Will Trump say "California" during his Midterm Rally in Alas | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$178

Trades

15

Unique wallets

11

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-10-13

First seen

2026-10-13

last 10-14 01:29

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Thorough-Neighbourhood +100 (anon) +30 (anon) +20 Limited-Loading +12 Helpful-Examination +6 (anon) +3

NO holders

Unpleasant-Distinction +123 Shady-Hardcover +30 Parallel-Transparency +12 (anon) +6

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +21.9¢ (top1%: 86% YES on $79 vs crowd: 64% YES on $175)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐬 Dolphin	5	$68	$51	+$17
🐟 Fish	3	$24	$11	+$12
🦐 Shrimp	3	$21	—	+$21

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	3	$68	$11	+$57
🏆 Top 5%	2	$5	$38	$33
✅ Top 10%	1	$20	—	+$20
Median	1	$2	—	+$2
Below median	1	$14	—	+$14
🔻 Bottom 5%	2	$4	$11	$8
💀 Bottom 1%	1	—	$2	$2

SMI history (last 30d)

daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd

Wallet leaderboard (10) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Unpleasant-Distinction 0xf9ef…20eb	No	+123	$38	$38	3	10-13 07:49
Thorough-Neighbourhood 0xa7fe…1f3e	Yes	+100	$68	$68	1	10-13 07:49
(anonymous) 0xccae…0ea3	Yes	+30	$20	$20	2	10-14 00:23
Shady-Hardcover 0x04f6…311a	No	+30	$11	$11	1	10-14 00:23
(anonymous) 0x7fd8…057c	Yes	+20	$14	$14	1	10-13 03:25
Limited-Loading 0xa400…14bb	Yes	+12	$5	$5	2	10-14 01:29
Parallel-Transparency 0x5415…2a6e	No	+12	$7	$7	1	10-14 01:29
Helpful-Examination 0x308f…8607	Yes	+6	$4	$4	1	10-13 07:49
(anonymous) 0x8673…59a5	No	+6	$2	$2	1	10-13 07:49
(anonymous) 0x877e…85a6	Yes	+3	$2	$2	1	10-13 04:15