Realized P&L (30d)
+$16
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
81.3%
Resolved (30d)
9
Trades (30d)
28
2,863 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$119
$11.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$45
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 11-10 23:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
83% 50% +$383
Politics
9% 35% -$205
Sports
7% 48% +$44
Crypto
1% 47% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$3
Tech
0% 50% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -17 -$13 92¢ $-16 -$3 05-11 13:05
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +53 $8 16¢ $9 +$1 11-09 21:53
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? Yes +6 $5 94¢ $5 $0 11-11 09:10
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 $0 05-15 13:47
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -23 -$4 17¢ $-4 +$0 05-15 13:47
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +17 $3 15¢ $3 $0 11-09 17:30
Will there be no House floor vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? Yes +2 $1 95¢ $2 +$0 11-10 23:06
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10 -$1 9¢ $-1 +$0 05-15 13:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -20 -$3 2¢ $-0 +$2 05-15 13:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 07-01 13:13
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 07-01 13:13
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$2 99¢ $0 +$2 11-04 03:00
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? No +6 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-09 15:13
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $6 3¢ $0 -$6 11-10 23:27