Vibrant-Asymmetry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$215

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.6%

Resolved

411

Trades

925

lifetime

Volume

$27.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-14 11:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

36% 34% +$134

Crypto

34% 1% -$180

Sports

17% 53% +$30

Politics

12% 32% -$199

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba phx chi 2026 04 05	14	$1.3K	3,283	4,283	-1,000	Suns	+$193	04-05 19:42
bun ein koe 2026 04 05 ein	15	$920	1,000	1,000	+0	No	$0	04-05 16:13
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	9	$894	1,077	1,077	+0	No	-$10	07-20 08:25
nba cha min 2026 04 05	2	$850	1,000	1,000	+0	Hornets	-$10	04-05 17:19
nba tor bos 2026 04 05	8	$671	2,000	2,000	+0	Celtics	-$89	04-05 19:50
nba chi was 2026 04 07	2	$644	1,000	980	+20	Bulls	-$16	04-07 03:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$630	1,300	1,300	+0	No	-$10	05-15 05:57
nba por den 2026 04 06	45	$598	1,300	1,300	+0	Nuggets	$0	04-06 05:38
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$538	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$66	03-28 08:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	7	$530	922	1,322	-400	No	+$69	03-31 18:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$496	400	400	+0	Yes	+$8	08-12 12:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$452	1,160	1,160	+0	No	-$7	06-25 19:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$446	453	400	+53	No	+$10	09-14 11:18
andrew tate posts february 20 february 27 100 129	20	$432	506	550	-44	No	+$12	02-26 12:04
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	2	$405	1,500	1,500	+0	Michigan Wolverines	+$45	03-21 16:31
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$360	300	300	+0	Yes	+$0	06-21 14:25
bitcoin above 62k on february 14	1	$355	355	0	+355	Yes	+$0	02-14 12:08
bitcoin above 62k on february 15	2	$351	850	0	+850	Yes	-$1	02-15 07:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$348	477	477	+0	No	+$5	06-17 16:27
andrew tate posts february 20 february 27 0 99	9	$325	450	450	+0	Yes	+$0	02-25 14:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$304	800	800	+0	No	+$48	06-12 15:20
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 340 359	2	$301	800	0	+800	No	-$1	02-17 10:25
ethereum above 2300 on february 11	2	$301	800	0	+800	No	-$1	02-11 11:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 6	2	$301	500	0	+500	No	-$1	01-06 09:29
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$300	300	300	+0	Yes	+$0	07-05 12:48
andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 100 129	21	$293	500	600	-100	No	+$24	02-27 17:16
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 3	2	$291	790	0	+790	No	-$1	01-02 18:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$280	666	666	+0	open	—	05-06 09:31
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 300 319	47	$270	880	450	+430	No	-$89	02-27 19:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	2	$267	290	290	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 11:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 11:18:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xcdf137…
08-12 12:54:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x392beb…
08-10 18:01:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x721cce…
08-10 16:31:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0xe265ab…
08-10 11:53:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xb7a8cd…
08-07 13:01:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0xd798bd…
08-06 08:40:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xcd441b…
08-05 07:37:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xc17f04…
08-04 21:29:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xdba91d…
07-20 08:25:39	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	347	30¢	$106	0x908107…
07-20 08:16:30	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	347	31¢	$108	0xfefe93…
07-17 19:21:31	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	330	31¢	$104	0x61c276…
07-17 19:12:46	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0xd7cb51…
07-17 19:12:46	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x211e5f…
07-17 19:12:46	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	80	32¢	$25	0x03d6d5…
07-17 19:03:52	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0xbb86b3…
07-17 18:58:49	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	164	32¢	$52	0xebf477…
07-17 18:56:42	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x4b6e73…
07-17 16:49:57	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	195	58¢	$113	0xcdb176…
07-17 14:13:28	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xba843d…
07-17 14:09:25	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x212a9d…
07-17 14:09:00	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	64	58¢	$37	0xbd13c6…
07-17 14:03:58	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	58¢	$17	0xba777f…
07-13 17:01:55	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	230	45¢	$104	0x75c2d8…
07-13 15:47:01	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	230	45¢	$104	0x6c7597…
07-13 14:36:08	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	250	46¢	$115	0xa5487c…
07-13 13:53:17	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	250	47¢	$118	0x966520…
07-08 16:43:16	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	250	47¢	$118	0x85b851…
07-08 16:10:56	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x0eb96d…
07-08 16:10:47	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xb3bc9e…
07-08 09:12:55	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	600	17¢	$102	0x6d0fe3…
07-08 08:21:47	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	600	22¢	$132	0x938614…
07-05 12:48:04	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	300	50¢	$150	0x663f7d…
07-05 12:30:07	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0x1746b1…
07-05 12:23:56	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x0c016b…
07-05 12:18:47	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9340ed…
07-05 12:10:22	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	215	50¢	$107	0x7d2670…
06-25 19:33:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	800	18¢	$144	0xcd7d20…
06-25 18:58:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	800	19¢	$152	0xa426f6…
06-25 13:36:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	360	22¢	$78	0xa1831c…
06-25 13:22:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	360	22¢	$78	0xb51550…
06-23 06:52:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x60d59e…
06-23 06:51:46	bitcoin above 70k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa02c06…
06-23 06:51:38	bitcoin above 68k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1943a9…
06-23 06:51:31	bitcoin above 66k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xedb0df…
06-23 06:51:22	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xfe630c…
06-23 06:51:14	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x19be2b…
06-23 06:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb0204f…
06-23 06:50:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2c4a2f…
06-23 06:50:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xaf58be…
06-21 14:25:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	60¢	$180	0xfc0727…
06-21 13:39:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0xb5707c…
06-17 16:27:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	477	37¢	$176	0xcc3a74…
06-17 14:49:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	477	36¢	$172	0x79b413…
06-12 15:20:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	800	22¢	$176	0xf0fe3a…
06-12 13:42:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	800	16¢	$128	0x3a9165…
06-10 06:38:45	bitcoin above 64k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x4bcd32…
06-10 06:38:39	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	449	0¢	$1	0x0b3994…
06-10 06:38:27	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xb92e5d…
06-10 06:38:18	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xd09990…
06-10 06:38:10	bitcoin above 58k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x72a64f…
06-10 06:37:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2d8bad…
06-10 06:37:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$1	0xb96192…
06-04 06:17:57	ethereum above 1900 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x425579…
06-04 06:17:42	ethereum above 2000 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xa8d27b…
06-04 06:17:31	ethereum above 2000 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe4a123…
06-04 06:15:54	Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x53982b…
06-04 06:15:31	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Hurricanes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5ea33a…
06-04 06:14:45	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x0d0b88…
06-04 06:14:36	ethereum above 1600 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xb03a81…
05-30 11:51:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	290	46¢	$133	0x9f0978…
05-30 11:50:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	46¢	$133	0x5f7f84…
05-29 07:05:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xe64a6c…
05-29 07:04:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2e77ce…
05-29 07:04:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x7ae490…
05-29 07:03:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x8689ea…
05-29 07:03:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x15aab2…
05-29 06:53:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3f38a3…
05-29 06:53:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd72331…
05-29 06:52:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0add5f…
05-17 07:22:33	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 17?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x660b3e…
05-17 07:22:18	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	272	0¢	$1	0xa932aa…
05-17 07:21:46	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1ba6aa…
05-17 07:21:34	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6855d2…
05-17 07:21:16	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x56a951…
05-16 06:14:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x64db41…
05-16 06:14:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x43c337…
05-16 06:14:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc200cd…
05-16 06:14:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xdfd2d3…
05-16 06:13:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x698ee8…
05-16 06:13:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x32af05…
05-16 06:13:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf8c5fd…
05-16 06:13:28	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x969791…
05-16 06:13:18	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x77e67e…
05-16 06:12:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x59b556…
05-16 06:12:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5f2774…
05-16 06:12:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xc0126e…
05-15 05:57:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0x4015e8…
05-14 11:16:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0xbb097f…
05-11 09:37:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xd8fd1c…