Trifling-Ravioli — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$235

Unrealized P&L

-$78

Hit rate

28.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

21 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.91K

$1.91K lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

$1.33K

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-14 23:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

72% 29% $-235

Politics

20% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	+494	$467	95¢	$470	+$4	05-09 05:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	+600	$366	62¢	$372	+$6	05-12 01:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+1,409	$268	16¢	$232	$-35	05-11 09:57
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-200	$-152	76¢	$-153	$-1	05-14 22:00
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	+1,159	$162	8¢	$87	$-75	05-11 23:52
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	+40	$12	32¢	$13	+$1	05-11 05:13
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	+10	$5	48¢	$5	$-1	05-14 23:27
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	-67	$-25	0¢	$-0	+$24	05-13 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 23:27:24	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xbcf7c0…
05-14 22:00:46	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0xb63943…
05-13 22:32:43	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	33	37¢	$12	0x36a3fc…
05-13 22:32:03	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	34	37¢	$12	0x0862fe…
05-12 01:33:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	600	61¢	$366	0xc22306…
05-11 23:52:47	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,159	14¢	$162	0x170f88…
05-11 23:02:42	Will "Mortal Kombat 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x68fd8d…
05-11 12:29:23	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,642	2¢	$28	0xf81cdb…
05-11 09:57:04	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,409	19¢	$268	0x05421b…
05-11 05:13:25	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x6c0665…
05-10 23:28:09	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	BUY	77	15¢	$12	0x92097c…
05-10 23:17:32	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xd32de0…
05-10 15:31:30	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	92	65¢	$60	0xdbc12b…
05-10 15:26:29	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	SELL	168	4¢	$7	0xdc07e0…
05-10 15:21:25	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	66	65¢	$43	0x9a5c47…
05-10 12:10:03	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	Yes	BUY	9,898	1¢	$69	0x4e56e9…
05-10 11:47:06	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xa0ef30…
05-10 11:46:34	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x9205c3…
05-10 08:07:28	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	Yes	BUY	174	3¢	$5	0xffe759…
05-09 15:49:01	Will "Mortal Kombat 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	Yes	BUY	991	20¢	$200	0x1f9633…
05-09 05:49:37	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	494	94¢	$467	0xd22475…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9	6	$6.83K	83	05-14 18:49
Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe	6	$770	12	05-15 07:42
Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318	5	$931	57	05-11 04:13
Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad	5	$510	16	05-11 14:02
Sweet-Failure 0xecaa…77a9	4	$7.30K	7	05-13 21:00
Bronze-Toll-Chasuble 0xb94c…b5b5	4	$5.97K	9	05-11 17:03
Youthful-Tug 0xcb59…0a22	4	$2.57K	8	05-15 04:03
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	4	$1.76K	10	05-13 12:08