Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$228
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
27
41 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$17.1K
$18.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$450
Open exposure
$18.0K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 04:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
65% 100% +$28
Other
35% 67% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,695 $7,080 94¢ $7.3K +$192 10-28 04:13
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -5,910 -$5,682 98¢ $-5789 -$107 10-26 18:23
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,166 -$1,135 97¢ $-1136 -$2 10-26 18:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $930 96¢ $955 +$25 10-26 18:20
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +851 $732 92¢ $787 +$55 10-26 18:17
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $770 97¢ $780 +$10 10-28 04:14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +641 $568 94¢ $606 +$38 10-26 18:47
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +345 $300 90¢ $312 +$12 07-01 16:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $130 72¢ $145 +$15 10-26 18:12
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $83 82¢ $82 -$2 10-26 18:19
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +77 $74 98¢ $75 +$1 10-26 18:16
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -30 -$28 93¢ $-28 $0 10-26 18:11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +87 $20 21¢ $18 -$2 07-01 16:55
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +45 $25 35¢ $16 -$10 10-26 18:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -30 -$3 6¢ $-2 +$1 07-01 16:51