Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
701
lifetime
Volume
$3.97K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$74
24 positions
First seen
2026-09-23
last 11-06 05:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
63% 60% -$20
Other
23% — —
Crypto
13% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 92¢ $9 +$2 11-05 16:31
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 11-06 00:22
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +10 $8 74¢ $7 $0 11-05 19:11
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 56¢ $6 +$0 11-06 04:53
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? Yes +10 $6 56¢ $6 $0 11-05 15:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 11-05 14:27
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 11-05 16:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 11-05 22:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 $0 11-06 01:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +4 $2 78¢ $3 +$1 11-04 16:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +5 -$3 62¢ $3 +$6 11-05 22:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $3 54¢ $2 $0 11-06 04:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 11-06 04:07
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 11-05 18:51
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 -$2 30¢ $2 +$4 11-06 00:58
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 11-06 01:48
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 $0 11-06 03:32
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 11-05 18:21
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +5 $0 8¢ $0 $0 11-05 20:03
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 11-06 04:28
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? Yes +9 $0 4¢ $0 $0 11-05 18:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 6¢ $0 $0 11-06 02:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 68¢ $0 -$1 11-05 15:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +0 $2 59¢ $0 -$2 11-05 21:41