Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,544
$30,164 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$40,362
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-12 02:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $93 | $93 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $29 | $3.2K | $3.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 3 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Below median | 4 | $7 | $221 | $214 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $22 | $41 | $19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $405 | $405 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immense-Patriot 0x9592…a7b8 | No | +2,574 | $2,500 | $2,500 | 1 | 05-12 02:29 |
| Unaware-Duckling 0x1dcb…7ecc | No | +414 | $405 | $405 | 1 | 05-11 10:17 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank 0x7500…567f | Yes | +107 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-09 11:45 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-11 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa30…47cc | Yes | +39 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 02:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b1…bc01 | No | +34 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-11 21:02 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-11 10:26 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-08 16:52 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 01:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 02:38:02 | Descriptive-Brewer 0x58cf…8a72 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x851b44… |
| 05-12 02:34:11 | Free-Analog 0x4161…6290 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3a02b1… |
| 05-12 02:29:19 | (anonymous) 0xaa30…47cc | Yes | BUY | 39 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xb4db1e… |
| 05-12 02:29:10 | Immense-Patriot 0x9592…a7b8 | No | BUY | 2,574 | 97¢ | $2,500 | 0xe3c09b… |
| 05-12 02:18:35 | Thorough-Spice 0x0428…b167 | Yes | SELL | 172 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x6ee173… |
| 05-11 23:22:15 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0xe91d7d… |
| 05-11 21:49:07 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x89876e… |
| 05-11 21:02:34 | (anonymous) 0x95b1…bc01 | No | BUY | 34 | 95¢ | $32 | 0x190b8f… |
| 05-11 16:38:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd0f662… |
| 05-11 16:36:51 | Thorough-Spice 0x0428…b167 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xde9200… |
| 05-11 16:00:50 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xd7c834… |
| 05-11 15:24:16 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xb83ef4… |
| 05-11 14:35:09 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x0cd084… |
| 05-11 13:57:35 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x046054… |
| 05-11 13:56:32 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x0cdfc8… |
| 05-11 12:24:13 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x01b612… |
| 05-11 11:43:05 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xe1ecc6… |
| 05-11 11:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x16164d… |
| 05-11 10:58:03 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x8e7021… |
| 05-11 10:26:58 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xbf3f00… |
| 05-11 10:22:02 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xed9dbc… |
| 05-11 10:21:08 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc8c369… |
| 05-11 10:20:57 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x0c15f1… |
| 05-11 10:17:15 | Unaware-Duckling 0x1dcb…7ecc | No | BUY | 414 | 98¢ | $405 | 0xc5401d… |
| 05-11 10:15:56 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xf1448a… |
| 05-11 09:52:38 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x078884… |
| 05-11 07:15:10 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xd23ad1… |
| 05-11 06:04:31 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x55ea4d… |
| 05-11 04:53:58 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x4beb92… |
| 05-11 04:22:33 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x9a142a… |
| 05-11 04:19:05 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xfb7251… |
| 05-11 03:29:20 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6fac80… |
| 05-11 03:12:19 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd78f7f… |
| 05-11 03:10:45 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x928ebf… |
| 05-11 03:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9f3d3d… |
| 05-11 01:30:13 | Uncomfortable-Composite 0x50ee…f50b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2ee11e… |
| 05-11 01:09:56 | Uncomfortable-Composite 0x50ee…f50b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x235837… |
| 05-10 18:58:34 | Thorough-Spice 0x0428…b167 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x8d4505… |
| 05-10 15:47:08 | Lasting-Postage 0x38a8…865a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x60e141… |
| 05-10 01:43:45 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x4dfb2f… |
| 05-09 21:35:19 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe20346… |
| 05-09 11:45:44 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank 0x7500…567f | Yes | BUY | 54 | 18¢ | $10 | 0x1f37bd… |
| 05-09 08:59:38 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank 0x7500…567f | Yes | BUY | 53 | 19¢ | $10 | 0xc9e743… |
| 05-08 16:52:18 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x8d3aa1… |