Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
61.0%
Resolved
101
Trades
190
lifetime
Volume
$370
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$6
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-30 19:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Tech
35% 50% $0
Politics
26% 55% +$0
Other
23% 43% -$5
Crypto
15% 66% +$3
Sports
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 10-25 21:03
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -5 $0 44¢ $-2 -$2 09-15 11:36
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$2 21¢ $-1 +$1 09-29 19:09
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes -19 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 05-09 18:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -4 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$0 05-21 20:47