Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 5?
open
Total volume
$340
$599 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$270
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $90
vs crowd: 5% YES on $302)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $90 | $90 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $15 | $196 | $181 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $90 | $90 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 13 | — | $137 | $137 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| unranked | 11 | $15 | $52 | $37 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +99 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-05 19:45 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +95 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-05 18:23 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +55 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-05 13:42 |
| Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | Yes | +31 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 18:23 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-05 19:37 |
| Skeletal-Gene 0x6ab0…8807 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 19:21 |
| Grubby-Pagan 0x17e0…64e7 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-04 22:04 |
| Moral-Behest 0x975c…068c | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 18:23 |
| Knowing-Exhaust 0x8739…8d70 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 16:39 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 19:44 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c2a…ba61 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 07:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 19:45:02 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0x36d968… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc02acd… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x513e9b… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe62c84… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa1db92… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x879cec… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14a2b7… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5f5208… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcf0186… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x950ed7… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7ea5af… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc128e8… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe677ee… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8e39af… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcb06d9… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3a5c0b… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe2de29… |
| 05-05 19:42:50 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0917f3… |
| 05-05 19:42:50 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xafab6d… |
| 05-05 19:42:50 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfef437… |
| 05-05 19:37:22 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x782ef9… |
| 05-05 19:28:14 | Shocking-Thread 0x1eea…00c5 | No | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x7b1245… |
| 05-05 19:21:16 | Skeletal-Gene 0x6ab0…8807 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9cf8a1… |
| 05-05 18:28:14 | Near-Negligee-Downstairs 0x61b7…4ba6 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4c669a… |
| 05-05 18:23:16 | Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | Yes | BUY | 31 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf64afb… |
| 05-05 18:23:16 | Moral-Behest 0x975c…068c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc34a17… |
| 05-05 18:23:16 | Able-Squeegee 0x2580…393b | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x8d89c7… |
| 05-05 18:23:14 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 95 | 95¢ | $90 | 0x463bc8… |
| 05-05 16:39:24 | Knowing-Exhaust 0x8739…8d70 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xbca3e6… |
| 05-05 15:12:26 | Even-Flexibility 0x802d…e5ba | Yes | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9b032a… |
| 05-05 13:42:00 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0xe34637… |
| 05-05 08:25:16 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x4cafd1… |
| 05-05 07:30:12 | (anonymous) 0x8c2a…ba61 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xec80b0… |
| 05-05 06:40:04 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x567752… |
| 05-04 22:04:28 | Grubby-Pagan 0x17e0…64e7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x8a2242… |