Humongous-Fannypack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$255.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

38.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,192

lifetime

Volume

$1.65M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$518

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-19 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

72% 100% +$271,106

Sports

17% 0% $-400

Other

11% 0% $-15,020

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+10	$5	12¢	$1	$-4	06-30 16:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	481	$232.1K	1,109,157	103,966	+1,005,191	open	—	05-28 19:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	32	$200.6K	96,489	109,999	-13,510	open	—	03-01 02:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	62	$169.1K	191,520	20,000	+171,520	open	—	01-25 20:28
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	62	$108.4K	125,849	95,798	+30,051	open	—	02-28 06:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	30	$80.5K	149,344	44,262	+105,081	open	—	05-26 17:25
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	80	$70.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	07-12 02:20
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	132	$70.0K	134,957	44,323	+90,634	open	—	01-25 22:30
nfl sf sea 2026 01 17	90	$66.5K	129,077	0	+129,077	open	—	01-18 03:11
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	118	$54.1K	104,039	0	+104,039	open	—	01-18 01:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	133	$42.6K	168,574	0	+168,574	open	—	03-20 21:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	7	$38.8K	28,706	28,000	+706	open	—	02-22 21:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	14	$33.4K	26,940	36,457	-9,517	open	—	05-23 17:13
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	20	$33.2K	14,474	24,000	-9,526	open	—	02-22 21:43
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	2	$27.3K	27,871	0	+27,871	open	—	02-06 19:02
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	218	$22.7K	107,099	0	+107,099	open	—	03-02 06:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	68	$20.2K	279,283	0	+279,283	Yes	+$259,100	05-08 19:07
Thunder vs. Lakers	206	$19.6K	40,000	40,000	+0	Thunder	$-400	05-10 00:36
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$18.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	01-18 01:16
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	217	$17.7K	161,028	0	+161,028	open	—	02-11 13:37
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$17.2K	17,870	0	+17,870	open	—	03-16 15:37
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	121	$15.6K	24,759	0	+24,759	open	—	07-19 19:30
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$15.0K	249,567	0	+249,567	Yes	$-15,020	04-15 18:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	30	$14.7K	35,057	0	+35,057	open	—	04-01 16:09
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$14.2K	42,113	0	+42,113	open	—	01-26 19:18
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	3	$14.1K	14,811	0	+14,811	open	—	05-22 17:12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	200	$13.6K	196,904	0	+196,904	open	—	01-24 03:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	85	$12.2K	85,321	0	+85,321	open	—	02-14 05:02
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	2	$12.2K	12,589	0	+12,589	open	—	02-06 19:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	5	$11.9K	6,594	6,691	-97	open	—	05-24 21:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	14	$10.8K	119,450	0	+119,450	open	—	06-03 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:30:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x101578…
07-19 19:28:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	15	65¢	$9	0xa90e67…
07-19 19:28:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x57b347…
07-19 19:27:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x1de8ec…
07-19 19:27:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0x414ac0…
07-19 19:27:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0xcdcd02…
07-19 19:27:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xe64de2…
07-19 19:27:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf16bc8…
07-19 19:26:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x31c587…
07-19 19:26:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd2d4d1…
07-19 19:26:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0804d0…
07-19 19:26:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x53064a…
07-19 19:26:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x33d3bf…
07-19 19:26:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	105	66¢	$69	0x3d6b10…
07-19 19:25:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0xfbc2ed…
07-19 19:25:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6c19ab…
07-19 19:25:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xa2005a…
07-19 19:25:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xde6492…
07-19 19:25:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x00c58a…
07-19 19:24:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x930ade…
07-19 19:24:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	143	65¢	$93	0x15b89f…
07-19 19:24:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	543	65¢	$353	0x3f0ac2…
07-19 19:24:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x9c8c5e…
07-19 19:24:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf07560…
07-19 19:23:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xd2463a…
07-19 19:23:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x46d897…
07-19 19:22:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	4,503	66¢	$2,972	0x8b09cd…
07-19 19:15:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	9,786	63¢	$6,165	0x0100f8…
07-19 19:14:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	52	63¢	$33	0x64d0b9…
07-19 19:14:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x09297e…
07-19 19:14:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	135	63¢	$85	0xde9064…
07-19 19:12:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	904	58¢	$525	0x991dfb…
07-19 19:12:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x462c85…
07-19 19:12:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x9691b6…
07-19 19:11:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	75	60¢	$45	0xd8c583…
07-19 19:11:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa0681f…
07-19 19:11:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	176	60¢	$106	0x6a5da2…
07-19 19:10:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	34	62¢	$21	0xb7d8d8…
07-19 19:10:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb48b12…
07-19 19:10:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x24f324…
07-19 19:10:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	126	62¢	$78	0x3ed045…
07-19 19:10:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x04aa0b…
07-19 19:10:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc3f4f7…
07-19 19:10:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	105	62¢	$65	0xdc3754…
07-19 19:10:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0x60ba81…
07-19 19:10:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xf73e8f…
07-19 19:10:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	105	62¢	$65	0x7f55d0…
07-19 19:09:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	132	62¢	$82	0xc0789f…
07-19 19:09:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x34d9cb…
07-19 19:09:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5528d2…
07-19 19:09:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xee8ff0…
07-19 19:09:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0xbc268f…
07-19 19:09:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0xc31088…
07-19 19:09:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x411301…
07-19 19:09:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	297	62¢	$184	0x43b30d…
07-19 19:09:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x5e2aa6…
07-19 19:09:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xf94002…
07-19 19:09:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x15c0e9…
07-19 19:09:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x0a6a26…
07-19 19:08:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3f9a9a…
07-19 19:08:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	125	64¢	$80	0x363860…
07-19 19:08:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x314d73…
07-19 19:08:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x294093…
07-19 19:08:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0xe8440a…
07-19 19:08:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x31eac7…
07-19 19:08:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	124	62¢	$77	0x929aec…
07-19 19:08:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0x728e77…
07-19 19:08:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	36	62¢	$22	0xf4fa9c…
07-19 19:08:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x1cb294…
07-19 19:08:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	105	62¢	$65	0xe785c9…
07-19 19:08:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	79	62¢	$49	0x3df9a6…
07-19 19:08:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	102	62¢	$63	0xa107d1…
07-19 19:04:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0xe9486a…
07-19 19:04:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x72a310…
07-19 19:04:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	139	62¢	$86	0x60d1ce…
07-19 19:04:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	66	62¢	$41	0x573f7e…
07-19 19:04:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x3aab9a…
07-19 19:04:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x65358f…
07-19 19:04:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0xca24ee…
07-19 19:04:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0d65ad…
07-19 19:04:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4cd7d6…
07-19 19:04:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	708	62¢	$439	0x03fb6e…
07-19 19:03:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x98c975…
07-19 19:03:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf901f1…
07-19 19:03:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x923c06…
07-19 19:03:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe6a5c2…
07-19 19:03:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2b3056…
07-19 19:03:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	192	62¢	$119	0xd3131c…
07-19 19:03:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x00ae34…
07-19 19:03:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	150	62¢	$93	0x4fad7d…
07-19 19:03:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0x9357ee…
07-19 19:03:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xc385cc…
07-19 19:03:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	132	62¢	$82	0x061d96…
07-19 19:03:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x8d0581…
07-19 19:03:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xaead44…
07-19 19:03:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	75	62¢	$46	0xf27916…
07-19 19:03:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x4bb7bb…
07-19 19:03:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x0a621c…
07-19 19:03:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x0e4bc7…
07-19 19:03:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	105	62¢	$65	0x041d37…