Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$614
$289 in 24h
Trades
78
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$1,261
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 17:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $4 | $31 | $27 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $53 | $386 | $332 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $7 | $14 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $3 | $50 | $47 |
| Median | 8 | $9 | $36 | $27 |
| Below median | 14 | $18 | $240 | $222 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $3 | $33 | $30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $17 | $32 | $15 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Right-Buffer-Strobe 0xd995…e6e1 | Yes | +1,020 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 17:07 |
| Little-Pen 0xdc09…467f | No | +195 | $168 | $168 | 5 | 05-15 17:02 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +78 | $69 | $69 | 9 | 05-14 03:51 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | +57 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 05-15 12:09 |
| Weak-Seep 0xac24…576e | Yes | +36 | $9 | $24 | 3 | 05-15 15:31 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | +27 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-15 03:05 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +22 | $3 | $11 | 4 | 05-15 14:36 |
| Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 05:53 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-14 12:44 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 19:43 |
| Imaginative-Income-Emerald 0x393e…b2f0 | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-15 02:30 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-15 12:30 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 14:36 |
| Weak-News 0x2f98…e397 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 13:07 |
| Emotional-Heating 0x77e6…0ae1 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 16:22 |
| Hurtful-Chub 0xf58a…2a4f | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 15:01 |
| Tired-Fishnet 0x9ede…43db | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 22:56 |
| Early-Winter 0x050e…9ac6 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 16:51 |
| Cuddly-Rowboat 0x7327…64f4 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Weepy-Creche 0x8fbf…0771 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:13 |
| Definite-Mobster 0x4718…8ebd | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd5e…843d | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ec…26ee | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:29 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 07:29 |
| Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 12:44 |
| Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:18 |
| Misty-Hydrocarb 0xc67e…8929 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:15 |
| United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 01:10 |
| United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 09:00 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | +2 | $2 | $6 | 6 | 05-14 03:46 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 15:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xd39e…88e2 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d52…cd32 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:44 |
| Worn-Massage 0x188a…c11b | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 20:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 17:09:51 | Weak-Seep 0xac24…576e | No | SELL | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x48a590… |
| 05-15 17:07:28 | Right-Buffer-Strobe 0xd995…e6e1 | Yes | BUY | 1,020 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6f5d71… |
| 05-15 17:02:25 | Little-Pen 0xdc09…467f | No | BUY | 40 | 88¢ | $36 | 0xf8ef22… |
| 05-15 17:02:16 | Little-Pen 0xdc09…467f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x122918… |
| 05-15 17:01:50 | Little-Pen 0xdc09…467f | No | BUY | 116 | 87¢ | $100 | 0x3ccd28… |
| 05-15 16:56:40 | Little-Pen 0xdc09…467f | No | BUY | 11 | 83¢ | $9 | 0xc794e5… |
| 05-15 16:54:48 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 11 | 80¢ | $9 | 0xddc616… |
| 05-15 16:54:43 | Little-Pen 0xdc09…467f | No | BUY | 18 | 80¢ | $14 | 0x7e470d… |
| 05-15 16:51:34 | Loose-Fiction 0x2974…e9d8 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 20¢ | $19 | 0x786cf6… |
| 05-15 16:51:27 | Early-Winter 0x050e…9ac6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xa31f8a… |
| 05-15 16:22:10 | Emotional-Heating 0x77e6…0ae1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xd4210b… |
| 05-15 16:21:54 | Weak-Seep 0xac24…576e | No | BUY | 25 | 79¢ | $20 | 0xe62870… |
| 05-15 16:21:30 | Weak-Seep 0xac24…576e | No | BUY | 13 | 80¢ | $11 | 0x9545b9… |
| 05-15 16:01:24 | Little-Pen 0xdc09…467f | Yes | SELL | 29 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x16c3d1… |
| 05-15 15:31:18 | Weak-Seep 0xac24…576e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x002a9d… |
| 05-15 15:04:49 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0x53d1a5… |
| 05-15 15:01:10 | Hurtful-Chub 0xf58a…2a4f | No | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $6 | 0xcae46d… |
| 05-15 14:36:52 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x4fec74… |
| 05-15 14:36:14 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | SELL | 11 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x1c6699… |
| 05-15 13:48:19 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 9 | 76¢ | $7 | 0x7b5f58… |
| 05-15 13:32:25 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 11 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xe783e0… |
| 05-15 13:16:45 | Hurtful-Chub 0xf58a…2a4f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x9e59f7… |
| 05-15 13:12:33 | Hurtful-Chub 0xf58a…2a4f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x4531de… |
| 05-15 13:07:29 | Weak-News 0x2f98…e397 | No | BUY | 11 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x633f71… |
| 05-15 13:04:23 | Weak-Seep 0xac24…576e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x8c36b0… |
| 05-15 12:41:24 | Little-Pen 0xdc09…467f | Yes | BUY | 29 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x7d0203… |
| 05-15 12:30:49 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 14 | 80¢ | $11 | 0xf0633d… |
| 05-15 12:30:44 | Weak-Seep 0xac24…576e | Yes | BUY | 58 | 24¢ | $14 | 0x612b9c… |
| 05-15 12:09:30 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | BUY | 31 | 81¢ | $25 | 0xdd499e… |
| 05-15 11:51:18 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | BUY | 26 | 80¢ | $21 | 0x6f634b… |
| 05-15 11:47:14 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x9497a7… |
| 05-15 11:46:18 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xc52492… |
| 05-15 11:45:56 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x5f17b9… |
| 05-15 11:31:57 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0xb2d422… |
| 05-15 11:30:21 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xb24bc3… |
| 05-15 11:15:15 | Misty-Hydrocarb 0xc67e…8929 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x04049e… |
| 05-15 09:00:35 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xe69b14… |
| 05-15 08:04:24 | (anonymous) 0xbd5e…843d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x3e1243… |
| 05-15 06:09:21 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0x2cab6b… |
| 05-15 06:09:19 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x4cc50b… |
| 05-15 06:09:17 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x7001bc… |
| 05-15 03:10:38 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xb6a8be… |
| 05-15 03:05:15 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | BUY | 27 | 81¢ | $22 | 0xd13c1f… |
| 05-15 02:30:30 | Imaginative-Income-Emerald 0x393e…b2f0 | No | BUY | 15 | 76¢ | $12 | 0x8d5ff9… |
| 05-15 01:10:23 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xc4e999… |
| 05-15 00:42:41 | Cuddly-Rowboat 0x7327…64f4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x57cd43… |
| 05-14 23:55:10 | (anonymous) 0xd39e…88e2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x494bb4… |
| 05-14 22:56:59 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x99d0ff… |
| 05-14 22:56:52 | Tired-Fishnet 0x9ede…43db | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x11ea65… |
| 05-14 20:22:45 | Worn-Massage 0x188a…c11b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xfffa81… |
| 05-14 17:18:47 | Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x84a656… |
| 05-14 15:14:32 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x30e5c2… |
| 05-14 14:29:32 | (anonymous) 0xa5ec…26ee | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xf4bb73… |
| 05-14 12:44:27 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xf6936c… |
| 05-14 12:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x0d52…cd32 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x17f6ff… |
| 05-14 12:44:18 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x4f019a… |
| 05-14 12:17:42 | Spiteful-Outrage 0xbceb…bf4b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x2141b7… |
| 05-14 04:36:21 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x15b69e… |
| 05-14 03:51:15 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x6f329d… |
| 05-14 03:46:21 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xc46c20… |
| 05-14 03:46:16 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x9ab75a… |
| 05-14 03:41:15 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x8ff7b3… |
| 05-14 03:36:23 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x8a60fa… |
| 05-14 03:36:16 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x2a484f… |
| 05-14 03:31:23 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x6a236b… |
| 05-14 03:31:16 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x4c0456… |
| 05-14 03:26:21 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xc0b856… |
| 05-14 03:26:15 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xa24c84… |
| 05-14 03:21:14 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x43595a… |
| 05-14 03:16:22 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x4b2f6a… |
| 05-14 03:16:15 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xe141c4… |
| 05-14 03:13:36 | Weepy-Creche 0x8fbf…0771 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x6baa79… |
| 05-14 03:06:15 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x2606b5… |
| 05-14 03:01:23 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xf4b319… |
| 05-14 00:19:00 | Definite-Mobster 0x4718…8ebd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x2b1d4d… |
| 05-13 19:43:02 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xfa7067… |
| 05-13 07:29:42 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xf8f69b… |
| 05-13 05:53:53 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | BUY | 21 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x644a64… |