Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$41,356
Trades
4,805
Unique wallets
919
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
50¢
Latest NO mid
50¢
End date
2026-10-14
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-14 21:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.3¢
(top1%: 36% YES on $21.3K
vs crowd: 36% YES on $36.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 166 | $8.4K | $15.4K | $7.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 229 | $2.6K | $4.1K | $1.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 295 | $1.3K | $3.1K | $1.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 229 | $869 | $976 | $107 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 160 | $7.7K | $13.6K | $6.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 118 | $721 | $2.5K | $1.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 55 | $92 | $381 | $289 |
| Median | 77 | $114 | $350 | $236 |
| Below median | 206 | $297 | $953 | $656 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 105 | $1.3K | $1.5K | $242 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 133 | $1.7K | $2.1K | $368 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 65 | $1.3K | $2.3K | $1.0K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +1,760 | $854 | $854 | 86 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xc169…ebb3 | Up | +1,562 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c23…1092 | Up | +1,376 | $81 | $219 | 4 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +1,340 | $1,071 | $1,071 | 23 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +1,180 | $576 | $576 | 54 | 10-14 21:08 |
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | +1,008 | $998 | $998 | 1 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +969 | $389 | $389 | 63 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +919 | $566 | $566 | 64 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e35…8e5f | Up | +911 | $480 | $480 | 8 | 10-14 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +858 | $115 | $115 | 22 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x15d5…1c0f | Up | +833 | $34 | $34 | 6 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +774 | $256 | $256 | 14 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +773 | $330 | $330 | 29 | 10-14 21:08 |
| Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | +769 | $762 | $762 | 13 | 10-14 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +753 | $443 | $443 | 46 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +747 | $423 | $423 | 42 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Down | +724 | $650 | $650 | 3 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +716 | $328 | $328 | 26 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +693 | $273 | $273 | 63 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +678 | $372 | $372 | 53 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +654 | $221 | $221 | 45 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +642 | $350 | $350 | 36 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +637 | $368 | $368 | 27 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +617 | $411 | $411 | 10 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +604 | $213 | $213 | 34 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +588 | $302 | $302 | 37 | 10-14 21:07 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +565 | $309 | $309 | 36 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | +500 | $405 | $405 | 6 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7104…ed07 | Up | +500 | $50 | $50 | 22 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Down | +459 | $267 | $267 | 7 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xca57…f8d1 | Up | +457 | $224 | $224 | 3 | 10-14 21:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +446 | $279 | $279 | 27 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +418 | $134 | $134 | 19 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | +416 | $73 | $73 | 27 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +416 | $200 | $239 | 30 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Up | +407 | $252 | $252 | 19 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | +400 | $396 | $396 | 7 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Down | +400 | $188 | $188 | 5 | 10-14 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Down | +382 | $223 | $223 | 21 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +379 | $257 | $257 | 21 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +375 | $178 | $178 | 11 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +374 | $203 | $203 | 18 | 10-14 21:08 |
| Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964 | Down | +372 | $128 | $128 | 13 | 10-14 21:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +351 | $174 | $174 | 19 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +340 | $164 | $164 | 33 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +339 | $138 | $138 | 29 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +338 | $314 | $314 | 1 | 10-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bf5…e9d3 | Down | +333 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-14 21:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bf5…e9d3 | Up | +323 | $120 | $120 | 3 | 10-14 21:07 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Up | +320 | $3 | $3 | 20 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +320 | $112 | $112 | 34 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +319 | $259 | $259 | 12 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +312 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x24ce…da46 | Down | +307 | $194 | $194 | 4 | 10-14 21:08 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +307 | $132 | $132 | 20 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +306 | $182 | $182 | 26 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +304 | $232 | $232 | 18 | 10-14 21:09 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +292 | $188 | $188 | 30 | 10-14 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +277 | $128 | $128 | 15 | 10-14 21:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 21:10:57 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2754c5… |
| 10-14 21:10:57 | (anonymous) 0x8483…96c5 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2754c5… |
| 10-14 21:10:49 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xb16cf5… |
| 10-14 21:10:49 | (anonymous) 0xa01d…6a12 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xb16cf5… |
| 10-14 21:10:39 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 250 | 99¢ | $248 | 0x6d031f… |
| 10-14 21:10:39 | (anonymous) 0x802f…acc6 | Down | SELL | 250 | 99¢ | $248 | 0x6d031f… |
| 10-14 21:10:16 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 149 | 99¢ | $148 | 0x4d848b… |
| 10-14 21:10:16 | (anonymous) 0xb91d…f37f | Down | SELL | 149 | 99¢ | $148 | 0x4d848b… |
| 10-14 21:10:09 | (anonymous) 0x7599…9fc5 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x34cb28… |
| 10-14 21:10:09 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x34cb28… |
| 10-14 21:10:04 | Sweaty-Interferometer 0xb9a5…0565 | Down | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x6932e4… |
| 10-14 21:10:04 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x6932e4… |
| 10-14 21:09:51 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x85a5db… |
| 10-14 21:09:51 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x85a5db… |
| 10-14 21:09:48 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x41a9b9… |
| 10-14 21:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xfc18…76c2 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x41a9b9… |
| 10-14 21:09:43 | Fruitful-Flight 0xed01…b01e | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x337551… |
| 10-14 21:09:43 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x337551… |
| 10-14 21:09:34 | (anonymous) 0xc46a…920a | Down | SELL | 67 | 99¢ | $66 | 0x87f349… |
| 10-14 21:09:34 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 67 | 99¢ | $66 | 0x87f349… |
| 10-14 21:09:33 | (anonymous) 0x59a6…4f4f | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6247a3… |
| 10-14 21:09:33 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6247a3… |
| 10-14 21:09:28 | (anonymous) 0x15d5…1c0f | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x117bfa… |
| 10-14 21:09:28 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x117bfa… |
| 10-14 21:09:27 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $56 | 0x308f8a… |
| 10-14 21:09:27 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Down | BUY | 44 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x308f8a… |
| 10-14 21:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x26d6…176b | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x308f8a… |
| 10-14 21:09:27 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x9821e6… |
| 10-14 21:09:27 | (anonymous) 0xe0cc…27b3 | Down | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $31 | 0x9821e6… |
| 10-14 21:09:27 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Down | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x9821e6… |
| 10-14 21:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x15d5…1c0f | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe44f9f… |
| 10-14 21:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xdcb8f9… |
| 10-14 21:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe44f9f… |
| 10-14 21:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x63cc…b5db | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xdcb8f9… |
| 10-14 21:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 72 | 99¢ | $71 | 0xe44f9f… |
| 10-14 21:09:25 | (anonymous) 0xe0cc…27b3 | Down | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xe44f9f… |
| 10-14 21:09:22 | (anonymous) 0x15d5…1c0f | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3582e4… |
| 10-14 21:09:22 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x3582e4… |
| 10-14 21:09:21 | (anonymous) 0x15d5…1c0f | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2e8583… |
| 10-14 21:09:21 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x2e8583… |
| 10-14 21:09:18 | (anonymous) 0x6e67…9b9c | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x65decf… |
| 10-14 21:09:18 | (anonymous) 0x3315…2282 | Down | SELL | 95 | 99¢ | $94 | 0x88f3d4… |
| 10-14 21:09:18 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x65decf… |
| 10-14 21:09:18 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 95 | 99¢ | $94 | 0x88f3d4… |
| 10-14 21:09:16 | Hefty-Seeker 0x3b6f…0e1d | Down | SELL | 93 | 99¢ | $92 | 0x93b5f4… |
| 10-14 21:09:16 | (anonymous) 0x7490…5994 | Down | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x313ba5… |
| 10-14 21:09:16 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x76b77b… |
| 10-14 21:09:16 | (anonymous) 0x7490…5994 | Down | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x93b5f4… |
| 10-14 21:09:16 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x93b5f4… |
| 10-14 21:09:16 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x313ba5… |
| 10-14 21:09:16 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x93b5f4… |
| 10-14 21:09:16 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 177 | 99¢ | $175 | 0x3279bf… |
| 10-14 21:09:16 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 55 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x313ba5… |
| 10-14 21:09:16 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | BUY | 177 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3279bf… |
| 10-14 21:09:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b5b…7bc5 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x76b77b… |
| 10-14 21:09:15 | (anonymous) 0x01c9…4386 | Down | SELL | 278 | 99¢ | $275 | 0xb3ab8c… |
| 10-14 21:09:15 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 210 | 99¢ | $207 | 0x433dac… |
| 10-14 21:09:15 | Adorable-Count 0x208a…ab0f | Down | SELL | 210 | 99¢ | $207 | 0x433dac… |
| 10-14 21:09:15 | (anonymous) 0x1a0a…f528 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x844a93… |
| 10-14 21:09:15 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x844a93… |
| 10-14 21:09:15 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 278 | 99¢ | $275 | 0xb3ab8c… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 230 | 99¢ | $228 | 0x4e65b0… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | BUY | 513 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xe986cb… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd12628… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6d31e2… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x4a03…a9b9 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x78ceaf… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3fa000… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e65b0… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e65b0… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x817fbf… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3fa000… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | BUY | 158 | 99¢ | $156 | 0x322a5d… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2117fa… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4e65b0… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x591c…2527 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x667647… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x348e…a827 | Down | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xbaff1f… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x960f…c1aa | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x817fbf… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xced6…e461 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2117fa… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3b6a4b… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 39 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e65b0… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xe405…f57e | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3b6a4b… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x78ceaf… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | BUY | 109 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x322a5d… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x667647… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Fruitful-Flight 0xed01…b01e | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x604f72… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcbc84b… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xbaff1f… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xcb7b…5aa5 | Up | SELL | 513 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xe986cb… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x604f72… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xa475…c421 | Down | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $51 | 0x4e65b0… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Gleeful-Dumbwaiter 0x8a01…01ce | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcbc84b… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6e764a… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Zigzag-Development 0x1286…0db0 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd12628… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Up | BUY | 49 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x322a5d… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xa7dc…250f | Down | SELL | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xdd2bf4… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xe6ba…b8ce | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6e764a… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xefea…99a2 | Down | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xdd2bf4… |
| 10-14 21:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x1ed7…364c | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6d31e2… |
| 10-14 21:09:10 | (anonymous) 0xf8cd…b307 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc0de47… |
| 10-14 21:09:10 | (anonymous) 0xa7dc…250f | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf5c709… |