Realized P&L
-$7.14K
Unrealized P&L
-$342
Hit rate
73.6%
Resolved
178
Trades
1,898
lifetime
Volume
$240.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$127
Open exposure
$10.9K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-28 04:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
54% 61% +$1,446
Politics
34% 39% -$9,441
Sports
6% 55% +$89
Tech
5% 100% +$702
Crypto
1% 100% +$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +6,100 $5,835 96¢ $5.9K +$21 10-28 04:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,024 -$1,460 96¢ $-1946 -$486 10-17 11:07
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +1,000 $982 99¢ $987 +$5 09-22 10:18
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +870 $828 96¢ $833 +$4 10-26 21:27
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +300 $273 92¢ $274 +$2 10-25 22:51
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +200 $192 98¢ $196 +$4 10-08 10:56
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +200 $112 92¢ $183 +$71 09-29 05:39
US recession by end of 2026? No +110 $101 92¢ $102 +$0 10-22 20:58
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +100 $96 99¢ $99 +$3 10-21 13:31
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +100 $94 96¢ $96 +$2 10-20 06:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -771 -$76 12¢ $-92 -$16 08-08 16:39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$0 10-25 23:02
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +100 $75 78¢ $78 +$4 10-25 21:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +100 $36 35¢ $35 -$1 10-23 18:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -100 -$37 11¢ $-10 +$26 05-06 22:46
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -100 -$20 8¢ $-8 +$13 05-08 07:41
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 $0 10-26 16:22
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +200 $1 1¢ $3 +$2 10-24 05:59
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +0 -$3 99¢ $0 +$3 06-09 04:05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +0 -$1 96¢ $0 +$1 10-16 12:01