XRP Up or Down on May 15?
open
Total volume
$519
$28 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
10
Liquidity
$773
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 17:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $28 | $297 | $269 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $17 | $145 | $128 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $17 | $145 | $128 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $148 | $148 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $148 | $148 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Up | +222 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-15 13:39 |
| Colorful-Pipe 0xb373…2aa2 | Down | +151 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 05-15 13:51 |
| Impassioned-Botany 0x9826…983b | Down | +151 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 05-15 13:51 |
| Wealthy-Blast 0x5b69…a6af | Down | +127 | $127 | $127 | 3 | 05-15 15:29 |
| Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Down | +54 | $16 | $19 | 5 | 05-15 12:34 |
| Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Up | +32 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 05-15 12:06 |
| Reflecting-Arrest 0x878f…08fd | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9338…d1f9 | Up | +1 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 05-15 11:27 |
| Original-Title 0xd4ee…e79e | Down | +1 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 05-15 13:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 17:42:31 | Serene-Interaction 0x95e6…fc1d | Down | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xaecddf… |
| 05-15 15:29:47 | Wealthy-Blast 0x5b69…a6af | Down | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0xe9da67… |
| 05-15 15:26:54 | Wealthy-Blast 0x5b69…a6af | Down | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x504854… |
| 05-15 15:26:13 | Wealthy-Blast 0x5b69…a6af | Down | BUY | 49 | 100¢ | $49 | 0xeddda4… |
| 05-15 13:51:45 | Impassioned-Botany 0x9826…983b | Down | BUY | 151 | 98¢ | $148 | 0x520421… |
| 05-15 13:51:45 | Colorful-Pipe 0xb373…2aa2 | Down | BUY | 151 | 98¢ | $148 | 0x2cee66… |
| 05-15 13:39:49 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Up | BUY | 199 | 4¢ | $8 | 0xc1c6fb… |
| 05-15 13:31:53 | Original-Title 0xd4ee…e79e | Down | SELL | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x06e55c… |
| 05-15 13:16:35 | Original-Title 0xd4ee…e79e | Down | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xbb8fad… |
| 05-15 12:34:31 | Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Down | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xf02b72… |
| 05-15 12:30:49 | Original-Title 0xd4ee…e79e | Down | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xa041ec… |
| 05-15 12:06:10 | Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Up | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xb9444e… |
| 05-15 12:00:41 | Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Up | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x2d5821… |
| 05-15 11:27:16 | (anonymous) 0x9338…d1f9 | Up | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xc7e509… |
| 05-15 11:25:13 | (anonymous) 0x9338…d1f9 | Up | SELL | 3 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xe7f101… |
| 05-15 08:51:20 | Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Down | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x95eb1e… |
| 05-15 06:04:23 | Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Down | SELL | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x352752… |
| 05-15 05:29:16 | Reflecting-Arrest 0x878f…08fd | Down | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x12ac29… |
| 05-14 21:24:54 | Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Down | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xdea7b9… |
| 05-14 21:24:52 | Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Down | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xd6be5e… |
| 05-14 20:22:25 | Unfinished-Length 0x5447…19c8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x1b6e7c… |
| 05-14 19:07:10 | Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Up | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xa1701d… |
| 05-14 18:29:57 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Up | BUY | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xb4521c… |
| 05-14 18:04:05 | Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Up | BUY | 9 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x41c18e… |