:18	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x71f02c…
05-05 08:11:18	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x37625b…
05-05 07:53:14	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x0a461b…
05-05 06:31:02	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xce9284…
05-05 06:06:14	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xb93f49…
05-05 05:58:12	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	65	7¢	$5	0x4c2cd6…
05-05 05:54:34	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x4c31d0…
05-05 05:45:30	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0x6d7923…
05-05 05:41:30	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0x4148cc…
05-05 04:55:46	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0x19806d…
04-23 14:22:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	251	97¢	$244	0x00e170…
04-23 14:22:06	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0x75bc22…
04-21 18:14:32	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0xc674b2…
04-21 15:06:24	will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass	Yes	BUY	600	18¢	$105	0x025703…
04-21 14:26:00	will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass	Yes	BUY	1,001	16¢	$155	0x5fe5b5…
04-20 13:37:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	409	67¢	$274	0xec6d46…
04-20 13:35:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0x14e1de…
04-20 13:05:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	67	67¢	$45	0xd63244…
04-20 13:05:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	236	27¢	$64	0x5481df…
04-17 16:17:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xfec676…
04-17 16:17:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0xf7c732…
04-17 16:17:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x811910…
04-17 16:17:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	217	46¢	$100	0x446545…
04-17 16:17:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	62	46¢	$29	0x4ad310…
04-17 04:55:50	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	BUY	215	7¢	$14	0xaa4175…
04-16 13:30:14	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	141	99¢	$139	0xebd7fd…
04-16 13:18:38	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x5911e0…
04-16 13:07:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	236	38¢	$90	0xaeb50e…
04-16 13:07:42	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbad842…
04-16 13:05:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	173	99¢	$170	0x4bac9e…
04-15 13:58:36	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	252	99¢	$248	0xa4fb57…
04-14 23:30:40	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xe603ed…
04-14 23:25:32	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x5d28da…
04-12 17:09:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0x5b69ff…
04-11 23:23:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0x0c0f2a…
04-11 05:44:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x7202d3…
04-11 05:18:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8a16a5…
04-11 05:10:35	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	1,500	39¢	$585	0xf84bb2…
04-11 05:08:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	115	96¢	$111	0x283384…
04-11 00:58:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	441	44¢	$194	0x72617c…
04-09 04:46:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,265	100¢	$1,263	0x809c4d…
04-08 15:50:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	417	100¢	$415	0xabbf70…
04-08 03:37:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xf8da3a…
03-26 17:29:53	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	288	0¢	$1	0x2c1c25…
03-26 17:29:33	will trump issue a gold card by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xfe3085…
03-17 21:19:09	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	56¢	$14	0x2536b1…
03-13 15:51:53	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0xae04e1…
03-12 20:16:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x5c2071…
03-12 20:15:03	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	415	53¢	$220	0x8bd3c3…
03-09 20:24:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	65	32¢	$21	0x7e760a…
03-09 20:04:39	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	437	62¢	$271	0x88f9f3…
03-09 14:45:47	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	201	19¢	$38	0xdeb243…
03-09 14:45:09	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	653	19¢	$124	0xee3875…
03-09 00:19:05	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	133	8¢	$10	0x882ad0…
03-09 00:17:07	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	157	8¢	$12	0x903f62…
03-09 00:14:09	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	264	7¢	$18	0xe6f0a3…
03-09 00:09:35	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$16	0x742050…
03-08 21:38:53	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x1116f4…
03-08 17:37:29	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	123	5¢	$7	0x1d4ce1…
03-08 05:55:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x9bea49…
03-08 05:54:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,106	41¢	$453	0xb5b3b3…
03-08 05:52:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	207	41¢	$85	0x4d34c9…
03-08 05:49:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x41656f…
03-08 05:47:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6eda30…
03-08 05:46:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x34f7e1…
03-08 05:45:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xcd2371…
03-08 05:44:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0xcc6eae…
03-08 05:40:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	118	41¢	$48	0xd495e3…
03-08 03:07:55	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	110	44¢	$48	0x6d1c22…
03-05 04:12:53	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	700	59¢	$413	0x3d950a…
03-04 16:48:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,507	100¢	$3,503	0xb04ea6…
03-04 03:25:25	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x78551b…
03-04 02:38:11	will steve toth be the republican nominee for tx 02	Yes	BUY	879	98¢	$861	0xf5e277…
03-04 02:35:39	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x8079c3…
03-04 02:35:19	will steve toth be the republican nominee for tx 02	Yes	BUY	121	98¢	$119	0xb6c3e6…
03-04 02:32:17	will steve toth be the republican nominee for tx 02	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x3ca0b6…
03-04 02:32:09	will steve toth be the republican nominee for tx 02	Yes	BUY	1,227	99¢	$1,213	0xc5c2e1…
02-28 23:26:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,762	96¢	$1,700	0x4d6062…
02-28 22:24:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0x81727d…
02-28 22:24:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x13be88…