Realized P&L
-$115.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.48K
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
3,600
Trades
20,358
lifetime
Volume
$2.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$107
Open exposure
$13.0K
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 09-11 08:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
50% 52% -$55,566
Sports
32% 47% -$51,386
Politics
18% 56% -$7,556
Crypto
0% 100% +$2,242
Tech
0% 29% -$3,436
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +1,905 $1,200 95¢ $1.8K +$613 08-19 07:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1,763 $1,151 97¢ $1.7K +$559 09-11 07:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,644 $1,200 86¢ $1.4K +$214 07-25 07:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,624 $1,200 86¢ $1.4K +$189 07-19 06:08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +1,429 $1,200 96¢ $1.4K +$171 09-08 07:39
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1,429 $1,200 91¢ $1.3K +$100 09-03 06:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +987 $641 97¢ $955 +$314 07-05 12:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +1,791 $1,200 39¢ $699 -$501 08-31 18:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -657 -$598 94¢ $-614 -$16 07-02 15:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -542 -$508 98¢ $-531 -$24 06-23 14:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -551 -$488 82¢ $-449 +$39 06-21 05:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +286 $107 94¢ $268 +$161 09-10 13:50
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +284 -$280 94¢ $265 +$546 08-22 15:36
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +193 $173 91¢ $175 +$2 09-04 00:59
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +8 $6 90¢ $7 +$2 08-22 12:29
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 No +8 $5 64¢ $5 $0 08-14 01:00
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +0 $30 86¢ $0 -$30 06-12 04:30
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +0 -$141 88¢ $0 +$141 08-30 22:23