Realized P&L (30d)
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
6
Trades (30d)
11
94 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$111
$26.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$285
Open exposure
$491
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 10-25 05:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
72% 87% -$6,697
Crypto
21% 100% +$6
Politics
3% 100% +$35
Sports
3% 57% +$124
Tech
1% 83% -$114
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -200 -$197 99¢ $-198 $0 09-06 00:39
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -100 -$98 99¢ $-99 -$1 09-06 00:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -100 -$96 98¢ $-98 -$2 09-06 00:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-25 05:31
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-25 05:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-25 05:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-25 05:33
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-25 05:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 09-17 06:15
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? Yes +10 $10 97¢ $10 $0 10-25 05:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 09-17 06:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $6 70¢ $7 +$1 09-17 06:15
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +10 $8 70¢ $7 -$1 09-17 06:11
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10 $4 29¢ $3 -$1 09-17 06:16