Will Marcos Senesi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
open
Total volume
$2,243
Trades
45
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$1
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-02
First seen
2026-05-15
last 06-02 13:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.8¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $554
vs crowd: 27% YES on $2.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $2 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $117 | $282 | $164 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $466 | — | +$466 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $15 | $24 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $108 | $446 | $338 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $9 | $915 | $906 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $24 | $23 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $465 | $0 | +$464 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2 | $216 | $214 |
| unranked | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | +909 | $908 | $908 | 1 | 06-02 13:26 |
| Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | +754 | $-2 | $3 | 4 | 06-02 13:26 |
| Grounded-Halibut 0x8b9e…6838 | Yes | +678 | $360 | $360 | 5 | 05-18 10:55 |
| Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | No | +582 | $274 | $274 | 5 | 05-18 10:55 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +231 | $108 | $108 | 2 | 05-20 08:11 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | +214 | $108 | $108 | 4 | 05-28 21:57 |
| Eminent-Beet 0x82b9…c6ce | Yes | +200 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 05-15 08:24 |
| Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | Yes | +200 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 05-20 08:10 |
| Pointed-Hippodrome 0x0c3d…f757 | No | +176 | $172 | $172 | 1 | 05-28 21:56 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 21:56 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-01 12:10 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 21:56 |
| Truthful-Pizza 0x7191…c3a7 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-28 22:11 |
| Well-Off-Violence 0x5324…d4f9 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-19 00:51 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +15 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-20 08:10 |
| Detailed-Wildebeest-Treaty 0x6a73…df96 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 12:10 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 13:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2cd…b0f4 | Yes | +6 | $-0 | $1 | 2 | 05-28 22:11 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 17:34 |
| Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 21:56 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-28 22:11 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +4 | $1 | $14 | 3 | 05-20 08:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 13:26:26 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 768 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x14fe4e… |
| 06-02 13:26:26 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x14fe4e… |
| 06-02 13:26:26 | Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | BUY | 909 | 100¢ | $908 | 0x14fe4e… |
| 06-01 12:10:52 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2b0c41… |
| 06-01 12:10:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x2b0c41… |
| 06-01 12:10:52 | Detailed-Wildebeest-Treaty 0x6a73…df96 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2b0c41… |
| 05-28 22:11:17 | Idealistic-Drum 0x3f90…82aa | No | SELL | 11 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x373273… |
| 05-28 22:11:17 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x373273… |
| 05-28 22:11:17 | (anonymous) 0xa2cd…b0f4 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x373273… |
| 05-28 22:11:15 | Fresh-Economics 0xee03…6edb | No | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x0a14df… |
| 05-28 22:11:15 | Truthful-Pizza 0x7191…c3a7 | No | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x0a14df… |
| 05-28 22:11:15 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a14df… |
| 05-28 21:57:15 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xae36d9… |
| 05-28 21:57:15 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xae36d9… |
| 05-28 21:56:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x961552… |
| 05-28 21:56:21 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x961552… |
| 05-28 21:56:21 | (anonymous) 0xa2cd…b0f4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x961552… |
| 05-28 21:56:21 | Pointed-Hippodrome 0x0c3d…f757 | No | BUY | 176 | 98¢ | $172 | 0x961552… |
| 05-28 21:56:21 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x961552… |
| 05-28 21:56:21 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x961552… |
| 05-28 21:56:21 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 33 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x961552… |
| 05-20 08:11:01 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2366d3… |
| 05-20 08:11:01 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x2366d3… |
| 05-20 08:11:01 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 12 | 62¢ | $8 | 0x2366d3… |
| 05-20 08:10:18 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 58¢ | $9 | 0xf6c7fc… |
| 05-20 08:10:18 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 219 | 46¢ | $100 | 0xf6c7fc… |
| 05-20 08:10:18 | Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 54¢ | $108 | 0xf6c7fc… |
| 05-20 08:10:18 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 4 | 59¢ | $2 | 0xf6c7fc… |
| 05-19 00:51:19 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xbe4332… |
| 05-19 00:51:19 | Well-Off-Violence 0x5324…d4f9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xbe4332… |
| 05-18 10:55:56 | Grounded-Halibut 0x8b9e…6838 | Yes | BUY | 182 | 55¢ | $100 | 0xbb7644… |
| 05-18 10:55:56 | Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | No | BUY | 182 | 45¢ | $82 | 0xbb7644… |
| 05-18 10:55:50 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 76 | 47¢ | $36 | 0xe8b379… |
| 05-18 10:55:50 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 15 | 49¢ | $7 | 0xe8b379… |
| 05-18 10:55:50 | Grounded-Halibut 0x8b9e…6838 | Yes | BUY | 191 | 52¢ | $100 | 0xe8b379… |
| 05-17 17:34:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd6ab6f… |
| 05-17 17:34:48 | Grounded-Halibut 0x8b9e…6838 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 54¢ | $50 | 0xd6ab6f… |
| 05-17 17:34:48 | Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | No | BUY | 87 | 48¢ | $42 | 0xd6ab6f… |
| 05-17 17:34:35 | Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | No | BUY | 19 | 48¢ | $9 | 0x5da33f… |
| 05-17 17:34:35 | Grounded-Halibut 0x8b9e…6838 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x5da33f… |
| 05-17 17:34:23 | Grounded-Halibut 0x8b9e…6838 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 51¢ | $100 | 0xff3835… |
| 05-17 17:34:23 | Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | No | BUY | 94 | 48¢ | $45 | 0xff3835… |
| 05-17 17:34:23 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 100 | 49¢ | $49 | 0xff3835… |
| 05-15 08:24:41 | Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | No | BUY | 200 | 48¢ | $96 | 0xcca5b3… |
| 05-15 08:24:41 | Eminent-Beet 0x82b9…c6ce | Yes | BUY | 200 | 52¢ | $104 | 0xcca5b3… |