Realized P&L
+$1.57K
Unrealized P&L
+$365
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
340
Trades
2,637
lifetime
Volume
$65.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$3.87K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-04 20:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Politics
49% 62% +$1,241
Other
41% 48% +$129
Crypto
8% 50% +$291
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$75
Tech
1% 67% +$37
Sports
0% 0% -$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +565 $373 100¢ $564 +$191 09-24 12:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +500 $330 98¢ $488 +$157 09-25 16:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +439 $231 52¢ $230 -$1 09-24 14:01
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +200 $169 100¢ $199 +$30 09-15 12:40
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +200 $169 97¢ $194 +$24 09-19 08:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +300 $228 64¢ $194 -$34 09-18 21:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 -$110 82¢ $-165 -$55 09-13 17:30
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +210 $160 70¢ $146 -$14 09-24 02:02
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +200 $167 70¢ $140 -$27 09-30 12:43
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +140 $88 100¢ $139 +$51 09-22 18:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +260 $101 48¢ $123 +$23 09-23 15:45
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? No +112 $66 100¢ $111 +$46 09-24 13:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +190 $133 58¢ $110 -$23 09-26 17:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +320 $96 30¢ $94 -$1 09-22 09:25
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +105 $86 80¢ $84 -$2 09-16 12:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $56 83¢ $83 +$27 09-29 23:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +230 $113 36¢ $83 -$30 09-26 00:29
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +90 $81 87¢ $78 -$3 09-22 19:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +130 $43 57¢ $74 +$32 09-24 16:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $95 43¢ $69 -$27 09-26 07:09
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +100 $34 62¢ $62 +$28 09-14 22:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $65 18¢ $56 -$10 09-19 14:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +210 $89 26¢ $55 -$34 09-24 22:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +55 $41 94¢ $52 +$11 05-02 00:27
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $89 25¢ $51 -$38 10-02 22:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +290 $61 18¢ $51 -$10 09-22 04:17
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +50 $37 100¢ $50 +$12 09-23 13:58
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +50 $40 91¢ $46 +$6 09-24 11:00
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $24 75¢ $45 +$21 09-27 00:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +105 $21 36¢ $37 +$16 09-27 08:15