Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
47.3%
Resolved
1,329
Trades
6,496
lifetime
Volume
$8.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$17
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 09-18 00:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
86% 48% -$173
Sports
12% 53% +$141
Politics
2% 48% -$5
Crypto
1% 25% +$14
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -9 -$6 82¢ $-7 -$1 07-20 14:26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4 $3 94¢ $4 +$1 05-02 04:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 07-03 09:31
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 05-10 01:00
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $0 09-07 00:50
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +4 $2 10¢ $0 -$2 05-17 15:47
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:40
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 07-02 23:18
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +1 $1 20¢ $0 -$1 05-17 05:40
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +9 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-28 00:09
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +23 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 09-18 00:27