Realized P&L (7d)
+$4.75K
Unrealized P&L
+$148
Hit rate
94.4%
Resolved (7d)
25
Trades (7d)
27
6,954 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$15.0K
$1.56M lifetime
Avg / trade
$224
Open exposure
$39.1K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Politics
62% 68% +$25,482
Other
32% 71% +$11,239
Sports
3% 55% +$1,270
Crypto
3% 76% +$3,758
Tech
1% 73% -$1,748
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -21,493 -$18,387 88¢ $-18806 -$419 10-19 09:21
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 415 Yes +12,129 $7,046 44¢ $5.4K -$1,648 11-04 17:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -3,063 -$4,879 92¢ $-2833 +$2,046 10-20 02:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -3,074 -$2,767 92¢ $-2813 -$46 10-19 09:21
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -2,500 -$2,375 97¢ $-2418 -$42 10-14 09:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,000 -$1,700 97¢ $-1945 -$245 05-29 23:24
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +2,000 $1,680 86¢ $1.7K +$40 10-17 04:11
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -1,328 -$1,222 97¢ $-1291 -$69 05-31 14:11
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $870 97¢ $974 +$104 11-04 02:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +582 $447 78¢ $451 +$4 11-04 17:00
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +425 $311 87¢ $371 +$60 07-15 23:10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +96 -$125 98¢ $94 +$219 05-31 14:12
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? Yes +266 $204 6¢ $17 -$187 10-23 22:32
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +0 -$332 90¢ $0 +$332 10-16 19:31