Understated-Baseball — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.44K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

3,383

Trades

9,335

lifetime

Volume

$200.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-01 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% -$2,177

Other

0% 6% -$266

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 23:15 UTC	77	$2.3K	4,573	0	+4,573	Up	-$115	02-01 23:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 22:30 UTC	4	$1.6K	2,020	0	+2,020	Up	-$75	01-25 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 02:00 UTC	48	$1.1K	1,515	0	+1,515	Up	-$73	01-27 02:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 19:30 UTC	2	$995	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$15	01-26 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 17:15 UTC	2	$890	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	-$385	01-26 17:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	2	$861	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	-$356	01-28 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 02:45 UTC	2	$787	505	495	+10	Up	-$183	01-30 02:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$717	1,308	0	+1,308	No	-$717	06-01 15:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 14:45 UTC	2	$696	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	-$191	01-26 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:30 UTC	2	$652	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	-$147	01-28 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 23:00 UTC	2	$621	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	-$116	01-25 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 18:00 UTC	2	$598	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	-$93	01-27 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 23:30 UTC	2	$594	606	0	+606	Up	+$12	01-26 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 04:45 UTC	2	$587	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	-$82	01-27 04:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 00:00 UTC	2	$582	606	0	+606	Down	+$24	01-27 00:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:00 UTC	19	$544	613	0	+613	Down	+$19	02-01 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 15:30 UTC	14	$533	579	0	+579	Up	+$12	02-01 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 04:00 UTC	2	$519	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	-$14	01-27 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 02:00 UTC	9	$515	354	231	+122	Up	-$49	01-29 02:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	01-28 03:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 02:30 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	01-27 02:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 15:15 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	01-27 15:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	9	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	01-28 01:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	01-28 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 04:30 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	01-27 04:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 17:00 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	01-27 17:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 14:00 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	01-27 14:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 01:30 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	01-27 01:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 16:15 UTC	11	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	01-26 16:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 23:30 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	01-25 23:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 15:57:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	908	55¢	$500	0x3ca34e…
06-01 15:55:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	54¢	$217	0x6ac9e4…
05-15 00:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xc5efef…
05-15 00:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x88e06b…
05-15 00:31:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x539f57…
05-15 00:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x3a8b88…
05-15 00:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x971426…
05-15 00:21:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x6bd0fc…
05-15 00:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0xf4d5dd…
05-15 00:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$5	0x98a2de…
05-15 00:20:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 17?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x006761…
05-15 00:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0xa45671…
05-15 00:11:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	117	3¢	$4	0x77748d…
05-15 00:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xffb1a7…
05-15 00:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	283	2¢	$5	0xd1a4b8…
05-15 00:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3974af…
05-15 00:10:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x21d392…
05-15 00:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	308	2¢	$5	0x052039…
05-15 00:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0xd165b1…
05-15 00:00:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xf3bd0c…
05-15 00:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	158	3¢	$5	0xe33ea7…
05-15 00:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x40d69e…
05-14 00:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x141026…
05-14 00:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9241f8…
05-14 00:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x0e71af…
05-14 00:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	196	3¢	$5	0xde362f…
05-14 00:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	241	2¢	$5	0xbb1957…
05-14 00:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8aeffd…
05-14 00:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xe68dc6…
05-14 00:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x76fcaf…
05-14 00:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xa55249…
05-14 00:20:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xf5d43b…
05-14 00:11:17	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	77	7¢	$5	0xd08d2e…
05-14 00:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x3b6752…
05-14 00:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	142	4¢	$5	0x00cbc1…
05-14 00:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	333	2¢	$5	0x16793f…
05-14 00:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	124	4¢	$5	0x1e6aef…
05-14 00:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on May 15?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x395cb3…
05-14 00:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on May 15?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x62962b…
05-14 00:01:32	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x639803…
05-14 00:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 15?	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x43a86f…
05-14 00:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on May 15?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5debc4…
05-13 00:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x21aad3…
05-13 00:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0xe4eca2…
05-13 00:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x623c41…
05-13 00:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	91	6¢	$5	0x91ba7d…
05-13 00:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	337	1¢	$5	0xdb9044…
05-13 00:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xa6347f…
05-13 00:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	274	2¢	$5	0x3c6c9c…
05-13 00:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x1e682d…
05-13 00:21:37	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	211	2¢	$5	0xeb80aa…
05-13 00:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	170	3¢	$5	0x858dc9…
05-13 00:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	347	1¢	$5	0x774b41…
05-13 00:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	580	1¢	$5	0x64fff3…
05-13 00:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	220	2¢	$5	0xf3d6a8…
05-13 00:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x94433e…
05-13 00:10:37	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x46d636…
05-13 00:01:57	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0x9ee186…
05-13 00:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0xcd7b9d…
05-13 00:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 14?	Yes	BUY	493	1¢	$5	0xfeef39…
05-13 00:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 14?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0x979aae…
05-13 00:01:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x659d80…
05-12 14:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	69	79¢	$55	0x93cf97…
05-12 14:16:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$74	0x80106d…
05-12 12:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on May 13?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0d25cf…
05-12 00:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x77ee02…
05-12 00:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xc62b45…
05-12 00:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xea0a00…
05-12 00:40:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	195	3¢	$5	0x3bcfe2…
05-12 00:40:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x7efe68…
05-12 00:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x15a82e…
05-12 00:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x9a9638…
05-12 00:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	303	2¢	$5	0x848f2a…
05-12 00:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x52a61f…
05-12 00:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xb31b5e…
05-12 00:20:49	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x8bb888…
05-12 00:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C or below on May 13?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0xc9f6e7…
05-12 00:20:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0xab3644…
05-12 00:11:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0x39fe10…
05-12 00:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0x36e23e…
05-12 00:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on May 13?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0xe61e6d…
05-12 00:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	149	3¢	$5	0x8a390d…
05-12 00:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xa5c60e…
05-12 00:01:23	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on May 14?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xbca38a…
05-12 00:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x521739…
05-12 00:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xaeaa1a…
05-11 19:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x89a5f2…
05-11 18:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on May 12?	Yes	BUY	501	1¢	$5	0xa67c4d…
05-11 18:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x786389…
05-11 18:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xdf2f8e…
05-11 18:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x186c1a…
05-11 18:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or below on May 13?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0xbba792…
05-11 17:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xed1259…
05-11 17:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xb8e7bd…
05-11 17:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	283	2¢	$5	0x398a7a…
05-11 17:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	603	1¢	$5	0x207594…
05-11 17:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 13?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x187100…
05-11 17:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x8de73a…
05-11 17:40:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x847b83…
05-11 17:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5b4cc3…