Realized P&L
+$1.54K
Unrealized P&L
-$136
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
16
Trades
67
lifetime
Volume
$28.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$430
Open exposure
$7.39K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-04 15:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
77% 100% +$1,530
Other
23% 67% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -5,910 -$5,682 98¢ $-5807 -$124 10-26 18:23
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,166 -$1,135 98¢ $-1148 -$13 10-26 18:14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +345 $300 92¢ $316 +$16 07-01 16:59
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election? Yes +40 $39 100¢ $40 +$1 11-04 15:51
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +45 $25 66¢ $30 +$4 10-26 18:20
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -30 -$28 98¢ $-29 -$2 10-26 18:11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +87 $20 19¢ $16 -$4 07-01 16:55
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? No +60 $4 6¢ $4 $0 11-04 15:56
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +100 $10 2¢ $2 -$8 11-04 15:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -30 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 07-01 16:51
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +30 $7 1¢ $0 -$6 11-04 06:43