Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
236
Trades
578
lifetime
Volume
$1.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$13
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 09-26 19:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Crypto
68% 48% -$15
Other
16% 62% -$7
Politics
15% 68% +$16
Tech
1% 67% -$1
Sports
0% 0% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +43 $8 18¢ $8 +$0 06-03 16:21
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +12 $6 15¢ $2 -$4 05-28 20:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +30 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 06-18 04:41
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +3 $1 19¢ $1 $0 05-26 16:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3 $1 15¢ $0 $0 06-03 16:41
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +6 $4 8¢ $0 -$4 06-10 18:45
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +9 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-04 04:08
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +7 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-23 20:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 06-22 15:57