Unwritten-Lieu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$232

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

1,938

Trades

3,909

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-21 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 60% +$360

Other

30% 62% -$111

Sports

2% 42% -$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	05-19 19:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:10 UTC	12	$72	79	59	+20	Down	+$43	04-16 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 00:10 UTC	8	$53	81	77	+5	Up	+$32	04-14 00:15
highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 82 83f	3	$43	25	25	+0	No	-$1	04-01 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:55 UTC	6	$41	139	21	+118	Down	+$8	04-17 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:10 UTC	9	$36	73	23	+50	Down	+$0	04-17 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:05 UTC	7	$33	39	25	+14	Down	+$16	04-16 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 00:10 UTC	4	$31	23	17	+6	Up	+$9	04-18 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:10 UTC	4	$29	41	31	+10	Up	+$11	04-15 01:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:25 UTC	4	$27	26	13	+13	Up	+$11	04-15 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 00:45 UTC	6	$26	107	12	+95	Up	+$3	04-15 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 00:35 UTC	6	$25	34	19	+14	Down	-$8	04-18 00:39
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 1 2026 25c	3	$25	29	0	+29	No	+$4	04-01 00:00
highest temperature in nyc on april 1 2026 74 75f	3	$25	32	0	+32	No	+$7	04-01 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 00:00 UTC	5	$24	78	57	+21	Down	+$29	04-21 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:15 UTC	7	$24	66	33	+33	Down	-$9	04-15 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:10 UTC	4	$24	27	26	+1	Up	-$4	04-14 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:45 UTC	4	$22	29	22	+7	Down	-$6	04-16 00:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:50 UTC	4	$22	28	21	+7	Down	+$1	04-17 00:50
highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 16c	2	$22	28	0	+28	No	+$6	04-02 00:00
highest temperature in atlanta on april 2 2026 84 85f	2	$22	29	0	+29	No	+$7	04-02 00:01
highest temperature in nyc on april 3 2026 60 61f	2	$22	25	0	+25	No	+$3	04-03 00:09
highest temperature in miami on april 3 2026 76 77f	2	$22	23	0	+23	No	+$1	04-03 00:10
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 1 2026 24c	2	$22	24	0	+24	No	+$2	03-31 20:11
ethereum up or down march 31 2026 11am et	5	$22	50	0	+50	Up	-$2	03-31 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:40 UTC	4	$22	19	14	+5	Down	+$12	04-17 00:44
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 11am et	5	$22	111	0	+111	Up	-$6	03-31 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 00:05 UTC	6	$21	29	17	+12	Down	-$13	04-18 00:09
highest temperature in los angeles on april 14 2026 72 73f	4	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-15 01:58
highest temperature in atlanta on april 18 2026 88 89f	4	$21	15	11	+4	No	+$5	04-18 18:50
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 18c	3	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-13 02:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 18:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 22?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xd2c578…
05-21 02:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8dd6b5…
05-21 02:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xdcdb7e…
05-21 01:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 21?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xc45714…
05-21 01:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 21?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x07657e…
05-21 01:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x38f4ca…
05-21 00:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 21?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa3b29c…
05-21 00:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 21?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x4ed198…
05-19 19:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1b25b9…
05-19 19:32:57	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb81d06…
05-18 04:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf8121f…
05-18 04:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfd9527…
05-17 23:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd3ad54…
05-17 22:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xf92346…
05-17 22:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xde16ab…
05-17 22:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xd46756…
05-17 22:07:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 18?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x05cf92…
05-17 22:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x883fec…
05-17 21:37:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 18?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x975139…
05-17 12:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd79a6d…
05-17 12:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb329d1…
05-17 11:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8d5ca3…
05-17 11:00:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 18?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x242258…
05-17 10:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xa56829…
05-17 10:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x95a816…
05-17 10:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2d3fa7…
05-17 10:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4fd86a…
05-17 10:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xce1ee0…
05-17 10:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1fe93b…
05-17 06:53:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 17?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x867aac…
05-17 04:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x2d8525…
05-17 04:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x56d29b…
05-17 03:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 18?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xa85bd7…
05-17 03:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 18?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x5b8f63…
05-17 03:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x9093e0…
05-17 03:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x09cdea…
05-17 02:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xfb2319…
05-17 02:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x0b083d…
05-17 02:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb68626…
05-16 23:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb880c5…
05-16 23:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd10f46…
05-16 22:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x46f2da…
05-16 21:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xffd92d…
05-16 21:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9692d1…
05-16 21:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xd8bcda…
05-16 19:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 17?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x31f931…
05-16 19:28:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 17?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x4c58b0…
05-15 22:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x4c03cb…
05-15 22:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf96067…
05-15 22:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd25825…
05-15 12:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 16?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xfdf350…
05-15 12:00:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 16?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xdfe0f5…
05-15 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x805476…
05-15 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x6e65f8…
05-15 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 16?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x2269f3…
05-14 08:13:26	Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa30dcd…
05-14 02:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4b5657…
05-14 02:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3a4d9a…
05-14 01:01:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 14?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xddee6e…
05-13 19:01:21	Will United Kingdom come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8257a2…
05-13 18:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf575b6…
05-13 09:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 14?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x2eb785…
05-13 08:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6ffb1b…
05-13 04:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa87eac…
05-13 04:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3d48fd…
05-13 04:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x9b7baf…
05-13 03:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3cf83f…
05-13 03:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x3eedf7…
05-13 01:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0xe24af7…
05-13 01:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x54cebc…
05-13 01:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xbe9279…
05-13 01:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 13?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x54d5f8…
05-13 00:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5e9305…
05-12 20:40:18	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdcb988…
05-12 13:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x42c28b…
05-12 06:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x42a59e…
05-12 06:53:53	Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x88a614…
05-12 06:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x902289…
05-12 06:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 12?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xca37c6…
05-12 06:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 12?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9f7f1f…
05-12 06:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x7d07d8…
05-12 06:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 12?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x86903c…
05-12 02:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x17f67e…
05-12 02:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x7c6cf8…
05-12 01:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xf34847…
05-12 01:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 12?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x876aa5…
05-12 00:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x7e653a…
05-12 00:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb44cba…
05-12 00:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x7de169…
05-11 21:06:48	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x634436…
05-11 18:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x709d55…
05-11 18:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8b1be6…
05-11 17:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 12?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xef56f6…
05-11 17:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 12?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x818083…
05-11 17:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x975795…
05-11 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 11?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe14048…
05-11 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 11?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x10c583…
05-10 21:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x349d41…
05-10 21:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x15ac27…
05-10 20:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x9726e1…