Realized P&L
-$225
Unrealized P&L
-$256
Hit rate
56.8%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,628
lifetime
Volume
$267.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$3.92K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 23:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
50% 0% $-235
Other
26% 67% +$5
Sports
12%
Tech
6% 100% +$3
Crypto
5% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,564 70¢ $1.4K $-154 07-18 12:17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,497 $1,361 86¢ $1.3K $-74 07-22 23:20
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +500 $480 96¢ $482 +$1 06-18 19:15
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -234 $-224 96¢ $-224 +$1 06-15 17:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -250 $-235 86¢ $-216 +$19 06-20 02:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -230 $-112 70¢ $-160 $-48 06-22 01:40
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No -100 $-94 94¢ $-94 $-0 06-01 15:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +50 $45 90¢ $45 $-0 07-17 17:57