Realized P&L (7d)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
26
26 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$35
$35 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$26
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-10 10:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
61% 0% $-1
Politics
39% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +6 $6 91¢ $6 $-0 05-10 10:27
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 +$0 05-10 10:50
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? No +2 $2 78¢ $2 $-0 05-10 10:29
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 10:50
Will Trump visit China by June 30? Yes -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 10:50
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-09 15:37
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026? Yes -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 10:49
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 10:50
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 10:49
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 05-06 19:50
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 $-1 91¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 10:50
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 10:50
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 05-10 10:33
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May? Yes -1 $-1 66¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 10:49
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May? Yes -1 $-1 68¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 10:47
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -1 $-1 44¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 10:49
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31? Yes -1 $-1 23¢ $-0 +$1 05-10 10:50
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026? No -1 $-1 14¢ $-0 +$1 05-10 10:49