Strict-Ratio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,304

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-10 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 100% +$1

Other

31% 100% +$17

Politics

24% 0% $-120

Sports

1% 67% +$57

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	3	$1.7K	923	923	+0	open	—	02-09 17:16
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by march 31 214	6	$1.3K	668	1,012	-344	open	—	03-17 11:03
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	3	$1.2K	361	859	-498	open	—	01-24 17:06
dota2 ty liquid 2026 03 15	24	$547	576	337	+239	open	—	03-15 21:37
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	3	$347	199	199	+0	open	—	02-09 23:38
dota2 bb4 liquid 2026 03 15	31	$294	712	292	+420	open	—	03-15 16:23
btc updown 5m 1771798800	2	$220	111	111	+0	open	—	02-22 22:24
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	4	$204	120	119	+1	open	—	04-14 21:50
btc updown 5m 1771785900	9	$185	142	131	+11	open	—	02-22 18:51
dota2 aur1 liquid 2026 02 24	11	$175	226	80	+146	open	—	02-24 23:31
dota2 liquid gl 2026 04 18	6	$173	111	99	+12	open	—	04-18 12:42
dota2 navi mouz 2026 01 09	5	$171	200	100	+100	open	—	01-09 14:44
btc updown 5m 1771801200	8	$165	185	0	+185	open	—	02-22 23:05
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	2	$141	74	74	+0	open	—	02-22 11:42
dota2 vp z10 2026 01 09 game2	4	$140	139	139	+0	open	—	01-09 16:55
ukraine hits moscow by march 31 2026	4	$134	74	74	+0	open	—	03-19 21:29
btc updown 5m 1773593700	12	$127	81	80	+1	open	—	03-15 17:00
dota2 pr re 2026 01 09 game2	3	$125	100	100	+0	open	—	01-09 15:47
dota2 perrej sangre 2026 01 09	2	$125	75	75	+0	open	—	01-09 23:21
will russia enter rizdvianka by march 31 2026	3	$123	79	79	+0	open	—	02-23 13:36
btc updown 5m 1773597600	8	$121	143	53	+90	open	—	03-15 18:05
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	20	$121	176	176	+0	open	—	05-23 23:07
will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by march 31	9	$120	89	50	+39	open	—	03-25 05:50
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs	35	$119	339	295	+44	open	—	05-24 20:14
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	2	$106	100	48	+52	open	—	02-19 11:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$105	68	68	+0	open	—	05-18 21:49
btc updown 5m 1773595500	6	$105	60	59	+0	open	—	03-15 17:30
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	05-02 21:20
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	3	$104	126	0	+126	open	—	02-24 01:36
will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	5	$104	77	77	+0	open	—	02-24 23:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 22:44:12	bnb updown 5m 1781131500	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x1bd876…
06-10 22:39:21	bnb updown 5m 1781131200	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x438346…
06-10 11:08:01	eth updown 5m 1781089500	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x239f0b…
06-10 11:04:55	eth updown 5m 1781089500	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc437cb…
06-10 10:38:49	eth updown 5m 1781087700	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x9314c6…
06-10 10:37:36	eth updown 5m 1781087700	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xff9b86…
06-10 08:51:04	eth updown 5m 1781081400	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x19d250…
06-10 08:45:15	bnb updown 5m 1781081100	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x78d717…
06-10 08:41:19	bnb updown 5m 1781080800	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xba5e39…
06-10 08:09:30	xrp updown 5m 1781079000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe5ca6c…
06-09 22:58:04	eth updown 5m 1781046000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc3288f…
06-09 15:15:03	xrp updown 5m 1781017800	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x53ca42…
06-09 15:14:54	xrp updown 5m 1781018100	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0xa6e50d…
06-09 15:12:21	xrp updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0e9c19…
06-09 14:49:25	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x68fd4c…
06-08 23:15:16	bnb updown 5m 1780960500	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x41eda1…
06-08 23:08:58	eth updown 5m 1780960200	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc657a7…
06-08 23:05:10	eth updown 5m 1780959900	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xae0971…
06-08 22:18:13	btc updown 5m 1780957200	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xbf8eaf…
06-08 22:13:12	btc updown 5m 1780956900	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0d78db…
06-08 22:12:07	btc updown 5m 1780956600	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf55892…
06-08 17:10:42	eth updown 5m 1780938600	Up	SELL	21	31¢	$6	0xede5e6…
06-08 17:10:03	eth updown 5m 1780938600	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x297530…
06-08 17:04:28	eth updown 5m 1780938300	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xaeafac…
06-08 16:58:39	eth updown 5m 1780938000	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6c35b5…
06-08 16:57:36	eth updown 5m 1780937700	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x971f4e…
06-08 16:24:55	bnb updown 5m 1780935900	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8e588e…
06-08 16:22:21	bnb updown 5m 1780935600	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x78860d…
06-08 15:36:10	xrp updown 5m 1780932900	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbef88a…
06-07 22:46:58	btc updown 5m 1780872600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x96cf2a…
06-07 22:45:31	btc updown 5m 1780872300	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0bf7aa…
06-07 22:36:13	eth updown 5m 1780871700	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x0d299f…
06-07 22:35:15	eth updown 5m 1780871700	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd8f9a0…
06-07 20:34:34	bnb updown 5m 1780864500	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x46ae72…
06-07 20:33:00	xrp updown 5m 1780864500	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x974e31…
06-07 18:48:30	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	SELL	53	17¢	$9	0xc6a88d…
06-07 17:34:04	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3c20a9…
06-07 14:21:06	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4efff6…
06-05 18:31:36	eth updown 5m 1780684200	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x11a29f…
06-05 18:30:06	eth updown 5m 1780684200	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x71ab6a…
06-05 16:17:16	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xdde33b…
06-05 16:14:58	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5ca9ed…
06-05 16:13:48	bnb updown 5m 1780675800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c2ec1…
06-05 15:16:13	bnb updown 5m 1780672500	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0376c3…
06-05 15:10:03	bnb updown 5m 1780672200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc647b8…
06-05 15:04:51	bnb updown 5m 1780671900	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x008122…
06-05 15:00:09	bnb updown 5m 1780671600	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4ba7ef…
06-05 14:53:28	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05	Team Falcons	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x285497…
06-04 20:03:30	btc updown 5m 1780603500	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7e693c…
06-04 20:00:21	btc updown 5m 1780603200	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc9efc2…
06-04 19:58:54	bnb updown 5m 1780602900	Up	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x82e90c…
06-04 19:56:39	bnb updown 5m 1780602900	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x4b108b…
06-04 19:50:13	bnb updown 5m 1780602600	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x732d15…
06-04 19:45:43	bnb updown 5m 1780602300	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8eacae…
06-04 19:31:25	btc updown 5m 1780601400	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x32ed7d…
06-04 19:29:33	btc updown 5m 1780601400	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcf8b67…
06-04 18:36:51	bnb updown 5m 1780598100	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8a5f53…
06-04 18:16:42	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	LGD Gaming	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf028dd…
06-04 18:14:48	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	LGD Gaming	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6a79fa…
06-04 18:11:48	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	LGD Gaming	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x68eb3e…
06-04 18:05:12	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	LGD Gaming	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd7fb2a…
06-04 17:05:01	eth updown 5m 1780592700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5e3270…
06-04 16:55:28	xrp updown 5m 1780592100	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xe73f17…
06-04 16:55:07	xrp updown 5m 1780592100	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x738de8…
06-04 16:49:45	xrp updown 5m 1780591800	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa56cba…
06-04 16:25:58	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	LGD Gaming	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb515c1…
06-04 15:13:07	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	LGD Gaming	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2490ac…
06-04 13:56:25	dota2 flc liquid 2026 06 04	Team Liquid	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xfbb267…
06-03 16:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x72e33c…
06-03 16:47:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5e10fe…
06-03 16:45:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc18f54…
06-03 16:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xf15f1d…
06-03 16:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x48437d…
06-03 16:28:42	BNB Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xd5c7e6…
06-03 16:24:22	BNB Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf27bb3…
06-03 16:23:46	BNB Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x017053…
06-02 23:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x3df40e…
06-02 23:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x986834…
06-02 23:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc930b6…
06-02 23:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xaa861e…
06-02 23:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x930383…
06-02 23:03:52	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x413472…
06-02 22:58:46	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x5504e3…
06-02 22:51:14	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x8be479…
06-02 22:46:36	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x307ee5…
06-02 22:45:42	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0cfea4…
06-02 20:12:34	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0xbecac8…
06-02 20:06:20	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xaab7c3…
06-02 20:05:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1fbbc7…
06-02 20:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7a0dc9…
06-02 20:04:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9f3551…
06-02 20:04:12	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x72619a…
06-02 20:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7145f8…
06-02 20:02:36	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x4454b6…
06-02 20:01:36	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd14cfd…
06-02 20:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe89905…
06-02 19:58:50	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x33b9c0…
06-02 19:55:32	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb27e40…
06-02 18:40:26	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xfe084b…
06-02 18:40:16	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0xb48240…