Putrid-Prosecution — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

163 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$260 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 11-01 18:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

69% 92% +$4

Politics

30% 78% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+15	$2	10¢	$2	$0	11-01 18:12
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-2	-$1	76¢	$-1	$0	09-25 22:56
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-2	-$1	36¢	$-1	+$0	08-30 07:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	53	$54	225	225	+0	open	—	11-01 11:38
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	28	$46	151	151	+0	open	—	10-12 16:30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026?	6	$32	17	17	+0	No	+$0	10-12 09:30
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	5	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	06-20 15:17
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	3	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	10-16 18:11
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	-$1	05-15 13:52
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-19 09:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	6	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	09-25 22:56
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$6	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	08-31 12:05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by August 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-30 18:28
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	10-17 13:06
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	10-17 13:06
Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	10-17 13:07
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	10-23 22:01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	10-16 00:15
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 12:29
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-30 22:51
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	04-13 02:04
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-25 14:16
Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?	3	$3	2	1	+1	Yes	$0	09-29 15:42
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	3	$2	3	1	+2	Yes	+$0	08-30 07:47
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-22 13:51
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	5	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	08-30 07:45
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	08-30 07:55
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-20 15:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 12:46
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-20 15:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	09-25 22:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$2	11	11	+0	open	—	05-15 12:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	15	0	+15	open	—	11-01 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 18:12:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf66cf1…
11-01 11:38:46	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x3f23d1…
10-31 21:04:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x8c9341…
10-31 20:54:19	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x03e2b7…
10-30 19:11:39	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x87f6c8…
10-30 18:05:13	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x8c034c…
10-30 15:22:24	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xc480cf…
10-30 12:59:45	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3f9049…
10-30 12:05:10	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	13¢	$4	0x221def…
10-30 09:12:12	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8453e8…
10-30 02:35:55	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x7367b5…
10-30 02:32:49	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x101bed…
10-29 20:06:55	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x43747f…
10-29 17:54:32	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x005777…
10-29 17:47:32	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xf2ae27…
10-29 17:47:31	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x6dfc11…
10-25 16:12:27	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4839c1…
10-25 14:16:14	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd45a92…
10-24 16:12:27	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xdce010…
10-23 22:01:32	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xccdb2e…
10-23 16:39:39	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x474189…
10-23 12:45:54	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x021d1b…
10-23 11:45:56	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xcfa7ab…
10-23 08:53:57	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd11f00…
10-23 07:53:54	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x8e0675…
10-23 04:49:23	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3a2390…
10-22 07:31:35	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0xe9a02e…
10-21 16:46:32	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x62f78f…
10-20 03:06:21	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe50aa3…
10-19 09:39:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa202f5…
10-17 15:25:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xff8dd6…
10-17 13:07:05	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x524eee…
10-17 13:06:53	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9dfead…
10-17 13:06:48	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc750de…
10-16 18:11:50	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x04b5a1…
10-16 10:35:06	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1545ce…
10-16 00:15:01	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x279aa7…
10-15 23:50:43	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x58947e…
10-12 16:30:09	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xad9870…
10-12 16:30:09	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x139c7a…
10-12 09:30:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x8029fa…
09-30 11:17:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x815d49…
09-29 15:42:23	Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x030329…
09-28 14:12:26	Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xbebdaf…
09-28 14:10:14	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x55ccc5…
09-28 01:56:26	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3a29bd…
09-27 09:43:03	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xb98a76…
09-26 02:32:42	Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd34f2a…
09-25 23:02:45	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2d7720…
09-25 22:56:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1c3f58…
09-25 22:56:44	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0150b1…
09-25 22:56:27	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xdd2184…
09-25 15:56:09	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x78cf25…
09-25 15:47:18	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x672f0d…
09-23 20:10:35	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa25c62…
09-23 16:50:53	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x7c15c1…
09-23 15:53:34	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe41105…
09-23 06:15:58	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xafac34…
09-22 21:41:09	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x31fac4…
09-22 19:38:45	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1048e0…
09-22 08:12:40	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x43473b…
09-21 14:58:25	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xecc459…
09-20 19:56:56	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x161313…
09-20 17:12:09	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xa4a0a4…
09-20 16:01:49	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xa0a430…
09-20 06:33:25	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x7ed13a…
09-20 06:16:57	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x5a6fdd…
09-17 22:14:12	friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x3cdcb1…
09-17 15:35:46	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x329c35…
09-17 15:17:15	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xbbf595…
09-17 15:15:12	friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x8f9be8…
09-07 23:25:16	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x810f7b…
09-06 16:02:22	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0xc72564…
09-03 15:52:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x81ff40…
09-03 15:44:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x356ffd…
09-03 15:43:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$0	0x721ecc…
09-01 02:34:43	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa9fc75…
08-31 19:20:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0b8de7…
08-31 12:05:06	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xd01e0d…
08-31 10:41:26	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xcd0323…
08-30 18:28:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x30d5b5…
08-30 08:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdf1dac…
08-30 08:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x10e36c…
08-30 08:45:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3f722b…
08-30 08:40:19	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xad9efd…
08-30 08:10:16	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xed0d8c…
08-30 08:07:37	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5c92ad…
08-30 08:06:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf0f478…
08-30 08:00:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xacb44a…
08-30 07:55:48	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x146ce7…
08-30 07:51:13	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x12a904…
08-30 07:47:51	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xbfe68c…
08-30 07:46:34	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x78f894…
08-30 07:46:25	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe38494…
08-30 07:45:55	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf1f251…
08-30 07:45:37	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xeee375…
06-28 03:48:52	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xf120c9…
06-28 03:48:34	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x9bce17…
06-28 03:48:25	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x807961…
06-20 15:17:40	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x4d3914…