Realized P&L
+$2.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$129
Hit rate
98.3%
Resolved
8
Trades
8,531
lifetime
Volume
$1.23M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$8.21K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 14:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
61% 83% +$2,514
Other
37% 100% +$75
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 273 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3,354 $-2,243 86¢ $-2901 $-658 06-28 00:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,873 $-1,611 90¢ $-1695 $-84 06-08 07:55
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No -1,540 $-1,126 74¢ $-1140 $-14 06-25 13:26
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +719 $609 96¢ $691 +$83 06-30 20:41
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +600 $487 88¢ $525 +$38 06-24 23:35
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? No +400 $345 88¢ $351 +$6 06-30 03:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,909 $-611 18¢ $-334 +$277 06-12 18:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +300 $270 93¢ $280 +$9 06-08 01:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +800 $191 30¢ $236 +$45 06-29 01:36
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -60 $-53 91¢ $-55 $-2 06-03 23:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -600 $-209 $-2 +$207 06-26 07:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -890 $35 $-1 $-36 06-15 22:02