Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

114 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$78.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$692

Open exposure

$423

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 11-04 03:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Politics

67% 84% -$51,417

Other

24% 88% -$6,697

Crypto

7% 100% +$6

Sports

1% 57% +$124

Tech

0% 86% -$114

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-200	-$197	99¢	$-199	-$2	09-06 00:39
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	-100	-$98	99¢	$-99	-$1	09-06 00:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-100	-$96	98¢	$-98	-$2	09-06 00:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-25 05:32
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+10	$9	97¢	$10	+$1	09-17 06:12
another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	+10	$8	78¢	$8	$0	09-17 06:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	15	$26.2K	41,477	41,477	+0	No	-$25,947	11-04 03:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	5	$25.9K	40,865	40,865	-0	Yes	-$25,507	11-04 03:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	16	$15.9K	22,348	22,348	+0	No	-$6,481	09-13 18:47
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$5.6K	5,570	0	+5,570	No	+$6	03-22 20:29
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	2	$1.9K	5,800	5,800	+0	Arizona Wildcats	-$232	03-22 20:16
nba mem den 2026 02 11	1	$255	300	0	+300	Nuggets	+$45	02-12 01:40
nba okc phx 2026 02 11	1	$213	300	0	+300	Thunder	+$87	02-12 01:40
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-21 21:37
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-21 21:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$197	0	200	-200	open	—	09-06 00:39
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$193	200	0	+200	No	+$7	01-31 04:00
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$190	200	0	+200	Yes	+$10	01-31 04:03
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$190	200	0	+200	No	+$10	01-31 03:59
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$186	200	0	+200	No	+$14	02-12 01:46
nba sas gsw 2026 02 11	1	$134	200	0	+200	Spurs	+$66	02-12 01:42
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$116	300	0	+300	Yes	-$116	02-12 01:44
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$109	110	0	+110	Yes	+$1	02-21 21:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$104	105	0	+105	No	+$1	06-09 00:56
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-12 01:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	04-12 05:17
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	1	$98	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	01-31 04:04
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	1	$98	0	100	-100	open	—	09-06 00:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$97	100	0	+100	No	+$3	05-03 08:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$96	0	100	-100	open	—	09-06 00:38
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	$0	01-22 09:47
nba sac uta 2026 02 11	1	$35	100	0	+100	Jazz	-$35	02-12 01:41
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	1	$29	100	0	+100	No	-$29	01-24 05:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-06 00:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-06 00:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	10-25 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 03:58:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41,477	0¢	$115	0x7930cf…
11-04 03:57:24	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	40,865	1¢	$210	0xaa8814…
11-02 06:00:54	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x76b471…
11-02 05:58:49	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	7,111	65¢	$4,622	0xd3af65…
11-02 05:57:25	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,394	65¢	$1,551	0xf90464…
11-02 05:56:36	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,585	65¢	$1,675	0x56c41f…
11-02 05:55:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,644	65¢	$4,292	0x7483ea…
11-02 05:55:12	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,964	64¢	$1,257	0xe1fa98…
11-02 05:54:43	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,888	64¢	$1,207	0x6f56b5…
11-02 05:54:22	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	15,668	64¢	$10,009	0x076569…
11-02 05:53:00	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xff5b89…
11-02 05:52:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	64¢	$1,274	0xe332e7…
11-02 05:52:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	637	64¢	$406	0x13d247…
11-02 05:52:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,788	63¢	$3,659	0x0b1f8e…
11-02 05:52:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	64¢	$102	0x0044b7…
11-02 05:51:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,882	62¢	$6,166	0x9e8b97…
11-02 05:51:04	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,488	61¢	$2,136	0x518660…
11-02 05:50:37	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	16,123	61¢	$9,829	0x6eb5de…
11-02 05:48:51	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,245	60¢	$3,139	0xb9cd0f…
11-02 05:46:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	685	59¢	$403	0xea979e…
10-25 05:34:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7ccbbc…
10-25 05:34:21	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf12cef…
10-25 05:33:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d140a…
10-25 05:33:23	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30dfa9…
10-25 05:32:54	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8cca6d…
10-25 05:32:24	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2c2f5…
10-25 05:32:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf525da…
10-25 05:31:47	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8928a4…
10-25 05:31:12	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf84ca1…
10-25 05:30:47	Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x53181d…
10-25 05:30:24	Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8a4985…
09-17 06:22:40	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21e531…
09-17 06:22:21	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa8347…
09-17 06:20:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcb8417…
09-17 06:20:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x7e1a2f…
09-17 06:19:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfafbaf…
09-17 06:19:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x695bcf…
09-17 06:18:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8c3a42…
09-17 06:18:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x02a851…
09-17 06:17:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x2ffcc9…
09-17 06:17:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2738de…
09-17 06:16:55	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x344401…
09-17 06:15:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xde1ddd…
09-17 06:15:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe58f0d…
09-17 06:14:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9058d8…
09-17 06:12:52	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x33addd…
09-17 06:11:58	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x5b3294…
09-17 06:11:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc1f5f3…
09-13 18:47:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,452	21¢	$515	0xd1313b…
09-13 18:47:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	31	21¢	$6	0x6b5d4e…
09-13 18:45:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	127	21¢	$27	0xa68aff…
09-13 18:45:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	143	21¢	$30	0x5c29f8…
09-13 18:45:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	43	21¢	$9	0x940ba2…
09-13 18:44:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	398	21¢	$84	0xee1c20…
09-13 18:42:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,514	21¢	$318	0x8692e0…
09-13 18:40:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	55	21¢	$12	0xb2d828…
09-13 18:40:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,722	21¢	$572	0xb81faf…
09-13 18:38:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	51	21¢	$11	0xabc290…
09-13 18:37:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	152	21¢	$32	0xb3dfe4…
09-13 18:35:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	21¢	$52	0x843913…
09-13 18:35:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	137	21¢	$29	0xf3c5ad…
09-13 18:33:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	44	21¢	$9	0x3b3906…
09-13 18:33:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14,228	21¢	$2,988	0x1bfbb1…
09-06 00:51:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22,348	50¢	$11,174	0xdb739f…
09-06 00:43:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3dca24…
09-06 00:42:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6a5f32…
09-06 00:39:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0xfa2fc1…
09-06 00:38:51	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x1681b6…
09-06 00:38:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xb76603…
08-14 22:29:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xd8b2dc…
08-14 22:29:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by august 31 20260730182630755	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb995ec…
08-14 22:28:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa2e290…
08-14 22:28:30	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63c8fb…
08-14 22:27:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf0160c…
08-14 22:27:42	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbf86cc…
08-14 22:27:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4214cc…
08-14 22:26:37	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9578ad…
08-14 22:26:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0cfab0…
08-14 22:25:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ea727…
07-12 05:45:56	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4e9ab4…
07-12 05:43:22	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x270f42…
07-12 05:42:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x69929f…
07-12 05:41:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3a698d…
07-12 05:41:20	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd45dd…
07-12 05:41:02	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcff357…
07-12 05:40:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57c7af…
07-12 05:40:13	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34f777…
07-12 05:39:53	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5216a…
07-12 05:39:32	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x84fbb2…
07-12 05:38:58	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x713602…
06-09 00:56:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x92d7f6…
05-03 08:21:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0dfcf2…
04-12 05:17:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd0e747…
03-22 20:29:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	5,570	100¢	$5,564	0x0a2910…
03-22 20:16:37	cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	Utah State Aggies	SELL	5,800	14¢	$812	0x4868f4…
03-22 20:11:41	cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	Utah State Aggies	BUY	5,800	18¢	$1,044	0x2b22ce…
02-21 21:37:58	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xfd0ac1…
02-21 21:37:06	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x1d5cf2…
02-21 21:36:34	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x93b0ba…
02-12 01:48:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa83531…