Masculine-Parchment — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

21 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$183

$191 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$78

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-14 12:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

70% 0% $-0

Tech

20% — —

Politics

6% — —

Crypto

4% 17% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (3)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	No	-17	$-17	100¢	$-17	$-0	05-14 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 15?	No	-17	$-17	100¢	$-17	+$0	05-14 12:35
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	-17	$-17	97¢	$-17	+$0	05-14 12:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	+11	$11	100¢	$11	+$0	05-14 12:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+17	$11	62¢	$11	$-0	05-14 08:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	+5	$5	96¢	$5	$-0	05-14 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 12:39:26	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x6b4cd2…
05-14 12:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 15?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa8f4dd…
05-14 12:34:23	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5f909f…
05-14 12:32:49	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc81b8a…
05-14 12:32:40	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd4547a…
05-14 12:30:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xc17cc2…
05-14 12:30:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xb95a3f…
05-14 12:29:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xdf96f3…
05-14 12:29:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xeb06fe…
05-14 12:25:50	ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USA	Scotland	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd56742…
05-14 12:24:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcb4b86…
05-14 12:20:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc3fd7e…
05-14 08:13:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x5af8d5…
05-12 18:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8e53b5…
05-12 18:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x939f55…
05-12 18:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4e8a70…
05-12 18:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc6ab92…
05-10 04:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xce4187…
05-10 04:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd91e89…
05-10 04:20:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 10?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x199022…
05-09 06:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x216110…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	9	$4.85K	79	05-12 18:51
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	5	$1.75K	11	05-12 18:52
Blond-Feed-Robe 0xb9c1…2ed1	3	$1.57K	23	05-12 18:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	3	$51	17	34	-17	open	—	05-14 12:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	3	$39	23	18	+5	open	—	05-14 12:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-14 12:29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 15?	1	$17	0	17	-17	open	—	05-14 12:35
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	1	$17	0	17	-17	open	—	05-14 12:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$11	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 08:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-14 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 18:42
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USA	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-14 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-09 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-10 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	$-1	05-10 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-12 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-12 18:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 10?	1	$1	0	1	-1	No	$-0	05-10 04:20