Thrifty-Motion 0xece740…bb3673 Create alert
whale
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$283
Unrealized P&L
+$2.83K
Hit rate
44.5%
Resolved (7d)
11
Trades (7d)
313
7,350 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$27.8K
$597.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$24.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 15:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Politics
45% 68% +$633
Other
40% 63% +$3,338
Sports
7% 51% +$546
Tech
4% 78% +$532
Crypto
3% 74% +$728
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +15,837 $13,177 96¢ $15.1K +$1,947 11-13 12:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? No +1,696 $1,547 98¢ $1.7K +$112 11-12 17:25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,481 $1,262 88¢ $1.3K +$43 11-13 14:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,050 -$872 92¢ $-961 -$89 10-27 19:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,015 $102 94¢ $950 +$847 11-07 22:07
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? No +662 $434 86¢ $566 +$132 11-12 18:42
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +792 $516 65¢ $515 -$2 11-13 00:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? No +450 $408 98¢ $443 +$35 11-12 14:34
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +400 $290 94¢ $374 +$84 11-10 13:46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +368 $331 96¢ $354 +$22 11-13 14:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -300 -$258 98¢ $-295 -$37 05-21 10:18
Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027? No +419 $317 65¢ $272 -$45 11-13 09:24
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -240 -$230 98¢ $-236 -$6 06-15 17:29
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -220 -$108 96¢ $-212 -$104 06-22 01:40
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +200 $174 96¢ $191 +$17 11-07 14:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? No +130 $126 99¢ $129 +$3 11-04 21:06
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +150 $123 86¢ $128 +$5 11-13 04:44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,239 $131 9¢ $112 -$20 11-13 15:43
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $86 94¢ $94 +$8 11-07 20:16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -98 -$126 82¢ $-81 +$46 11-07 14:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? No +86 -$21 93¢ $80 +$102 11-01 18:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -75 -$78 97¢ $-73 +$5 10-25 22:40
Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31? No +135 $79 46¢ $61 -$18 11-13 09:19
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $95 46¢ $46 -$49 11-12 18:05
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -50 $128 91¢ $-45 -$174 11-01 21:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? Yes +310 $87 15¢ $45 -$42 11-02 18:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November? No +36 $5 88¢ $32 +$27 11-01 22:08
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +122 $26 25¢ $31 +$5 11-13 14:46
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +58 $26 50¢ $29 +$3 11-13 14:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $46 11¢ $21 -$25 10-01 01:51