Excellent-Guideline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$511

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-19 03:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 29% +$17

Other

3% 33% $-4

Sports

1% 50% $-5

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	8	$103	136	136	+0	Down	+$45	05-12 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	8	$39	41	40	+1	open	—	05-20 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	7	$34	57	32	+25	open	—	05-23 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$34	30	30	+0	open	—	05-20 06:49
btc updown 15m 1780632000	3	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	06-05 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	5	$29	175	0	+175	Down	$-29	05-12 06:41
btc updown 15m 1781327700	3	$26	23	23	+0	open	—	06-13 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	3	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	05-30 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	4	$17	28	13	+15	open	—	05-15 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	3	$15	30	9	+21	open	—	05-30 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	6	$11	45	14	+32	open	—	05-26 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	8	$11	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	5	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	3	$8	16	3	+14	open	—	05-15 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	3	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	05-23 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	5	$7	27	8	+19	Down	$-1	05-06 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	6	$6	19	5	+14	Down	$-2	05-05 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	6	$6	32	32	+0	Down	$-2	05-05 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	5	$5	8	4	+4	Up	$-1	05-05 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	5	$5	15	5	+10	Up	$-1	05-05 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 06:15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	1	$5	14	0	+14	Houston Astros	$-5	05-06 01:14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	1	$5	9	0	+9	Matteo Arnaldi	$-5	05-06 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-30 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$4	10	2	+7	Up	+$6	05-05 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$4	57	4	+52	Down	$-2	05-05 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$4	20	2	+17	Up	+$16	05-06 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	4	$4	6	3	+4	Down	$-2	05-06 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$3	21	4	+17	Down	$-1	05-05 05:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 03:59:31	btc updown 5m 1781841300	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x52cdf3…
06-13 05:21:39	btc updown 15m 1781327700	Up	SELL	23	67¢	$16	0x972b70…
06-13 05:18:01	btc updown 15m 1781327700	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x1d1711…
06-13 05:15:25	btc updown 15m 1781327700	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x32c4a6…
06-13 05:10:49	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xec6e6e…
06-13 05:10:27	will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260605165706067	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x39d8dc…
06-13 05:09:55	will ai be said 50 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260605165706064	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7b4283…
06-13 05:08:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf138c8…
06-13 05:08:40	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	Gen.G	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc3b16f…
06-05 04:07:39	btc updown 15m 1780632000	Up	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0xd6861a…
06-05 04:00:49	btc updown 15m 1780632000	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3b2c89…
06-05 04:00:12	btc updown 15m 1780632000	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x75e97f…
06-05 03:58:00	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf2c250…
05-30 07:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0d3199…
05-30 07:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x7f5109…
05-30 07:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xea571a…
05-30 07:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x94b1cf…
05-30 07:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf18677…
05-30 07:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x892832…
05-30 07:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x55293d…
05-30 07:19:08	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x15897a…
05-26 06:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x249871…
05-26 06:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x72cee4…
05-26 06:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2d9a0a…
05-26 06:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xd01220…
05-26 06:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf99990…
05-26 06:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x1d134f…
05-26 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe20a77…
05-26 06:02:37	Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	BET-M 33	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0e4d4c…
05-26 05:59:44	Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0c4728…
05-26 05:59:30	ITF Wuning: Meiling Wang vs Michika Ozeki	Meiling Wang	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5e6cc1…
05-23 06:50:24	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MANA eSports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group A	MANA eSports	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa8b8ce…
05-23 06:48:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x35be6c…
05-23 06:45:40	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdadbbd…
05-23 06:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe05897…
05-23 06:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc10350…
05-23 06:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x46c5f3…
05-23 06:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0e7317…
05-23 06:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x59fb5e…
05-23 06:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x29b470…
05-23 06:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x64e231…
05-23 06:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb0a819…
05-23 06:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc3dd2e…
05-23 06:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x17b7fb…
05-23 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x127193…
05-23 06:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xacf6f2…
05-20 06:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0xb264de…
05-20 06:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdc8ca5…
05-20 06:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6d76e9…
05-20 06:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdce678…
05-20 06:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xd83688…
05-20 06:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xf5bb49…
05-20 06:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3321cd…
05-20 06:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x47e0fb…
05-20 06:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0xa45431…
05-20 06:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9b9897…
05-20 06:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf66b59…
05-15 06:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4eadce…
05-15 06:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x417926…
05-15 06:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x01ab1e…
05-15 06:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9f0c6a…
05-15 06:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x67005c…
05-15 06:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xe6a3d4…
05-15 06:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xefa9bf…
05-15 06:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x448c22…
05-15 06:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf7108e…
05-15 06:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$3	0x01b0a5…
05-15 06:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x28a9f0…
05-15 06:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4757f3…
05-15 06:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xbaaace…
05-15 06:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x76a05e…
05-15 06:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0f045a…
05-15 06:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4d4bfc…
05-15 06:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x55d9ca…
05-15 06:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc75122…
05-15 06:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x51694a…
05-15 06:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x164e9c…
05-15 06:02:56	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3c5d0b…
05-15 06:01:44	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x315de4…
05-12 15:26:47	Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6db6ac…
05-12 06:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0a6e26…
05-12 06:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2cb886…
05-12 06:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9da7ef…
05-12 06:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa8874b…
05-12 06:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xd055eb…
05-12 06:27:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	37	55¢	$20	0xdcf00a…
05-12 06:27:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	98	54¢	$54	0x1ceda5…
05-12 06:22:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x44b6a0…
05-12 06:22:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0xd97c37…
05-12 06:22:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x77e4f8…
05-12 06:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xb65dab…
05-12 06:20:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc6b467…
05-12 06:18:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0fa73f…
05-12 06:17:38	Bengaluru 2: Omar Jasika vs Hamish Stewart	Omar Jasika	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8728e5…
05-12 06:10:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0927e4…
05-06 15:31:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	Jaume Munar	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa118a1…
05-06 04:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xeff975…
05-06 04:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf4056d…
05-06 04:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc01e42…
05-06 04:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9c2c5a…