Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$460
$1,433 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$3,889
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 00:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $98 | $98 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 33 | $10 | $73 | $63 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $1 | $119 | $118 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $22 | $22 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $10 | $8 |
| Below median | 10 | $4 | $14 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $1 | $16 | $15 |
| unranked | 4 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yellow-Dirndl 0x8b42…405a | Yes | +1,079 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-11 23:03 |
| Remorseful-Mention 0x28f5…dbe4 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 23:04 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +91 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 05-10 09:23 |
| False-Airman 0xd651…bff1 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-11 19:04 |
| Fortunate-Blight 0xbe2e…3881 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 22:42 |
| Tiny-Smuggling 0x6a80…386f | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:20 |
| Aged-Servitude 0xc3fd…069b | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:50 |
| Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:27 |
| Dizzy-Alpenhorn 0xa2a9…cd69 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 22:31 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-11 21:53 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 17:49 |
| Zigzag-Whorl 0x8c99…3ef0 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-11 20:27 |
| Unselfish-Cheddar 0xfc72…ad49 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 20:43 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 21:07 |
| Frivolous-Harvester 0xc221…1ed3 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 07:58 |
| Steep-Petitioner 0xb5f8…8e32 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 22:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 12:20 |
| Curvy-Composition 0xfa13…c204 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 15:27 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:24 |
| Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 00:48:40 | (anonymous) 0xa7a1…a85e | No | SELL | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xe0c12c… |
| 05-12 00:08:28 | (anonymous) 0x6f82…04a1 | No | SELL | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0xd53b08… |
| 05-11 23:58:47 | Ringed-Making 0x517b…50b7 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3944aa… |
| 05-11 23:06:35 | Closed-Draft 0xb89b…1a22 | No | SELL | 112 | 100¢ | $112 | 0xe57b26… |
| 05-11 23:04:03 | Remorseful-Mention 0x28f5…dbe4 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0ad355… |
| 05-11 23:03:17 | Wild-Proprietor 0xe0fe…e62a | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x837034… |
| 05-11 23:03:12 | Yellow-Dirndl 0x8b42…405a | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x16db50… |
| 05-11 22:59:00 | Yellow-Dirndl 0x8b42…405a | Yes | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0ef2b5… |
| 05-11 22:57:13 | Steep-Petitioner 0xb5f8…8e32 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6c6891… |
| 05-11 22:31:14 | Dizzy-Alpenhorn 0xa2a9…cd69 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x59509d… |
| 05-11 22:14:14 | Yellow-Dirndl 0x8b42…405a | Yes | BUY | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x7aae4a… |
| 05-11 21:53:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x99ed0c… |
| 05-11 21:53:10 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0xa139a3… |
| 05-11 21:07:16 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x394c6c… |
| 05-11 20:43:47 | Unselfish-Cheddar 0xfc72…ad49 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x1c132a… |
| 05-11 20:28:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9c53c2… |
| 05-11 20:27:55 | Zigzag-Whorl 0x8c99…3ef0 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x11fdca… |
| 05-11 19:04:32 | False-Airman 0xd651…bff1 | No | BUY | 23 | 95¢ | $22 | 0xa47286… |
| 05-11 17:49:15 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x69d782… |
| 05-11 15:50:29 | Aged-Servitude 0xc3fd…069b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbc07bb… |
| 05-11 15:27:56 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc40a93… |
| 05-11 15:27:56 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x536678… |
| 05-11 15:27:49 | Curvy-Composition 0xfa13…c204 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x77a6a3… |
| 05-11 15:27:47 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x784791… |
| 05-11 15:27:46 | Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x830af3… |
| 05-11 14:28:07 | Unrealistic-Headphones 0xfecc…77da | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x0d482c… |
| 05-11 14:27:41 | Unrealistic-Headphones 0xfecc…77da | No | SELL | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0xdd346b… |
| 05-11 13:27:32 | Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa68eb7… |
| 05-11 13:23:03 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7bde0a… |
| 05-11 04:04:00 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b0efa… |
| 05-11 04:04:00 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x49560d… |
| 05-11 04:04:00 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf0b337… |
| 05-11 04:04:00 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x516ed0… |
| 05-11 04:04:00 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x255e20… |
| 05-11 00:04:10 | (anonymous) 0x3e14…9187 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0fe8c2… |
| 05-11 00:04:10 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfe548d… |
| 05-10 22:42:20 | Fortunate-Blight 0xbe2e…3881 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x184764… |
| 05-10 12:20:59 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x2c87da… |
| 05-10 12:20:51 | Tiny-Smuggling 0x6a80…386f | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x133954… |
| 05-10 12:01:25 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd4eccd… |
| 05-10 11:03:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe02dde… |
| 05-10 09:24:14 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x85299d… |
| 05-10 09:24:07 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb8268b… |
| 05-10 09:23:31 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 91 | 94¢ | $85 | 0xcd5215… |
| 05-10 08:29:28 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x48f42a… |
| 05-10 07:58:28 | Frivolous-Harvester 0xc221…1ed3 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xc046fc… |