Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

4,853 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$323

$25.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$500

30 positions

First seen

2026-06-27

last 11-15 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

66% 85% -$4

Politics

18% 83% -$19

Crypto

8% 76% -$4

Tech

8% 69% -$23

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$2

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 211 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?	No	+20	$16	97¢	$19	+$3	11-02 23:17
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	No	+20	$19	97¢	$19	+$1	11-10 09:09
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	+20	$19	96¢	$19	+$0	11-14 17:37
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L?	No	+20	$16	96¢	$19	+$3	11-12 21:36
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+20	$19	96¢	$19	+$0	11-09 20:25
Will Jordan win Group B at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	+20	$18	94¢	$19	+$1	11-10 17:23
Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	No	+20	$19	94¢	$19	+$0	11-13 17:11
Will Uzbekistan win Group B at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	+20	$18	93¢	$19	+$0	11-14 03:37
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$18	92¢	$18	+$0	10-26 21:28
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$18	91¢	$18	+$0	11-02 08:00
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+20	$17	87¢	$17	+$0	11-14 05:50
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+20	$16	86¢	$17	+$1	11-13 19:27
Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+20	$17	86¢	$17	+$0	11-12 23:46
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?	Yes	+20	$16	86¢	$17	+$1	11-15 13:47
Halle Berry as Storm?	No	+20	$17	82¢	$16	-$1	11-12 10:29
Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	+20	$16	82¢	$16	+$0	11-15 07:57
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	+20	$17	81¢	$16	-$1	11-10 09:10
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	No	+20	$18	80¢	$16	-$2	11-09 00:04
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+20	$16	79¢	$16	$0	11-04 23:06
Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	No	+20	$15	78¢	$16	+$0	11-13 19:58
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	No	+18	$15	86¢	$16	+$1	11-14 13:53
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+20	$17	78¢	$16	-$1	10-30 16:54
Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+20	$16	76¢	$15	-$1	11-09 12:56
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027?	No	+20	$15	75¢	$15	+$0	11-11 09:46
Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	No	+20	$15	72¢	$14	-$1	10-27 03:22
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	No	+20	$18	72¢	$14	-$4	10-30 19:41
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	+20	$15	72¢	$14	-$1	11-02 12:36
Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027?	No	+20	$15	71¢	$14	-$1	11-15 09:04
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?	No	+20	$17	69¢	$14	-$3	11-08 13:33
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	+20	$14	67¢	$13	-$1	11-09 11:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	35	$254	148	148	+0	No	+$3	10-26 22:26
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	26	$219	125	125	+0	No	+$4	10-26 22:54
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L?	13	$201	120	100	+20	open	—	11-12 21:36
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	16	$188	121	121	+0	open	—	11-09 01:25
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	28	$183	118	118	+0	No	+$10	10-26 22:52
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	14	$179	119	109	+10	open	—	11-15 01:22
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?	15	$176	120	120	+0	open	—	11-11 15:07
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	14	$176	105	105	+0	open	—	11-06 11:47
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	16	$166	160	140	+20	open	—	11-13 10:06
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	11	$149	120	100	+20	Yes	-$11	11-03 23:23
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	16	$145	81	81	+0	open	—	11-14 15:25
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?	9	$142	80	80	+0	open	—	11-13 13:18
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	14	$142	95	95	+0	open	—	11-12 14:46
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	14	$133	95	75	+20	open	—	11-11 00:28
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	12	$128	85	85	+0	open	—	11-10 18:57
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	10	$128	69	69	+0	No	+$1	11-03 20:09
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	13	$124	70	70	+0	open	—	11-01 12:58
Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	15	$124	82	82	+0	open	—	11-09 10:01
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?	12	$123	76	76	+0	open	—	11-05 16:13
US imports Russian diesel by March 31?	10	$122	80	80	+0	open	—	11-10 06:56
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	12	$118	80	80	+0	open	—	11-14 22:24
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	10	$113	80	80	+0	open	—	11-11 02:11
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	9	$110	60	60	+0	open	—	11-11 21:26
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	12	$108	75	55	+20	open	—	11-13 19:27
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	11	$108	70	70	+0	No	+$3	10-26 22:45
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?	11	$103	78	78	+0	open	—	11-15 04:45
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	14	$103	65	65	+0	open	—	11-06 08:22
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	14	$101	65	65	+0	open	—	11-02 09:08
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	16	$99	60	60	+0	open	—	11-02 06:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	30	$99	70	65	+5	Yes	-$2	09-05 14:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 13:47:05	Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa0ac88…
11-15 12:26:01	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x5b614a…
11-15 12:23:32	Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x36fb83…
11-15 09:04:11	Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xcf4a51…
11-15 08:25:13	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x20d413…
11-15 07:57:34	Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x25c4e5…
11-15 07:56:26	Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xc8d56c…
11-15 06:12:16	Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xaeb6e8…
11-15 05:08:25	Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x166d97…
11-15 04:57:52	Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 1.5%?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xf45377…
11-15 04:49:35	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x80f780…
11-15 04:45:55	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x14dcc5…
11-15 02:39:35	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x90dabe…
11-15 02:16:44	Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 1.5%?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x5525a2…
11-15 01:45:46	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x9231c4…
11-15 01:22:58	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xa3e38a…
11-15 00:10:49	Will "Rose" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x3357d0…
11-14 23:46:28	Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xdc5360…
11-14 23:07:34	Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x0def13…
11-14 22:24:47	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x5df1be…
11-14 17:37:40	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x9abf74…
11-14 17:07:43	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xd0bca7…
11-14 16:53:07	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x79a5dc…
11-14 16:19:29	Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	No	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x667af6…
11-14 15:25:25	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xff0f41…
11-14 14:25:50	Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x43ece5…
11-14 13:56:05	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4ec967…
11-14 13:53:32	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x9db556…
11-14 13:27:25	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe03fd3…
11-14 10:57:41	Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x07dc96…
11-14 10:03:31	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xc540e0…
11-14 08:48:26	Will Guinea-Bissau win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group L?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xa990a2…
11-14 08:10:02	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x00768b…
11-14 07:02:37	Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x759cbb…
11-14 06:44:05	Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xa84ce9…
11-14 06:16:16	Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xca7719…
11-14 06:08:29	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x46ee89…
11-14 05:53:52	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x6e9f91…
11-14 05:50:40	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x9c37da…
11-14 05:47:08	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xf7cf69…
11-14 04:21:23	Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xa00a67…
11-14 03:46:35	Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x2263ac…
11-14 03:37:20	Will Uzbekistan win Group B at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x7add51…
11-14 03:37:10	Will Uzbekistan win Group B at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd30d42…
11-14 02:48:37	Will "Rose" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x8e62aa…
11-14 02:44:46	Will "Rose" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf9dce5…
11-14 02:00:01	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xd2b2c7…
11-14 00:01:51	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x546a3f…
11-13 23:05:13	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x64a2b4…
11-13 20:53:16	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x9643c3…
11-13 20:31:52	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x6573df…
11-13 20:05:00	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x42919d…
11-13 19:58:24	Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x8e82dc…
11-13 19:39:01	Will "Tangles" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x86a3e0…
11-13 19:27:52	Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x6c17c5…
11-13 19:02:48	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x263bb1…
11-13 18:56:42	Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xef2f79…
11-13 18:56:07	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xa69a9a…
11-13 17:41:48	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xa30cf5…
11-13 17:35:07	Will Anthropic sell between 4% and 5% of its shares in its IPO?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x66b9c8…
11-13 17:11:58	Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x35c1d3…
11-13 17:11:10	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0x3a4cb4…
11-13 16:39:39	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the June meeting?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x9130e9…
11-13 16:32:13	Will Nigeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group L?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x88bab9…
11-13 16:30:31	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe81fd9…
11-13 16:29:45	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xe9f62d…
11-13 15:52:43	Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xf10b09…
11-13 15:36:01	Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xf5d7e2…
11-13 14:16:45	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x216d61…
11-13 13:46:36	Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0xd7b8e6…
11-13 13:25:30	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xa80a4f…
11-13 13:25:28	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2494a0…
11-13 13:18:03	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3b5f4b…
11-13 12:48:58	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x6ac9b4…
11-13 11:33:07	Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xa5e55a…
11-13 11:10:30	Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 50% by March 31?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x710b55…
11-13 10:06:43	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x5fbbfc…
11-13 09:32:46	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x45ad6f…
11-13 09:05:36	Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x0bd857…
11-13 09:03:34	Will A Derailment win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x6bf28b…
11-13 08:44:37	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xd8fec3…
11-13 08:40:00	GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x7c14c8…
11-13 08:35:15	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xb28f1a…
11-13 07:48:15	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x786f4a…
11-13 07:43:30	Will "Tangles" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xa270cb…
11-13 07:10:31	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3ef47d…
11-13 07:07:25	Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x229abe…
11-13 06:59:18	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x58e2aa…
11-13 06:47:24	Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb1a72a…
11-13 05:19:55	Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x8480a9…
11-13 04:56:24	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6bb6ae…
11-13 04:37:16	Will "Tangles" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x6e009a…
11-13 04:25:01	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xde94de…
11-13 04:18:30	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x54d19d…
11-13 04:07:30	Will Anthropic raise between $65B and $75B in its IPO?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x79e42a…
11-13 04:05:24	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$0	0xb1d9d8…
11-13 04:01:19	Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x77970f…
11-13 03:35:22	Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$13	0x7f0c65…
11-13 01:07:22	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the June meeting?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xb3caf0…
11-12 23:46:45	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x0d4bf4…