Realized P&L
-$47
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
76.4%
Resolved
917
Trades
2,366
lifetime
Volume
$25.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$373
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 09-06 09:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Crypto
43% 63% +$136
Other
31% 54% -$124
Politics
25% 69% -$131
Sports
1% 75% +$73
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -94 -$78 97¢ $-91 -$13 05-15 12:13
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -82 -$56 92¢ $-75 -$18 05-22 21:15
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -65 -$48 95¢ $-62 -$14 05-18 21:41
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes -38 -$31 92¢ $-35 -$4 05-09 10:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -33 -$30 98¢ $-33 -$3 05-15 13:18
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -26 -$22 94¢ $-25 -$3 05-09 10:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -23 -$20 96¢ $-22 -$3 05-15 12:13
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -12 -$11 95¢ $-11 -$1 05-15 12:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -60 -$11 18¢ $-11 +$0 05-06 10:19
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$5 88¢ $-7 -$2 05-09 10:40