Realized P&L (90d)
-$16
Unrealized P&L
+$335
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (90d)
1
Trades (90d)
33
46 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$24.9K
$26.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$571
Open exposure
$25.9K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-02 16:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
75% 100% +$28
Other
25% 67% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +14,995 $14,015 96¢ $14.3K +$306 11-02 16:17
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -5,910 -$5,682 98¢ $-5789 -$107 10-26 18:23
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,701 $1,647 98¢ $1.7K +$12 11-02 16:14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,166 -$1,135 98¢ $-1141 -$6 10-26 18:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $930 94¢ $935 +$5 10-26 18:20
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +851 $732 94¢ $795 +$64 10-26 18:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +641 $568 94¢ $606 +$38 10-26 18:47
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +345 $300 90¢ $312 +$12 07-01 16:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $130 74¢ $147 +$17 10-26 18:12
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $83 82¢ $82 $0 10-26 18:19
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +77 $74 98¢ $75 +$1 10-26 18:16
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -30 -$28 94¢ $-28 $0 10-26 18:11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +87 $20 23¢ $20 $0 07-01 16:55
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +45 $25 43¢ $19 -$6 10-26 18:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -30 -$3 4¢ $-1 +$1 07-01 16:51