Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
399
lifetime
Volume
$1.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$18
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 06-09 16:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
78%
Politics
13% 100% +$0
Other
9% 100% +$0
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +15 $3 29¢ $4 +$1 06-03 16:35
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +10 $5 40¢ $4 $-1 05-28 20:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +17 $3 18¢ $3 +$0 06-03 16:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 06-03 16:33
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 +$0 05-29 14:59
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 20:55
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3 $1 29¢ $1 $-0 06-03 16:41
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes -2 $-1 54¢ $-1 +$0 05-29 15:00
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +9 $1 $1 $-0 06-04 04:08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +1 $1 53¢ $1 $-0 05-28 21:01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-1 05-28 20:58