Sardonic-Sardine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

-$143

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-07 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Politics

45% 0% $-1,159

Sports

2% 0% $-189

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+200	$154	6¢	$11	$-143	06-05 11:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-12 19:22
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$1.2K	658	658	+0	open	—	04-12 19:16
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	15	$596	500	500	+0	open	—	04-27 10:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$540	300	300	+0	open	—	05-05 04:20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	1	$500	806	0	+806	open	—	01-11 19:14
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	1	$445	500	0	+500	open	—	04-13 05:51
Nothing Ever Happens: April	1	$375	500	0	+500	open	—	04-19 06:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$374	400	0	+400	Yes	$-374	05-02 07:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$315	0	1,000	-1,000	Yes	$-685	04-11 06:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$255	300	0	+300	open	—	04-24 06:18
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$252	300	0	+300	open	—	04-24 06:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$249	300	0	+300	open	—	04-19 06:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$249	300	0	+300	open	—	04-13 06:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$249	300	0	+300	open	—	05-03 04:47
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	1	$240	407	0	+407	open	—	01-18 20:01
Nothing Ever Happens: May	3	$239	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 14:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$227	300	0	+300	open	—	05-26 08:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	4	$214	300	0	+300	open	—	04-19 09:05
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	2	$213	300	0	+300	open	—	04-14 23:02
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$189	1,607	0	+1,607	Cavaliers	$-189	05-09 20:48
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	1	$188	250	0	+250	open	—	04-13 08:13
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	3	$158	200	0	+200	open	—	04-23 23:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$154	200	0	+200	open	—	06-05 11:14
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$115	60	60	+0	open	—	05-05 04:22
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$105	300	0	+300	open	—	05-17 07:52
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 2pt5	1	$100	159	0	+159	open	—	06-07 14:20
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	1	$100	164	0	+164	open	—	01-11 19:15
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	4	$100	625	0	+625	Yes	$-100	05-08 11:43
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	1	$81	96	0	+96	open	—	04-26 12:11
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	2	$67	100	0	+100	open	—	06-07 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 14:20:24	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 2pt5	Zverev	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x53014e…
06-07 09:42:55	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	70	67¢	$47	0x11a917…
06-07 09:38:42	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xbd9695…
06-07 08:38:51	btc updown 4h 1780819200	Up	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x0750b4…
06-05 11:14:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x48b2e8…
05-26 08:22:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x6a2b0a…
05-26 07:44:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x9ca446…
05-26 07:42:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	60	76¢	$45	0x488cb9…
05-26 07:14:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	187	76¢	$141	0x9802c7…
05-26 05:25:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x0ca7b3…
05-20 14:18:44	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	172	84¢	$144	0xb9bc38…
05-19 06:31:17	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x90fd37…
05-17 07:52:13	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x8cd784…
05-16 18:36:23	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	62	49¢	$30	0x1c35a6…
05-09 20:48:44	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	1,607	12¢	$189	0xdfbf02…
05-09 07:26:08	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	90	69¢	$62	0x26cef9…
05-08 11:43:26	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	296	16¢	$47	0x654cf3…
05-08 11:03:28	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	74	16¢	$12	0x6d483e…
05-08 08:15:21	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	77	16¢	$12	0xacd0e0…
05-08 06:18:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	178	16¢	$28	0x1f0352…
05-05 04:22:16	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe6d686…
05-05 04:20:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xf04a4d…
05-03 04:47:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0xab24ed…
05-02 07:16:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$374	0xb5b81e…
04-27 10:31:02	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xa15013…
04-26 12:11:24	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	96	84¢	$81	0xeac420…
04-24 06:25:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0xc9c8cb…
04-24 06:18:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x570bd1…
04-23 23:30:50	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	85	79¢	$67	0xa288ce…
04-23 21:57:22	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0xc922a9…
04-23 21:45:22	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$15	0x4e8478…
04-23 21:42:32	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x2a4fab…
04-19 09:05:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	90	71¢	$64	0x2a2ad0…
04-19 08:59:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$72	0xb8cbd7…
04-19 08:50:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	86	71¢	$61	0x09ba32…
04-19 06:26:30	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x78acf7…
04-19 06:24:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0xdd0ebf…
04-19 06:22:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0x0be34b…
04-19 06:21:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0xa3ef26…
04-14 23:02:52	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	No	BUY	283	71¢	$201	0x540a8e…
04-14 21:41:16	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xceda2a…
04-14 06:04:17	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	400	37¢	$148	0xdbbfd0…
04-13 08:13:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	250	75¢	$188	0x9afee2…
04-13 06:03:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0xb65587…
04-13 06:01:27	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0xef534f…
04-13 06:01:27	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0x9fc5f3…
04-13 06:01:19	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0bf992…
04-13 06:01:17	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xac6f29…
04-13 06:01:17	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x2c9e3a…
04-13 05:58:39	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	53	89¢	$47	0xe7812a…
04-13 05:57:07	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	57	89¢	$50	0x2f5578…
04-13 05:56:31	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xedc4de…
04-13 05:53:41	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x14768b…
04-13 05:52:11	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x1f7556…
04-13 05:51:35	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0xdc0c84…
04-13 05:48:45	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0xbcee6b…
04-13 05:48:33	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x05359b…
04-13 05:48:17	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	42	89¢	$38	0x8517e8…
04-12 19:22:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,978	0xa7935f…
04-12 19:16:05	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	658	100¢	$657	0x4a922a…
04-11 06:29:43	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0x5471d5…
04-11 06:26:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	31¢	$315	0x7bbd38…
03-30 11:18:04	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2,000	65¢	$1,300	0x447d29…
01-18 20:01:08	lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	Yes	BUY	407	59¢	$240	0x3c9a6f…
01-11 19:15:52	will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x5b00ec…
01-11 19:14:58	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	806	62¢	$500	0xf71cde…
01-11 19:13:38	ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xa94982…
01-11 19:12:20	nba nop orl 2026 01 11	Magic	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xf80dd9…