Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
462
lifetime
Volume
$1.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$14
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 06-22 15:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
74%
Politics
14% 100% +$0
Other
10% 100% +$0
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +10 $5 34¢ $3 $-2 05-28 20:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +17 $3 12¢ $2 $-1 06-03 16:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +15 $3 $1 $-2 06-03 16:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -3 $-2 36¢ $-1 +$0 06-22 15:57
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $2 30¢ $1 $-1 06-10 18:45
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 20:55
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -2 $-1 48¢ $-1 $-0 06-12 05:28
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes -2 $-1 53¢ $-1 +$0 05-29 15:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -2 $-1 36¢ $-1 +$1 06-18 04:29
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +16 $1 $1 $-0 06-18 04:41
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-03 16:41
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +9 $1 $0 $-1 06-04 04:08