Realized P&L
+$2.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$70
Hit rate
98.3%
Resolved
8
Trades
8,948
lifetime
Volume
$1.28M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$143
Open exposure
$5.64K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 12:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
61% 83% +$2,514
Other
37% 100% +$75
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No -1,826 $-1,366 84¢ $-1543 $-177 07-20 11:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,677 $-1,235 72¢ $-1199 +$36 07-20 14:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,273 $-1,077 90¢ $-1140 $-63 07-22 06:34
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? No +700 $603 89¢ $620 +$17 07-21 17:30
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +600 $487 88¢ $525 +$38 06-24 23:35
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +300 $270 94¢ $283 +$13 06-08 01:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,909 $-611 14¢ $-258 +$354 06-12 18:09
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -60 $-53 94¢ $-57 $-4 06-03 23:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,500 $297 $14 $-283 07-06 13:20