Humongous-Fannypack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.04K

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

115

Trades

3,544

lifetime

Volume

$2.00M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$566

Open exposure

$76.5K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-28 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Politics

65% 53% +$270,304

Other

19% 50% -$126,251

Sports

16% 15% -$57,091

Tech

0% 60% +$1,534

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+126,501	$64,906	56¢	$70.2K	+$5,302	10-28 18:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+5,305	$4,881	98¢	$5.2K	+$342	05-07 02:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6,718	$1,643	16¢	$1.0K	-$602	09-14 15:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+40	$8	16¢	$7	-$1	07-29 04:04
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+40	$5	16¢	$6	+$1	07-29 04:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$5	14¢	$1	-$4	06-30 16:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	492	$232.4K	1,113,570	103,966	+1,009,605	No	-$134,646	05-28 19:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	32	$200.6K	96,489	109,999	-13,510	Yes	+$4,688	03-01 02:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	62	$169.1K	191,520	20,000	+171,520	No	+$41,056	01-25 20:28
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	62	$108.4K	125,849	95,798	+30,051	Yes	+$81,781	02-28 06:47
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	67	$84.0K	87,222	0	+87,222	No	+$3,227	07-19 18:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	30	$80.5K	149,344	44,262	+105,081	No	-$2,590	05-26 17:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$72.1K	259,357	15,000	+244,357	No	-$65,023	07-29 17:21
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	80	$70.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	Max Holloway	+$30,000	07-12 02:20
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	132	$70.0K	134,957	44,323	+90,634	Patriots	-$4,487	01-25 22:30
nfl sf sea 2026 01 17	90	$66.5K	129,077	0	+129,077	Seahawks	-$1,090	01-18 03:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	164	$64.9K	126,501	0	+126,501	open	—	10-28 18:56
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	118	$54.1K	104,039	0	+104,039	Broncos	-$43,061	01-18 01:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	133	$42.6K	168,574	0	+168,574	No	-$42,599	03-20 21:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	7	$38.8K	28,706	28,000	+706	Yes	+$4,358	02-22 21:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	15	$36.3K	36,458	36,457	+1	No	+$17,281	05-23 17:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$34.4K	87,072	41,638	+45,434	Yes	-$14,023	07-29 17:39
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	20	$33.2K	14,474	24,000	-9,526	No	+$92	02-22 21:43
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$29.7K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	+$270	08-18 17:34
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	2	$27.3K	27,871	0	+27,871	No	+$582	02-06 19:02
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$24.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	-$24,000	05-26 00:56
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	218	$22.7K	107,099	0	+107,099	Yes	-$22,706	03-02 06:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	68	$20.2K	279,283	0	+279,283	Yes	+$259,100	05-08 19:07
Thunder vs. Lakers	206	$19.6K	40,000	40,000	+0	Thunder	-$400	05-10 00:36
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$18.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$808	01-18 01:16
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	217	$17.7K	161,028	0	+161,028	No	-$17,713	02-11 13:37
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$17.2K	17,870	0	+17,870	No	+$715	03-16 15:37
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	121	$15.6K	24,759	0	+24,759	No	+$9,146	07-19 19:30
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$15.0K	249,567	0	+249,567	Yes	-$15,020	04-15 18:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	30	$14.7K	35,057	0	+35,057	Yes	-$14,730	04-01 16:09
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$14.2K	42,113	0	+42,113	No	-$4,196	01-26 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:56:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xcabf12…
10-28 18:56:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	463	48¢	$222	0x2275cd…
10-28 18:56:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0xb5d82b…
10-28 18:56:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0xdca4a8…
10-28 18:55:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	67	48¢	$32	0x839dd2…
10-28 18:55:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	587	48¢	$282	0xeeba0e…
10-28 18:55:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x977330…
10-28 18:55:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	192	48¢	$92	0xe8bee1…
10-28 18:55:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	631	48¢	$303	0x3709aa…
10-28 18:55:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7,943	48¢	$3,813	0x60cbd8…
10-28 18:54:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10,000	50¢	$5,000	0x88c200…
10-28 18:54:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10,000	49¢	$4,900	0x4df33d…
10-28 18:51:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x18ca82…
10-28 18:51:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0xebb1e6…
10-28 18:51:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xcfbe87…
10-28 18:50:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	62	52¢	$32	0xa984f7…
10-28 18:50:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xe453f2…
10-28 18:50:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	32	52¢	$17	0x148114…
10-28 18:49:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xab8601…
10-28 18:49:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x4e90ad…
10-28 18:48:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x725347…
10-28 18:47:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x16cb75…
10-28 18:47:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x87062d…
10-28 18:46:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x5893e4…
10-28 18:46:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x85af17…
10-28 18:46:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x45fa4c…
10-28 18:45:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	208	52¢	$108	0xf5bf8d…
10-28 18:45:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0927a9…
10-28 18:45:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1a7c97…
10-28 18:45:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x6493a4…
10-28 18:44:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30	52¢	$15	0x21e51a…
10-28 18:44:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	34	52¢	$17	0x8d2c9f…
10-28 18:43:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2654f6…
10-28 17:34:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6,733	54¢	$3,636	0x238212…
10-28 17:34:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf00447…
10-28 17:34:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	554	54¢	$299	0x06d8c0…
10-28 17:33:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x3aa873…
10-28 17:33:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1d2c04…
10-28 17:32:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0xb14c48…
10-28 17:32:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0xd172dc…
10-28 17:31:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x0cf7c1…
10-28 17:31:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x12cd79…
10-28 17:31:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xf35ef6…
10-28 17:31:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x5b9a6c…
10-28 17:30:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x9c429f…
10-28 17:30:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	311	54¢	$168	0x125749…
10-28 17:30:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x52f797…
10-28 17:29:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	25	54¢	$13	0x424341…
10-28 17:29:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	108	54¢	$58	0x1549bc…
10-28 17:28:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xde2978…
10-28 17:28:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xc3b19a…
10-28 17:27:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	577	54¢	$312	0xccda59…
10-28 17:27:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x0afef2…
10-28 17:26:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xac3359…
10-28 17:26:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x02db7c…
10-28 17:25:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0xcae909…
10-28 17:24:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x5bcbe5…
10-28 17:23:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x4ccdb6…
10-28 17:23:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x6f9681…
10-28 17:22:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x30050c…
10-28 17:21:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0x8d1940…
10-28 17:21:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x57413a…
10-28 17:21:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x5bd257…
10-28 17:20:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x80733b…
10-28 17:20:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x3793cb…
10-28 17:19:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa49b0d…
10-28 17:19:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	69	54¢	$37	0x32491d…
10-28 17:19:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	149	54¢	$81	0x0bf56c…
10-28 17:18:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x88cd4a…
10-28 17:18:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xe589ea…
10-28 17:18:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0xc20bcb…
10-28 17:18:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xd744c1…
10-28 17:17:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x90ba30…
10-28 17:17:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x20e457…
10-28 17:16:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	70	54¢	$38	0x8ca107…
10-28 17:16:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	64	54¢	$35	0x4cb582…
10-28 17:16:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	515	54¢	$278	0x37f2e9…
10-28 17:16:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x70cad5…
10-28 17:15:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x2939ea…
10-28 17:15:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x745ac5…
10-28 17:15:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xa6af5a…
10-28 17:15:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb92bfb…
10-28 17:15:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	138	54¢	$75	0xd89674…
10-28 17:15:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x8275b2…
10-28 17:15:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x489fb5…
10-28 17:15:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5,000	54¢	$2,700	0x343ee5…
10-28 17:15:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xfd89b6…
10-28 17:14:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x0e882b…
10-28 17:14:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	49	54¢	$26	0x5e5ac5…
10-28 17:13:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x371409…
10-28 17:13:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	86	54¢	$46	0x594808…
10-28 17:13:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xd8ee7b…
10-28 17:13:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x87071a…
10-28 17:12:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1295c9…
10-28 17:12:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	950	54¢	$513	0x832b66…
10-28 17:12:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	95	54¢	$52	0x0569c5…
10-28 17:12:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0xad6124…
10-28 17:11:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x25b405…
10-28 17:11:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xef7e05…
10-28 17:11:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0x2215b0…