Realized P&L
+$2.88K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.05K
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved
641
Trades
11,351
lifetime
Volume
$1.55M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$137
Open exposure
$23.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 23:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Politics
64% 63% +$1,042
Other
34% 56% +$2,340
Crypto
1% 40% -$214
Tech
1% 40% -$439
Sports
1% 44% +$153
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No -3,731 -$2,899 92¢ $-3414 -$515 10-09 08:32
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,594 $2,340 90¢ $2.3K +$2 10-27 23:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2,210 -$1,460 86¢ $-1900 -$440 08-29 00:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,233 -$1,978 82¢ $-1820 +$158 10-27 22:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,657 $1,333 94¢ $1.6K +$233 10-21 21:26
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,200 $974 99¢ $1.2K +$214 10-27 21:35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,200 $979 92¢ $1.1K +$119 07-02 12:28
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +1,201 $1,035 90¢ $1.1K +$45 10-27 19:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -1,030 -$913 97¢ $-998 -$84 05-27 07:03
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,131 $746 88¢ $990 +$244 10-27 22:39
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +768 $452 98¢ $753 +$300 10-14 02:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,300 $744 57¢ $741 -$3 10-27 23:07
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +668 $511 96¢ $642 +$131 10-22 14:35
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +600 $494 99¢ $594 +$100 10-27 21:08
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +596 $626 85¢ $507 -$119 10-23 20:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,097 $1,680 35¢ $384 -$1,296 10-22 14:47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +389 $228 95¢ $371 +$143 10-14 05:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +365 $399 96¢ $350 -$48 10-14 18:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +824 $470 40¢ $325 -$144 10-20 01:03
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +426 $353 74¢ $317 -$36 10-12 11:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +845 $270 34¢ $291 +$21 10-27 06:12
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +1,185 $439 22¢ $265 -$174 10-15 15:27
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? No +264 $229 90¢ $239 +$10 09-30 16:19
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +250 $187 79¢ $197 +$10 09-29 18:08
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +197 $171 94¢ $184 +$13 07-20 12:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +200 $142 78¢ $157 +$15 09-17 10:14
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +372 $47 25¢ $94 +$48 10-11 19:24
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +132 $95 72¢ $94 -$1 09-28 18:57
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $84 30¢ $92 +$7 10-01 12:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $71 68¢ $68 -$4 10-11 19:32