Masculine-Parchment 0xf43430…e3201e
new
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
29.3%
Resolved (7d)
7
Trades (7d)
21
21 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$191
$191 lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$78
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-14 12:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
70% 0% $-0
Tech
20% — —
Politics
6% — —
Crypto
4% 17% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day? No -17 $-17 100¢ $-17 $-0 05-14 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 15? No -17 $-17 100¢ $-17 +$0 05-14 12:35
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? No -17 $-17 97¢ $-17 +$0 05-14 12:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 05-14 12:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $11 62¢ $11 $-0 05-14 08:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 05-14 12:30