Weak-Satin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$320

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 07-13 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

69% 100% +$50

Politics

31% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	2	$988	510	510	+0	open	—	05-13 06:47
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	2	$910	500	500	+0	open	—	06-12 05:28
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	4	$869	455	455	+0	open	—	07-13 07:50
will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	2	$852	445	445	+0	open	—	07-13 06:29
israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260706181027671	2	$833	443	443	+0	open	—	07-09 08:35
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	2	$828	450	450	+0	open	—	07-09 07:40
will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	2	$736	400	400	+0	open	—	06-24 03:27
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	2	$735	387	387	+0	open	—	06-25 06:42
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	2	$731	380	380	+0	open	—	06-24 06:52
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	2	$715	395	395	+0	open	—	06-26 02:39
Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)	1	$499	505	0	+505	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	+$6	05-13 06:54
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	1	$483	525	0	+525	open	—	06-12 07:07
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$480	490	0	+490	Al Ahli Saudi Club	+$10	05-11 11:16
Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	1	$446	480	0	+480	FC UTA Arad	+$34	05-08 09:26
mex pue leo 2026 04 10 spread away 2pt5	1	$309	325	0	+325	open	—	04-10 11:12
bra2 juv nov 2026 03 31 spread away 1pt5	1	$78	85	0	+85	open	—	03-31 09:30
chi jin sha 2026 04 21 spread home 2pt5	2	$24	860	0	+860	open	—	04-21 11:09
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)	2	$19	840	0	+840	open	—	04-25 06:48
dota2 re lixoes 2026 03 23	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	03-23 09:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 07:50:41	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x575a25…
07-13 07:50:17	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5371ab…
07-13 07:49:32	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	450	96¢	$430	0xbe7306…
07-13 07:04:17	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	450	96¢	$430	0x25a385…
07-13 06:29:20	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	No	SELL	445	96¢	$426	0x71cfbd…
07-13 05:38:29	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	No	BUY	445	96¢	$425	0x8c18b3…
07-09 08:35:40	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260706181027671	No	SELL	443	94¢	$416	0x371603…
07-09 07:54:58	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260706181027671	No	BUY	443	94¢	$416	0x1468e4…
07-09 07:40:25	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	450	92¢	$414	0x15ea77…
07-09 06:47:04	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	450	92¢	$414	0xca29ec…
06-26 02:39:01	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	395	90¢	$356	0x7ef493…
06-26 01:39:35	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	395	91¢	$359	0x57c26c…
06-25 06:42:23	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	387	95¢	$368	0xdf9591…
06-25 05:49:25	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	387	95¢	$368	0xe529dd…
06-24 06:52:19	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	380	96¢	$366	0x94d21f…
06-24 06:03:04	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	380	96¢	$366	0xf5d0fe…
06-24 03:27:22	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	400	92¢	$368	0xab82b2…
06-24 02:11:34	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x6f9f09…
06-12 07:07:57	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	525	92¢	$483	0xabba65…
06-12 05:28:22	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	500	91¢	$455	0xaffda4…
06-12 05:12:00	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xed5d2f…
05-13 06:54:03	Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	BUY	505	99¢	$499	0x0f3170…
05-13 06:47:14	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	510	98¢	$499	0x7441e5…
05-13 02:59:59	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	510	96¢	$489	0xc5416c…
05-11 11:16:14	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ahli Saudi Club	BUY	490	98¢	$480	0xfeb8ea…
05-08 09:26:02	Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	FC UTA Arad	BUY	480	93¢	$446	0x298cb7…
04-25 06:48:08	Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)	1. FSV Mainz 05	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x5fd582…
04-25 06:47:52	Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)	1. FSV Mainz 05	BUY	405	2¢	$9	0x9f80b1…
04-21 11:09:44	chi jin sha 2026 04 21 spread home 2pt5	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC	BUY	440	3¢	$12	0x7c8800…
04-21 11:09:32	chi jin sha 2026 04 21 spread home 2pt5	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC	BUY	420	3¢	$12	0x54cfe9…
04-10 11:12:11	mex pue leo 2026 04 10 spread away 2pt5	Club Puebla	BUY	325	95¢	$309	0x24f299…
03-31 09:30:21	bra2 juv nov 2026 03 31 spread away 1pt5	EC Juventude	BUY	85	92¢	$78	0xecc0d8…
03-23 09:28:21	dota2 re lixoes 2026 03 23	Rune Eaters	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x98efe9…