Realized P&L (90d)
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved (90d)
95
Trades (90d)
173
2,855 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$625
$11.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$39
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 11-09 15:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
83% 50% +$383
Politics
9% 35% -$205
Sports
7% 48% +$44
Crypto
1% 47% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$3
Tech
0% 50% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -17 -$13 90¢ $-16 -$3 05-11 13:05
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $6 77¢ $7 +$1 11-08 17:12
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 $0 05-15 13:47
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -23 -$4 18¢ $-4 +$0 05-15 13:47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14? Yes +38 $5 11¢ $4 -$1 11-09 14:18
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? No +6 $1 31¢ $2 +$1 11-09 15:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10 -$1 10¢ $-1 +$0 05-15 13:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -20 -$3 2¢ $-0 +$2 05-15 13:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 07-01 13:13
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 07-01 13:13
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$2 99¢ $0 +$2 11-04 03:00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +5 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-14 14:25